ACC Championship Odds & Louisville vs. Florida Prediction for 12/02

⭐  Best Bet: Louisville +2.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Much of the recent College Football debate has centered around Florida State and what to do with the Seminoles. It's clear Florida State is a different team after losing starting quarterback Jordan Travis to injury, but backup quarterback Tate Rodemaker did enough in wins over North Alabama and Florida to keep the Seminoles undefeated. Now, Florida State will look to strengthen its College Football Playoff resume with a win over Louisville to keep its undefeated record intact and claim an ACC title. 

Most of the line movement has gone to the Cardinals with Louisville going from +4.5 to +2.5, and we're going to follow the money and take Louisville +2.5 (-110) at BetMGM. Florida State was not impressive last week against a Florida team that also played a backup quarterback, with the Seminoles falling behind 12-0 before having to rally to keep their postseason hopes alive. Florida State's offensive numbers have fallen off without Travis, and the Seminoles gained just 224 yards against Florida and were 4 for 14 on third-down conversions. 

Florida State won't have the luxury of going up against an anemic offense this week. Louisville averages 30.9 points per game and ranks 20th in the country in yards per pass (8.7) and 38th in yards per carry (4.6). We are confident the Cardinals have enough to pull off the upset against a Florida State team that is still recovering from Travis' injury.

Best Bet: Louisville +2.5 (-110) at BetMGM

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⭐ Tate Rodemaker Under 195.5 Passing Yards (-115) at FanDuel

Rodemaker didn't overly impress anyone in his first start this season against a power five school. He completed just 12 of 25 passes for 134 yards against Florida and was also sacked three times. We're going to fade Rodemaker and look to take the under on his passing yardage prop against Louisville. 

We like Tate Rodemaker Under 195.5 Passing Yards (-115) at FanDuel. The Cardinals' defense has been solid this season, ranking 27th in points allowed per game (21.8) and ranking 12th in limiting third-down conversions, allowing opponents to convert at just 30%. Considering the struggles Rodemaker had on third downs against Florida, we expect that to continue which should limit his passing yard opportunities throughout the contest. 

Louisville also ranks 18th in opponents' completion percentage, only letting offenses complete 56% of their passes. Rodemaker hasn't shown he can consistently beat a defense with his arm, so we're going to take the under on his passing yardage prop against a solid Louisville defense. 

Best Betting Pick: Tate Rodemaker Under 195.5 Passing Yards (-115) at FanDuel

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⭐  Best Bet: ⭐ Jawhar Jordan Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM

One area we expect Louisville to have success on offense is on the ground. We're going to look to back Cardinals running back Jawhar Jordan against the Seminoles on Saturday. Jordan has tallied 1,076 yards on 167 carries and also scored 13 touchdowns this season. 

We like Jawhar Jordan Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM. Jordan has performed well in Louisville's biggest games. Against No. 10 Notre Dame, he had 143 yards and two touchdowns while averaging 6.8 yards per attempt. Jordan was just as good versus No. 20 Duke, going off for 163 yards, averaging 7.8 yards per carry and scoring twice. 

Jordan should have success against a Florida State defense that is average against the run. The Seminoles are 45th in rushing yards allowed per game (139.9) and 42 in yards allowed per carry (3.9). Target the over on Jordan's rushing yardage prop.

Best Bet: Jawhar Jordan Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM

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