Ballon d'Or Odds: Who Will Win The Award In 2025?

Manchester City midfielder Rodri added the 2024 Ballon d'Or to his impressive list of honours won in his illustrious career. 

The Spaniard had a terrific season for club and country, helping City win the Premier League for a record-breaking fourth time, while playing his part for Spain as they won Euro 2024. 

Sadly, a knee injury has ended Rodri's season, so his chances of winning it in back-to-back years look unlikely, and his absence has certainly been felt as City have lost five in a row for the first time under Pep Guardiola.

So, who will be named Ballon d'Or winner in 2025, based on performances from the start of August 2024 to the end of July 2025? 

The best betting sites will continue to update their odds throughout the coming months.

We take a closer look at those hoping to add the most prestigious individual award in world football to their list of achievements.

Snub Can Fire Vinicius Jr To Glory

For many months leading up to the 2024 Ballon d'Or ceremony in Paris, Real Madrid's Vinicius Jr was leading the betting market.

The Brazilian star scored the second goal at Wembley to secure a 2-0 win over Borussia Dortmund in the final of the Champions League in June.

To cement the Ballon d'Or, he needed a good tournament with Brazil in the Copa America, but his country's exit at the quarter-final stages left the door open for Rodri to take the glory. 

Prior to the announcement in November, news broke that Vinicius Jr was not going to be named the winner, which led to a boycott from Real Madrid officials. 

That snub could fire Vinicius Jr to the award in 2025 and he is the 9/2 favourite on betting apps from 7/2.

Ballon d'Or 2025 Odds:

Lamine Yamal Could Be Youngest Ever Winner 

It won't be long before Lamine Yamal's name is added to the list of Ballon d'Or winners. 

It's important to remember Yamal won't turn 18 until July 2025, but he has already achieved so much in his short career.

The wide man helped Spain win their fourth European Championship in Germany and if he can stay fit and healthy, more glory will follow him in his career. 

Yamal has scored five times and supplied nine assists in La Liga for Barcelona already this season, plus one Champions League goal, which explains why he is 6/1 joint second favourite to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or.

Salah Soars Up The Market

If this is to be Mohamed Salah's final season as a Liverpool player, he's doing all he can to make sure it's going to be a memorable one. 

Salah has been scoring for fun under new manager Arne Slot, who has won 19 of his first 22 games since replacing Jurgen Klopp in the Anfield dugout. 

The Egyptian, who scored the only goal in his side's 1-0 win at Girona to help Liverpool retain top spot in the Champions League, has already scored 16 goals in 22 appearances. 

The 32-year-old is now eighth in the Premier League's all-time goals list and is five goals behind Thierry Henry in seventh.

Salah's odds have been cut from 14/1 to 6/1 and if he continues to score as freely as he has done, his odds will be cut further.

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Mbappe Moved To Madrid To Win Honours

Kylian Mbappe's move from Paris Saint-Germain to Real Madrid was one of the biggest transfers of the summer. 

After seasons of failing to win the Champions League, Mbappe (13/2 from 11/2) will feel he can finally get his hands on the biggest prize in European club football.

The France international has got off to a solid start, scoring seven goals for the Spanish champions in La Liga.

However, he will need to make a bigger impact in the Champions League than he has so far if he is to land the Ballon d'Or next year. 

Haaland's Odds Drift During City's Blip

Erling Haaland's chances of winning the Ballon d'Or are often hindered by the fact that he plays for Norway, who are unlikely to win a major tournament any time soon. 

If he is to win the Ballon d'Or, then it's more likely to happen in a year where there is no World Cup or European Championship, which often influences the winner.

There is the inaugural Club World Cup tournament in the summer of 2025, which is organised by FIFA and will carry some clout in the voting process. 

Therefore, next year's Ballon d'Or winner could be awarded to a person who has done well for their club rather than country, which gives Haaland a better opportunity to add his name to the prestigious list of winners. 

Haaland has broken all kinds of records since joining City and is averaging a goal a game in the Premier League. 

However, his odds have drifted from 5/1 to 9/1 during City's poor run in the league and Champions League.

Lewandowski Still A Candidate

At 36, Robert Lewandowski's career should be moving in a downward direction, but the Poland international continues to score on a regular basis.

One reason why Barcelona have enjoyed a great start to the season is Lewandowski and his goals, including two in the first El Clasico of the season, which the Catalans won 4-0 at the Bernabeu.

The prolific marksman already has 16 goals in La Liga - five more than the next highest - and he is the top scorer in the Champions League with seven.

If Lewandowski can continue to find the back of the net and help Barca to success domestically and in Europe, then his Ballon d'Or odds of 10/1 on football betting sites will shorten.

Hey Jude, Fancy Winning The Ballon d'Or?

Historically, the Ballon d'Or goes to a player from a successful team and over the years, Real Madrid have been perennial winners, especially with Carlo Ancelotti in charge. 

Jude Bellingham is in his second season as a Madrid player and while he has struggled to follow up a superb first season in the Spanish capital, there is no doubting his talent. 

If the England midfielder can rediscover that form, then he will be in the mix to win the Ballon d'Or in 2025.

Bellingham was third in the 2024 voting, but for someone who writes his own scripts, he will want his name to be on that trophy sooner rather than later. His odds have gone from 10/1 to 12/1 in the last couple of weeks. 

Raphinha Rising Up The Market

Since joining Barcelona from Leeds United, Raphinha has emerged as one of his side's most influential players. 

The Brazilian marked his 100th game for Barcelona in style by scoring a hat-trick in a 4-0 win over Bayern Munich in the Champions League.

His form this season has attracted interest from other clubs across Europe, with Arsenal reportedly interested in signing him. 

The Brazilian has netted 11 goals in La Liga, provided six assists and is one of the leading scorers in World Cup qualifying, so he has certainly got off to a flying start.

If Raphinha (16/1) is to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or, then Barcelona will need to have a superb season, possibly needing to win La Liga and the Champions League.

Kane In The Picture

Harry Kane has been criticised this season by some members of the German media who feel that the Bayern Munich striker goes missing in the big games.

However, the England captain is enjoying another stellar season in the Bundesliga, topping the scoring charts with 14 goals after 13 matches.

Kane recently netted his third hat-trick of the season in a 3-0 victory over Augsburg, having also bagged four in a 9-2 Champions League rout of Dinamo Zagreb - three of which came from the penalty spot.

The former Tottenham marksman was the top scorer in the German top flight last season with 36 goals and is on course to repeat the feat.

If he can lead Bayern to domestic and European glory again, 16/1 looks like a tempting price to win the Ballon d'Or.

Others with aspirations to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or include Liverpool skipper Virgil van Dijk (28/1).

Chelsea star Cole Palmer has scored 11 goals and provided six assists in the league this season and is 20/1 to win the most prestigious award in world football from 25/1.