Ballon d'Or Odds: Who Will Win The Award In 2025?

Manchester City midfielder Rodri added the 2024 Ballon d'Or to his impressive list of honours won in his illustrious career. 

The Spaniard had a terrific season for club and country, helping City win the Premier League for a record-breaking fourth time, while playing his part for Spain as they won Euro 2024. 

Sadly, a knee injury has ended Rodri's season, so his chances of winning it in back-to-back years look unlikely, and his absence has certainly been felt as City have lost four in a row for the first time under Pep Guardiola.

So, who will be named Ballon d'Or winner in 2025, based on performances from the start of August 2024 to the end of July 2025? 

The best betting sites will continue to update their odds throughout the coming months.

We take a closer look at those hoping to add the most prestigious individual award in world football to their list of achievements.

Snub To Fire Vinicius Jr To Glory

For many months leading up to the 2024 Ballon d'Or ceremony in Paris, Real Madrid's Vinicius Jr was leading the betting market.

The Brazilian star scored the second goal at Wembley to secure a 2-0 win over Borussia Dortmund in the final of the Champions League in June.

To cement the Ballon d'Or, he needed a good tournament with Brazil in the Copa America, but his country's exit at the quarter-final stages, left the door open for Rodri to take the glory. 

Prior to the announcement in November, news broke that Vinicius Jr was not going to be named the winner, which led to a boycott from Real Madrid officials. 

That snub could fire Vinicius Jr to the award in 2025 and he is the 1.9 favourite on betting apps.

Ballon d'Or 2025 Odds:

Haaland To Capitalise On Quiet International Season

Erling Haaland's chances of winning the Ballon d'Or are often hindered by the fact that he plays for Norway, who are unlikely to win a major tournament any time soon. 

If he is to win the Ballon d'Or, then it's more likely to happen in a year where there is no World Cup or European Championship, which often influences the winner.

There is the inaugural Club World Cup tournament in the summer of 2025, which is organised by FIFA and will carry some clout in the voting process. 

Therefore, next year's Ballon d'Or winner will be awarded to a person who has done well for their club rather than country, which gives Haaland a better opportunity to add his name to the prestigious list of winners. 

Haaland has broken all kinds of records since joining City and averaging a goal a game this campaign, including one in the 2-1 defeat at Brighton prior to the third international break of the season. 

The Norwegian was the early leader to win the Ballon d'Or on football betting sites, but his odds have slipped to 2.2. 

Raphinha Rising Up The Market

Since joining Barcelona from Leeds United, Raphinha has emerged as one of his side's most influential players. 

The Brazilian marked his 100th game for Barcelona in style by scoring a hat-trick in a 4-0 win over Bayern Munich in the Champions League.

His form this season has attracted interest from other clubs across Europe, with Arsenal reportedly interested in signing him. 

If Raphinha (3.0) is to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or, then Barcelona will need to have a superb season, possibly needing to win La Liga and the Champions League.

Hey Jude, Fancy Winning The Ballon d'Or?

Historically, the Ballon d'Or goes to a player from a successful team and over the years, Real Madrid have been perennial winners, especially with Carlo Ancelotti in charge. 

Jude Bellingham is in his second season as a Madrid player and while he has struggled to follow up a superb first season in the Spanish capital, there is no doubting his talent. 

If the England midfielder can rediscover that form, then he will be in the mix to win the Ballon d'Or in 2025.

Bellingham (3.5) was third in the 2024 voting, but for someone who writes his own scripts, he will want his name to be on that trophy sooner rather than later.

Mbappe Moved To Madrid To Win Honours

Kylian Mbappe's move from Paris Saint-Germain to Real Madrid was one of the biggest transfers of the summer. 

After seasons of failing to win the Champions League, Mbappe (4.5) will feel he can finally get his hands on the biggest prize in European club football.

The France international has got off to a solid start with the Spanish champions but he'll need to play a major role in Europe if he is to land the Ballon d'Or next year. 

Lewandowski Still A Candidate

At 36, Robert Lewandowski's career should be moving in a downward direction, but the Poland international continues to score on a regular basis.

One reason why Barcelona have enjoyed a great start to the season is Lewandowski and his goals, including two in the first El Clasico of the season at the Bernabeu, which Barcelona won 4-0.

If the prolific marksman can continue to find the back of the net, then his Ballon d'Or odds of 5.0 on football betting sites from 8.0, will shorten.

Too Soon For Lamine Yamal? 

It won't be long before Lamine Yamal's name is added to the list of Ballon d'Or winners. 

It's important to remember Yamal won't turn 18 until July 2025, but he has already achieved so much in his short career.

The wide man helped Spain win their fourth European Championship in Germany and if he can stay fit and healthy, more glory will follow him in his career. 

Yamal is 7.0 to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or.

Saka Moving Towards Ballon d'Or Honours

Arsenal's Bukayo Saka has been playing brilliantly for a number of seasons and his form has led him to be in the conversation for the Ballon d'Or. 

However, it will depend on how Arsenal perform in the Premier League and in Europe too. Saka's form has helped the Gunners emerge as Manchester City's main rivals in the last two league campaigns.

If Saka (7.0) is to be the recipient of next year's Ballon d'Or, then the Emirates side are going to have to go far in the Champions League. 

Others with aspirations to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or include Manchester City pair Phil Foden (9.0) and Ruben Dias (9.0), Bayern Munich's Harry Kane (10.0), Bayer Leverkusen's Florian Wirtz (11.0) and Liverpool skipper Virgil van Dijk (15.0).

Aston Villa's Emiliano Martinez, who was named the best goalkeeper for the second successive season, is 13.0 to win the main award.

* Reminder: These are hypothetical odds provided by industry experts.