2023 Formula 1 Brazil Grand Prix Odds, Picks & Predictions for 11/5

The Formula 1 Sao Paulo Brazil begins Sunday afternoon from the Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace. This means some elevation change, contentious passing zones, and banked turns. This circuit is 4.309 kilometers long with 15 turns.

📍 Location: Sao Paulo, Brazil
📅 Date & Time: Sunday 11/5/23 - 12:00 pm EST
🔥 Top Favorite: Max Verstappen (-275) at BetMGM Sportsbook
📊 Brazilian GP Specs: 4.309 km track with 15 turns over 71 laps 
💸 Prize Money: $66 million to the Constructors Series Winner (Red Bull)
📺 TV: ESPN (streamed on ESPN+)

The 2023 Formula 1 phase in the Americas continues this weekend in Brazil. Last year, George Russell held off Lewis Hamilton by 1.53 seconds. The 2022 edition gave the Mercedes team a much-needed win in a brutal 2022 campaign. 

This part of Brazil stays warm in early November, but conditions are expected to be quite pleasant and dry, Temperatures will approach 70 degrees with sun and zero chance of rain. The Brazil Grand Prix odds try to figure out if Max Verstappen can make it 17 wins in 20 races. Maybe some other driver finds a way to spoil the Red Bull conga line.

⭐Top Favorite Bet: Max Verstappen (-300) at BetMGM

Yes, the 2023 Brazil Grand Prix odds and predictions wished for slightly longer odds err less of a negative number for Verstappen. Even though the No. 1 Red Bull driver finished sixth here last year, he is still -300 at BetMGM. If anyone remembers 2022, they know that the Dutch-Belgian racer had issues with teammate Sergio Perez. None of that matters to Verstappen now, as he expects to cruise past 500 points this week, barring something unforeseen happening.   

While Mercedes is certainly not dominating right now, they were during the sprint and race last year in Sao Paulo. The Russell-Hamilton 1-2 was hard to challenge as the two drivers looked more like the Red Bulls. One of the great prop bets was Verstappen by 12.5+ seconds at +160. Best Bets Today, like Verstappen again on Sunday. However, the -133 via Caesars for a win less than 12.5 seconds is more likely.

The driver truly is polarizing, but his results are hard to dispute. Could he make it five races in his last six events? It is hard to count him out.  

⭐ Top Favorite Bet: Max Verstappen (-300) at BetMGM

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⭐ Best Contender Bet: Lewis Hamilton (+850) at DraftKings

Okay, the 2023 Formula 1 Brazilian Grand Prix odds and predictions try to see if Lewis Hamilton can haul in Sergio Perez for second in the points race. Hamilton stands a mere 20 points away (it would be one point if not for that disqualification a few weeks back). Anyway. Hamilton has been racing well over the past six weeks or so. Last year, he finished second in Brazil and was excellent in the Sprint. Can he do it again?

Right now, the main focus of Hamilton is more catching Perez for second than winning a race, arguably. The one big concern with the British driver is his zeal to get the first win of the 2023 season. We warned people to take Hamilton Under 2.5 Wins, and some places predicted at least 3-5 victories. Either way, he did win the 2021 race, so the Mercedes cars do have some high-end late speed on this track. 

Last year, Hamilton kept coming tantalizingly close to winning late in the campaign. This season feels like deja vu. Can he break the drought in Brazil?

⭐ Best Contender Bet: Lewis Hamilton (+850) at DraftKings

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⭐ Best Longer Shot Bet: Lando Norris (+1300) at FanDuel

Oscar Piastri and the McLarens seemed to take a step back at first last week. Piastri’s car got banged around a few times during the race as he struggled to stay in the top seven or eight. Meanwhile, Lando Norris catapulted from 17th to 5th. It was quite a fantastic run with many quality passes. Piastri, safe to say, did not have the same result. Needless to say, we flip to Norris this week. 

Since Mercedes causes us to have a few backup plans. Russell is not it with his numerous issues lately. It is more about pivoting back to Norris. When he is on, he is on. The driver, with a reasonable qualifying effort, should be a solid Best Bets Today choice.

2023 Formula 1 Sao Paulo Brazil predictions do not like the fastest lap for Norris. However, a podium at -143 via Caesars is not a horrible decision. Again, this is all about making modest wagers until Las Vegas. For now, taking a small swing with Norris is not a wrong move.

⭐ Best Longer Shot Bet: Lando Norris (+1300) at FanDuel

Final Thoughts on the 2023 Formula 1 Brazilian Grand Prix

Brazil Grand Prix odds offer a wait-and-see approach this time around. Last year, Verstappen and Red Bull did not have that it factor on this track. This year may be different.  

The 2023 Formula 1 Sao Paulo Brazil predictions hope for another entertaining race on Sunday. If it is anything like last week, count on lots of fireworks. Hopefully, this time involves the front of the race more than what is coming from the middle and rear.