Arsenal vs Manchester City Betting Picks: EPL Prediction & Premier League Odds

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Arsenal vs Manchester City Betting Picks: EPL Prediction & Premier League Odds

Arsenal vs Man City Betting Picks


Arsenal against Manchester City has been a title showdown for the past two seasons, with the Citizens ultimately having the last laugh.

But this Sunday's encounter (11.30am, Fubo TV) has a different dynamic with Pep Guardiola's men already out of the title race, at least according to most betting sites, who make the defending champions +2000 to retain their crown.

Arsenal are in the title fight at +450, but are hanging out to the coattails of leaders Liverpool and defeat this weekend, coupled with another win for the Reds, would leave them nine points adrift of the Merseysiders.

It's a must-win game for Arsenal, but City can't afford a seventh defeat of the season either having found themselves embroiled in a battle for a top four spot.

Former City assistant coach Mikel Arteta is unbeaten in three EPL games against his old master Guardiola and soccer betting sites fancy the Gunners to maintain that record.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Betting Preview: Go For Gunners

Both these sides enjoyed success in the Champions League in midweek with Arsenal winning away at Girona to confirm a spot in the last 16, while City beat Club Brugge to sneak into the play-off round.

While Arteta was able to rotate his team, giving some players a much-needed rest during a busy start to 2025, the reigning EPL champions were afforded no such luxury as they had to come from behind to defeat their Belgian opponents.

That was the second game in a row City had conceded the first goal and while on both occasions they bounced back to win, it's those moments of weakness, so unbecoming of Guardiola's City, that have dogged their season.

Their away form has been a particular issue. If the EPL ladder was based on away results, City would be eighth (Arsenal are third).

They've only beaten one top half team on the road all season, while of the last 12 away games in all competitions, City have lost eight.

Some betting apps offer them at +280 on the moneyline for this game, which is tempting given their pedigree and the signs that Phil Foden is coming into form.

However, Arsenal look like a stronger team right now, one that has won four of the last five games in all competitions.

The north London outfit are unbeaten at the Emirates Stadium in the EPL this season, winning seven of their 11 home games, while last season they won 15 out of 19 in front of their own fans.

One of those victories last term was a narrow 1-0 success over City and they've matched up better with Guardiola's men in recent meetings, coming within seconds of a win at the Etihad Stadium earlier this season.

This is a huge test of Arsenal's title credentials, one they'll need to pass without injured ace Bukayo Saka, but Arteta's side have shown enough to suggest they can get the job done.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction 1: Arsenal to win (+105 Bwin)

Arsenal vs Manchester City Picks: Card Count Could Be High

A bit of animosity has developed between these two teams over the last three years and things boiled over at full-time of the 2-2 at the Etihad Stadium in September.

The match had featured 10 cards in total, including a red one for Leandro Trossard, and Erling Haaland's "stay humble" comment to Arteta after the game sparked some pushing and shoving.

It's fair to say that these two sides don't like each other and new betting sites have set the total card line for this game at 4.5.

Playing the over could be the right choice with four of the last six EPL games between these teams producing five or more cards.

Peter Bankes is the referee on Sunday, and while he doesn't show many cards on average (4.07 per EPL game), he has produced five or more cards in his last two Premier League assignments, so he isn't afraid to go to his pocket if necessary.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction 2: Over 4.5 cards (-120 Betway)

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