ATP Bastad Day 4 Predictions: Ruud vs. Shevchenko Prediction & Odds 07/20

The Nordea Open is set to witness an exciting clash between Bernabe Zapata Miralles (World No. 53) and Sebastian Ofner (World No. 58) in the Round of 16. Miralles, with a 15-10 record on clay this year, has shown a strong performance with a 66.9% winning percentage in service games and a 35.1% winning percentage in return games on clay. However, his recent performance at Wimbledon, where he was eliminated by Tomas Martin Etcheverry, might have dented his confidence.

On the other hand, Ofner, who has a 14-3 match record on clay this year, has been in excellent form. He has won 68.6% of his service games on clay and 36.0% of his return games. His recent victory at the ATP Challenger Salzburg, where he defeated Lukas Neumayer, is a testament to his current form.

Given Ofner's recent performance and his strong record on clay, it's plausible to predict a 2-0 win for Ofner. BetMGM Sportsbook offers odds of +155 for this outcome. This bet is not only based on Ofner's current form but also his ability to dominate on clay.

Best Betting Pick: Ofner to win 2-0 (+155) at BetMGM

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In the Nordea Open Round of 16, we have an intriguing match-up between the 4th-ranked Casper Ruud and the 96th-ranked Alexander Shevchenko. Ruud, a clay court specialist, has had a strong year on this surface with a 17-6 record, including a tournament win. His service game has been particularly impressive, winning 84.1% of service games on clay. His last outing at Wimbledon ended in the round of 64 against Liam Broady.

On the other hand, Shevchenko has a respectable 8-5 record on clay this year. He has won 67.6% of his games on serve and 31.1% on return. However, his last tournament at Wimbledon saw him eliminated in the round of 128 by Adrian Mannarino.

Given Ruud's superior form and record on clay, this match is likely to be a challenging one for Shevchenko. Therefore, our betting pick is under 20.5 total games with odds set at -122 at FanDuel Sportsbook. This is based on Ruud's strong service game and Shevchenko's struggles against higher-ranked opponents. This bet suggests a straight-sets victory for Ruud, reflecting his dominance on clay.

Best Betting Pick: Under 20.5 total games (-122) at FanDuel

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In the Round of 16 at the Nordea Open, world No. 19 Alexander Zverev is set to face off against Thiago Monteiro, ranked 122nd globally. Zverev's performance on clay this year has been commendable, with a 13-6 record, despite not clinching a title. His service game win percentage stands at 78.1%, and he has won 41.9% of break points on clay this year. His last match was a tough loss to Matteo Berrettini at Wimbledon.

On the other hand, Monteiro has a 9-10 record on clay this year, winning 79.5% of his service games. His most recent match was a loss to No. 269-ranked Lukas Neumayer at the ATP Challenger Salzburg.

Given Zverev's superior ranking and performance, the match is likely to be in his favor. However, tennis matches can be unpredictable, and Monteiro could put up a strong fight.

Betting Pick: The match is expected to be a quick one, with Zverev's strong performance on clay likely to dominate. Therefore, a bet on there being under 20.5 total games with odds set at -111 at Caesars Sportsbook could be a smart move. This prediction is based on Zverev's strong service game and Monteiro's recent performance.

Best Betting Pick: Under 20.5 total games (-111) at Caesars

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The upcoming match between Pavel Kotov and Andrey Rublev at the Swedish Open in Bastad is set to be an exciting one. Rublev, who has a solid track record on clay courts, is expected to have the upper hand in this encounter. His performance against Alex Molcan in the previous round, where he survived a third set that went to 7-5, has shown his resilience and adaptability on this surface.

On the other hand, Pavel Kotov, despite his defensive skills, may not have the necessary weaponry to challenge Rublev. The Russian's form has been decent enough to trust him, especially considering his previous performances on clay courts.

However, it's worth noting that Rublev has had a few early round losses on clay courts before the grass season and following his title in Monte Carlo. But these losses were mostly against players with a big weapon in their arsenal, which Kotov may lack.

Based on the analysis of their recent performances and their skills on clay courts, the betting pick for this match would be Rublev to win 2-0. The odds for this outcome are set at -165 at BetMGM Sportsbook.

Best Betting Pick: Rublev to win 2-0 (-165) at BetMGM

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