Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions Player Props, Picks & NFL Predictions 09-24-2023

How to Watch Falcons vs. Lions   

• Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
• Kick Off: 1:00 PM ET
• Location: Ford Field – Detroit, MI   
• Where to Watch: FOX   

The Falcons are off to a strong start, beating the Carolina Panthers 24-10 in Week 1 and the Green Bay Packers 25-24 in Week 2. Atlanta easily covered a 3.5-point spread against Carolina but failed to beat the spread as a 3-point home fave versus Green Bay. 

Bijan Robinson tortured the Packers last Sunday, posting 19 carries for 124 yards and four receptions for 48 yards. Desmond Ridder went 19-of-32 for 237 yards, a touchdown, and an interception while carrying the pigskin ten times for 39 yards and a touchdown. The Falcons relied on their powerful ground game and posted a staggering 211 rushing yards on 45 totes. 

Atlanta is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games overall, but the Falcons have covered in five of their previous six contests played in September. They are winless in six straight showings on the road while going 2-4 against the spread. 

Key Players Missing: LB Troy Anderson (questionable, concussion)  

⭐ Place Your NFL Picks on the Falcons vs. Lions Week 3 Matchup NOW! ⭐

After a huge 21-20 road win over the Kansas City Chiefs, the Lions lost to the Seattle Seahawks 37-31 in overtime last Sunday. Detroit was a 4.5-point fave in Week 2, but the Lions turned the ball over three times and struggled to contain the Seahawks’ passing offense. 

Geno Smith led the way for Seattle, throwing for 328 yards and two touchdowns. On the other side, Jared Goff completed 28 of his 35 passing attempts and tossed for 323 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception that Tre Brown returned to the house. David Montgomery had 16 carries for 67 yards and a TD before leaving the game with a thigh injury. 

The Lions are 10-2 ATS in their last ten games overall and 5-1 in their previous six outings at Ford Field. The total has gone under in four of their last six contests, and the under would be one of my best NFL Week 3 predictions for the Falcons vs. Lions matchup. 

Key Players Missing: OT Taylor Decker (ankle), CB Emmanuel Moseley (knee/hamstring), RB David Montgomery (questionable, thigh), OL Halapoulivaati Vaitai (questionable, knee) 

The bookies favor Detroit even though the Lions are banged up. IF David Montgomery doesn’t suit up, the Lions will have to lean on rookie Jahmyr Gibbs to lead their backfield. Gibbs had seven catches for 39 yards in Week 2, so if you like betting on NFL player props, keep your eyes on him. Now, let’s take a look at my best Falcons vs. Lions betting pick and NFL predictions for Week 3.  

Betting Trends:

Falcons: have gone 1-4 ATS in the last five road tilts 

Lions: have covered in five of their last six home games  

Over/Under: The under is 5-1 in their last six H2H duels 

⭐ NFL Pick 1: Under 46.0 total points (-110) at Caesars: The Atlanta Falcons are 2-0 and have done so with decent quarterback play from Desmond Ridder. It's been more of a reliable defense and the running game of Tyler Alglgeier and Bijan Robinson that has propelled Atlanta to a good start. Given how he's performed so far, we feel there's value on a Ridder prop. 

⭐ NFL Pick 2: Detroit Lions -3.0 (-110) at BetMGM: The Lions will be in strong position if they manage to slow down the Falcons’ ground game. I highly doubt Atlanta’s chances to win on the back of Desmond Ridder’s arm and would take the Lions -3.0 (-110) at BetMGM. Detroit’s run D has done a good job thus far, and I think the Lions have enough weapons to properly test the Falcons’ defensive unit. 

⭐ NFL Pick 3: Jared Goff over 23.5 completions (-115) at FanDuel: Jared Goff has already thrown for 576 yards and four touchdowns. He completed 22 of his 35 passing attempts in Week 1 and went 28-for-35 in Week 2. The Falcons’ passing defense has done a good job thus far, but this will be a different task. The Lions lean on their offensive line to protect Goff who’s going to feed his teammates all day long. Goff over 23.5 completions (-115) at FanDuel is my NFL player prop for this game. 

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