2023 Tour de France Stage 6 Picks & Predictions: Skjelmose can Benefit from Two-Pronged Attack

2023 Tour de France 2023 Stage 6 Picks

• ✅ FAVORITE: Jonas Vingegaard (+180)
• ✅ CONTENDER: Mattias Skjelmose (+2000)
• ✅ LONGSHOT: Tom Piddock (+2800)

After Stage 5 opened up the 2023 Tour de France, Stage 6 could produce something similar with a short, intense stage through the Pyrenees that takes the riders over one of the Tour’s most legendary climbs and ends with the race’s first summit finish.

The stage begins in Tarbes, which hosts the Tour for the fifteenth time. If Stage 5 is any indicator, there will be an intense race to join the breakaway with stage hunters and polka dot jersey hopefuls from the GC contenders’ teams all looking to get up the road and gain as big of an advantage as possible.

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2023 Tour de France Stage 6 - Tarbes to Cauterets-Cambasque (144.9km) 

In the initial week of the race, the General Classification contenders have clashed multiple times, with Stage 5 being particularly intense. However, Stage 6 presents a crucial opportunity for assessing the potential Yellow Jersey contenders as it concludes with a summit finish.

Spanning a relatively short distance of 145km, this stage confronts riders with four categorized climbs. Notably, the iconic Tourmalet, classified as a super-category climb, appears two-thirds into the stage. The challenging ascent to the Cambasque plateau serves as the final test for the riders.

The last 4km of the stage will hold immense significance as the road inclines sharply, reaching gradients exceeding 10% in certain sections. This demanding terrain is likely to create substantial time gaps among the riders.

2023 Tour de France Stage Five: The Favorites

After his impressive performance on Stage 5, it comes as no surprise that Jonas Vingegaard (+180) leads the market. He demonstrated his superiority over the Yellow Jersey contenders in the peloton, including Tadej Pogacar (+550), as he managed to close the gap on Jai Hindley, the daring rider in the breakaway, during the final climb.

However, it would be premature to assume that Vingegaard's victory is guaranteed, and the odds of 3.00 may be considered low. The exertions of Stage 5 could potentially affect his performance in this stage, and his rivals will be eager to retaliate and regain their lost ground. Therefore, the outcome of this stage remains uncertain, and Vingegaard's position as the favorite is not set in stone.

2023 Tour de France Stage Five: The Contenders

It will be intriguing to observe whether Mattias Skjelmose (+2000), a pre-Tour favorite, will strive for glory in this stage. Additionally, Tom Piddock (+2800) is expected to specifically target one of these mountain stages, aiming to replicate his success on Alpe d'Huez from last year.

However, the unpredictable nature of the stage makes it challenging to confidently take a strong position. The intentions of the General Classification contenders will heavily influence the outcome. It is conceivable that a breakaway group could triumph in this stage, and one contender worth considering is Ruben Guerreiro. With a mountain stage victory in the 2020 Giro, he possesses the aptitude for this type of course and could excel here.

2023 Tour de France Day 5 Picks & Predictions: Mattias Skjelmose to Win (+2000)

Skjelmose, a newcomer to the Tour, has impressively carried his spring Classics form into the summer, evident by his triumph in the Tour du Suisse and steady progress in this race.

Despite being a 22-year-old rider, he has quietly and diligently focused on his performance, currently securing the eighth position in the General Classification standings. His time deficit of just under two minutes behind Hindley offers him a potential opportunity for greater freedom, particularly if he can maintain his pace alongside other contenders until the final climb. This circumstance could set the stage for a two-pronged attack by the Lidl-Trek team, with the unlikely exclusion of Giulio Ciccone from the pursuit of stage victories following his ascent to third place overall.

Should both Skjelmose and Ciccone successfully remain with the leading group, they can skillfully collaborate in their quest for victory, allowing Skjelmose to potentially benefit from this strategic partnership who can be backed at +2000 to win Stage 6 of the 2023 Tour de France.

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