Best College Basketball Bets, Player Props & NCAAB Picks for 11/17

Best Bet: ⭐ St. John’s Moneyline (-110) at BetMGM

In the upcoming St. John's vs. Dayton matchup, my pick leans towards St. John's clinching the win on the moneyline. Despite some underwhelming performances early in the season, the Red Storm have shown potential, especially in their guard play, which I believe gives them an edge over Dayton.

St. John's, aiming for a strong 3-1 start, recently secured a narrow victory against North Texas. This resilience is a key factor in their favor. They are currently averaging 72 points per game on 40.7 percent shooting, while their defense allows 71.7 points on 43.2 percent shooting. This balance of offense and defense could be pivotal in their face-off against Dayton.

While Dayton's DaRon Holmes might have an advantage in certain matchups, St. John's has demonstrated significant strength on the offensive glass, which could neutralize Holmes' impact. Moreover, the Johnnies' performance has been somewhat underrated due to the market's overvaluation influenced by media attention around Coach Pitino. However, in this particular game, backing them on the moneyline seems a sound choice.

This St. John's vs. Dayton prediction anticipates a closely contested game, but with St. John's guard play and offensive rebounding, they are well-positioned to emerge victorious in what promises to be an intense semifinal.

Best Bet: ⭐ St. John’s Moneyline (-110) at BetMGM

Best Bet: ⭐ Butler +10.5 (-115) at FanDuel

While Michigan State has its strengths, particularly in players like Tyson Walker and Malik Hall, their current shooting woes from beyond the arc raise concerns. This aspect could be a significant factor in the game's outcome, which is my analysis leans towards Butler covering the +10.5 spread (-115) at FanDuel.

Butler, on the other hand, has shown promising signs, especially after tapping into the transfer portal. Their performance so far indicates they have the size and skill to match up against Michigan State's physicality. Notably, Butler ranks 50th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, as per KenPom, and their defense against 2-point shots is particularly impressive. They are allowing just 52.7 points per game on 30.6% shooting and have been effective from the three-point line, holding opponents to 24.6%.

Offensively, Butler is not lagging behind, averaging 88.7 points per game and shooting 50% from the field. Their recent game against East Tennessee State, where they shot 44.9% overall and 35.5% from the three-point range, underscores their scoring capabilities.

Michigan State, despite being a formidable team, showed vulnerabilities in their loss to Duke, particularly in free-throw shooting and three-point efficiency. They also struggled in rebounding, which could be a critical aspect against Butler.

While Michigan State is expected to bounce back, Butler's current form and defensive prowess make them a strong contender to cover the spread in this matchup. This college basketball picks analysis suggests that the Butler vs. Michigan State Prediction leans towards a competitive game, with Butler likely making a strong showing.

Best Bet: ⭐ Butler +10.5 (-115) at FanDuel

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Best Bet: ⭐ Maryland vs. Villanova UNDER 132.5 pts (-110) at Caesars

The Maryland vs. Villanova matchup will certainly fire up the Friday night NCAAB betting action. Although buckets are expected on both sides of the floor, our focus is on a low-scoring affair, making the Under 132.5 points (-110) at Caesars a compelling pick. 

Maryland's approach this season has been defensively oriented, with less emphasis on offensive firepower. This strategy has led to their games being predominantly low-scoring. The Terrapins' slow pace, ranking 300th nationally, further supports this trend. Their shooting percentages, 40.5% from the field and a notably low 22.6% from the line, reinforce the expectation of a game with limited scoring.

Villanova, while offensively stronger, faces a unique challenge against Maryland's tough defense. The Wildcats' slower tempo, even lower than Maryland's at 303rd, suggests a game with fewer possessions and limited scoring opportunities. Despite averaging 81.7 points per game, Villanova's offensive efficiency might be tested against Maryland's defense. The Wildcats are allowing an average of 65.3 points per game on 39.3% shooting, indicating their capability to engage in a defensive battle.

Historical trends also point towards a low-scoring game, with Maryland's last 10 road games having an Under record of 8-1-1. Given both teams' pace of play and Maryland's offensive struggles, the prediction & NCAAB picks lean towards a game where points will be at a premium. 

Best Bet: ⭐ Maryland vs. Villanova UNDER 132.5 pts (-110) at Caesars

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Best Bet: ⭐ Xavier -2.5 (-110) at DraftKings

The Musketeers are poised to cover the -2.5 spread at DraftKings, and here's why. Both teams have shown offensive prowess, with the Huskies averaging 80.7 points and Xavier not far behind at 75.7 points per game. However, Xavier's defensive edge, allowing only 67.3 points per game, could be the deciding factor.

Xavier's ability to capitalize on free throws contrasts sharply with Washington's struggles in this area. The Huskies' free-throw percentage barely crosses 65%, a vulnerability the Musketeers are likely to exploit. Additionally, Washington's tendency to turn over the ball, coupled with Xavier's knack for steals (averaging nine per game), could tilt the game in Xavier's favor.

Coaching could also play a crucial role. Xavier's coach, Miller, has a track record of success, both in his previous tenure at Xavier and at Arizona. His strategic acumen might just outshine Mike Hopkins of Washington, who has yet to make a significant impact with his defensive and lineup decisions.

While the teams are closely matched in terms of roster, Xavier's ability to avoid falling behind early, as seen in their previous games, will be crucial. Their impressive 8-2 straight-up record in their last ten games speaks to their consistency. In contrast, Washington's home record of 2-8 in their last ten games reveals a vulnerability that Xavier can exploit.

Given these factors, including Xavier's balanced offense and defense, their efficiency at the free-throw line, and the coaching advantage, it's reasonable to back the Musketeers to cover the spread in this college basketball picks scenario. The Xavier vs. Washington Prediction leans towards a close game, but with Xavier pulling ahead towards the end.

Best Bet: ⭐ Xavier -2.5 (-110) at DraftKings

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Best Bet: ⭐ Noah Thomasson Over 1.5 3-pointers vs. Miami (-115) at bet365

In the upcoming Georgia vs. Miami matchup, a key player prop to consider is Noah Thomasson's Over 1.5 3-pointers at -115 via bet365. Thomasson, a Niagara transfer now with Georgia, has shown potential despite a mixed start to the season. His performance against Wake Forest, where he scored 21 points on 50% shooting, highlights his capability, especially from beyond the arc.

Miami's defensive style plays into Thomasson's strengths. The Hurricanes, ranking outside the top 100 in adjusted defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage, allow opponents to attempt a significant number of 3-pointers. Given Georgia's lack of a strong post presence and Miami's tendency to congest the paint, Thomasson is likely to find more opportunities for perimeter shooting. His track record this season, attempting at least four 3-point shots in every game, combined with a 25% shooting percentage, suggests room for improvement.

Furthermore, Thomasson's performance at the end of last season with Niagara, where he consistently made multiple 3-pointers across games, indicates his proficiency in this area. Miami's defensive strategy, which often leads to longer possessions, is expected to result in Georgia relying heavily on 3-point attempts. This scenario sets up Thomasson for a potentially successful outing in 3-point shooting, making the Over 1.5 3-pointers a promising pick in today's NCAAB Picks and Georgia vs. Miami Player Props.

⭐ Best Bet: Noah Thomasson Over 1.5 3-pointers vs. Miami (-115) at bet365

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