Best MLB Prop Bets Today, Odds & MLB Player Prop Bets Today 06/21
Best MLB Player Prop Bets Today, June 21:
- ⭐ Jhony Brito UNDER 4.5 strikeouts (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook
- ⭐ Sonny Gray Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-170) at bet365 Sportsbook
- ⭐ Corey Seager Over 1.5 total bases (+105) at DraftKings Sportsbook
- ⭐ Yu Darvish Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-135) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Get ready for an exciting day of MLB action this Wednesday, featuring a lineup of thrilling games. We've conducted a thorough analysis of the top odds available on the best online betting sites, and we're here to provide you with our expert picks for the most profitable MLB player prop bets.
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Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees 7:05 PM ET
Best MLB Prop Bet #1: Jhony Brito UNDER 4.5 strikeouts (-105) at BetMGM
Jhony Brito, who has been struggling with a 5.58 ERA this season, has not pitched for the New York Yankees since May 20th.
In his last eight appearances, his ERA has risen to 7.12. Considering his recent performance, it is unlikely that Brito will significantly improve when facing the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners have the potential to put pressure on Brito and force him out of the game early.
Throughout the season, Brito has only managed to achieve five or more strikeouts in three out of his ten outings.
Despite facing the team with the second-lowest strikeouts per game (the Mariners), it is doubtful that Brito will pitch long enough in this game to surpass the under 4.5 strikeouts prop.
Best MLB Prop Bet #1: Jhony Brito UNDER 4.5 strikeouts (-105)
Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins, 7:40 PM ET
Best MLB Prop Bet #2: Sonny Gray Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-170) at bet365
Sonny Gray's recent performance has been lackluster, evident from his 16.8% strikeout rate, 10.3% swinging-strike rate, and 5.10 SIERA in his last six starts.
In fact, he has fallen short of the under 5.5 strikeouts mark in five out of those six outings. This decline is significant when compared to his season-long statistics of a 24.8% K%, 11.6% SwStr%, and 4.09 SIERA.
Considering the formidable Red Sox offense, which has an impressive 18.0% K% in the last 14 days, it is highly unlikely that Gray will manage to accumulate six or more strikeouts in this challenging situation.
Given the circumstances, it would be wise to take advantage of the -170 odds as the under 5.5 strikeouts prop for Gray should perhaps be even lower, around 4.5.
Best MLB Player Prop Bet #2: Sonny Gray Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-170)
Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 PM ET
Best MLB Prop Bet #3: Corey Seager Over 1.5 total bases (+105) at DraftKings
Corey Seager has been a key catalyst for the Texas Rangers, who lead the MLB in scoring and batting average, ranking highly in wRC+, OPS, and home runs. In his standout season, Seager is hitting an impressive .367 with a 1.081 OPS.
Even more remarkable is his current form, with hits in 10 of his last 11 games, resulting in a .478 average and a staggering 1.430 OPS. He has recorded an impressive 11 extra-base hits during this period. Facing Michael Kopech and the Chicago White Sox, Seager is poised to continue his hot streak. Kopech has experienced an inconsistent season, despite a seemingly decent 3.92 ERA.
However, his expected ERA is significantly higher at 5.07, and opponents have been hitting him hard, with an opponent expected slugging percentage of .445. Additionally, Kopech ranks poorly in barrel rate, suggesting that opposing batters have been taking advantage of his pitching. These factors do not bode well for Kopech's ability to contain a player as hot as Seager.
Furthermore, Seager has excelled against right-handed pitchers, boasting a .378 average and a 1.161 OPS. In the current month, Seager has surpassed 1.5 total bases in 11 out of 18 games played, and the opportunity to bet on the over for Seager's 1.5 total bases is still available at plus-money odds.
Given Seager's outstanding form, the favorable matchup against Kopech, and his consistent performance this month, it is highly likely that Seager will record over 1.5 total bases once again.
Best MLB Player Prop Bet #3: Corey Seager Over 1.5 total bases (+105)
San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants, 9:45 PM ET
Best MLB Prop Bet #4: Yu Darvish Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-135) at FanDuel
Yu Darvish is in an advantageous position to record over 5.5 strikeouts. In his last nine starts, he has achieved 6+ strikeouts in six of them. Notably, he faced the San Francisco Giants previously and had a successful outing with nine strikeouts across six innings on April 30th.
Despite giving up nine hits, three homers, and four earned runs that night, Darvish showcased his ability to generate strikeouts against the Giants. Considering the Giants' high strikeout rate, ranking fifth in the league at 24.7%, Darvish has a favorable matchup to continue his strikeout success.
The best odds for this prop bet are -135 to the over at PointsBet, making it an appealing option. Given Darvish's recent performance, his previous success against the Giants, and the opposing team's strikeout tendencies, it is a compelling choice to wager on Darvish recording over 5.5 strikeouts.
Best MLB Prop Bet #5: Yu Darvish Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-135)
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FAQ
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FanDuel does not match deposits for new customers. It does, however, award up to $1,000 in bonus bets if you sign up, make a minimum deposit of $10 using the MLB promo code. If your first bet loses, you get up to $1,000 in bonus bets.
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