ATP Gstaad Day 2 Predictions: Wawrinka vs. Carballes Baena Prediction 07/18

In the Round of 32 of the Swiss Open Gstaad, we have an intriguing match-up between Arthur Fils (No. 68 in the world) and Dominic Stephan Stricker (No. 106). Fils, who is favored to win this match, has had a commendable run on clay over the past year, boasting a 9-4 record with one tournament victory. His serve/return winning percentages on clay over the past 12 months are impressive, with 71.1% of his games won on serve, and 28.4% on return. His most recent outing was at Wimbledon, where he was eliminated in the round of 128 by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

On the other hand, Stricker has a 3-3 record through two tournaments on clay over the past year. His winning percentages in service games and return games on clay are 77.4% and 22.7% respectively. He was last seen in action at Wimbledon, where he lost to Frances Tiafoe in the round of 64.

Given the players' recent performances and their respective strengths, this match is likely to be a closely contested one. Therefore, the betting pick for this match is over 22.5 total games with odds set at -118 at BetMGM Sportsbook. 

Best Betting Pick: Over 22.5 total games (-118)

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In the Round of 32 at the Swiss Open Gstaad, we have an exciting match-up between Mikael Ymer and Juan Pablo Varillas. Ymer, ranked 51st in the world, is coming off a tough defeat at Wimbledon, losing to Daniel Elahi Galan in a five-set thriller. On the other hand, Varillas, ranked 66th, recently lost to Elias Ymer in the Round of 16 at the ATP Challenger Salzburg.

Both players have shown resilience in their recent matches, with Ymer averaging 24.6 games in his last 56 matches and Varillas averaging 24.3 games in his last 36 matches. This indicates a tendency for long, drawn-out matches, which could be a factor in their upcoming encounter.

However, Ymer has shown a slight edge in his performance on clay courts, averaging 22.2 games per match compared to Varillas' 21.3. This could give Ymer the slight advantage he needs to edge out a victory.

Considering these factors, our betting pick is for Mikael Ymer to win 2-1, with odds set at +340 at Caesars Sportsbook. This match is expected to be a close contest, and Ymer's slight edge on clay could be the deciding factor. 

Best Betting Pick: Ymer to win 2-1 (+340) at Caesars Sportsbook

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The ATP Gstaad 2023 sees an intriguing clash between Fabio Fognini and Albert Ramos-Vinolas, two players who have been struggling with form recently. Fognini, known for his mercurial but entertaining play, has only managed four wins on the ATP tour all season. He has been absent from the court for over six weeks, which might lead to some rustiness in his game. However, he holds a dominant 10-2 head-to-head record against Ramos-Vinolas, which could give him a psychological edge.

On the other hand, Ramos-Vinolas has had a tough year, losing 19 of the 25 ATP matches he's played this season. Despite this, he might see this as an opportunity to capitalize on Fognini's lack of match practice.

However, considering the historical data and Fognini's ability to pull off wins when least expected, the match is likely to be a closely contested one. Given the players' styles and their tendency for long rallies, we predict there will be over 21.5 total games

 in the match. BetMGM Sportsbook offers odds of -133 for this outcome, which could provide a profitable opportunity for tennis betting enthusiasts.

Best Betting Pick: Over 21.5 (-133)

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Stan Wawrinka, a three-time Grand Slam champion, is set to face Roberto Carballes Baena in a thrilling match at the Swiss Open Gstaad. Wawrinka's performance this season has been commendable, especially considering his recent injuries. His run to the third round of Wimbledon, despite it being his least preferred surface, is a testament to his resilience. On the other hand, Carballes Baena, a clay court specialist, has had a decent season, with his second ATP title win in Marrakech in April being a highlight.

However, Wawrinka's form and experience give him an edge in this match. His one-handed backhand is expected to hold up well against Carballes Baena's heavy topspin forehand. Moreover, Wawrinka's record in the first rounds of events this season has been impressive, which bodes well for this match.

Given these factors, a betting pick for this match would be Wawrinka winning 2-1. This outcome is currently priced at +295 at Caesars Sportsbook. This bet is based on Wawrinka's form and his affinity for clay courts, which should see him through a potentially tough match against Carballes Baena.

Best Betting Pick: Wawrinka to win 2-1 (+295) at Caesars Sportsbook

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