Bills vs. Chiefs Anytime TD Scorer, Odds & NFL Week 14 Prediction

How to Watch Bills vs. Chiefs 

• Date: Sunday, December 10, 2023
• Kick Off: 4:25 p.m. ET
• Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
• Where to Watch: CBS

In the upcoming matchup, there's a solid argument for either team's victory. The Kansas City Chiefs, despite a somewhat lackluster offensive performance against the Packers with only 337 yards, have a unique accolade: they're the only NFL team with a 100% success rate on field goals and extra points this season. This fact is crucial for the Bills vs. Chiefs prediction, as their precision in scoring opportunities could be a game-changer. Additionally, the Chiefs have a strong track record of covering the spread in December home games against AFC opponents, having done so in seven of their last eight.

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Turning to NFL week 14 predictions, Kansas City needs to ramp up their offense, as they've scored less than 20 points in three of their last five games. On the other hand, the Buffalo Bills are coming off an extra week of preparation, which could give them an edge. However, the Bills' offense also faces challenges, having scored 25 or fewer points in six of their last eight games. Given these dynamics, a Chiefs bounce-back at home seems likely, especially considering their 11-game winning streak following losses.

As for the Bills vs. Chiefs ATS picks, betting on the Chiefs to cover the 1.5-point spread (-110) at BetMGM looks promising. Their resilience after losses and the Bills’ recent scoring struggles, combined with the Chiefs' impeccable record in kicking, make Kansas City a strong contender to not only win but also cover the spread in this highly anticipated matchup.

⭐  NFL ATS Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110) at BetMGM

⭐ NFL Prop Bet #1: Under 48.5 points (-110) at bet365

Kansas City’s offense has surprisingly been their weak link this season. In their recent loss to the Packers, the Chiefs scored less than 21 points, a trend that has occurred in five of their last seven games. They're currently averaging 22.9 points per game while their defense is allowing 17.3 points per game. The team's rushing game hasn't been particularly strong either, averaging just 109.9 yards per game with only seven touchdowns on the ground. Regarding point totals, Kansas City's games have only exceeded the set point total 33.3% of the time, or four out of twelve games.

Given this context, when considering NFL week 14 predictions, a high-scoring affair seems unlikely. Both teams have shown a need for greater offensive efficiency, and this matchup doesn't appear to be one where we'll see a lot of points on the board. Therefore, leaning towards the Under 48.5 total points (-110) at bet365 seems a wise choice. And while the presence of Taylor Swift might add some excitement, it likely won't be the deciding factor in this NFL showdown.

⭐ NFL Player Prop #1: James Cook Over 48.5 rush yards (-108) at FanDuel

James Cook's season has been a bit like a seesaw, with his time on the field ebbing and flowing. Yet, when we talk about this Sunday's game, particularly focusing on Bills vs. Chiefs player props, it’s wise to bet on Cook surpassing his rushing total. The Buffalo Bills have a jam-packed backfield with the likes of Latavius Murray and Leonard Fournette, but Coach Sean McDermott seems to have a growing fondness for giving Cook the pigskin. Recently, he’s ramped up his rushes, marking some of his highest attempts in the last few games.

Shifting gears to NFL predictions, the Kansas City Chiefs’ run defense is like an open door for a runner like Cook. They’ve been pretty generous, allowing 4.6 yards per carry. The trend is especially glaring when facing number one running backs. The betting line for Cook’s rushing yards started modestly but has inched up, signaling the bettors’ confidence. The consensus in the betting circles is projecting him to sprint past 51 yards, with some speculations even flirting with a 60-yard forecast. Given his upward trajectory in carries and considering the Chiefs’ less-than-stellar defense, Cook hitting north of 60 yards isn’t a far-fetched idea.

Now, talking about the Bills vs. Chiefs player props, putting your chips on Cook to break his rushing yardage ceiling against the Chiefs' defense looks like a smart play. His growing role in the Bills’ strategy, paired with the Chiefs' tendency to give ground, makes him an intriguing figure in what's shaping up to be an exciting clash.

⭐ NFL Player Prop #2: Travis Kelce OVER 70.5 receiving yards (-115) at DraftKings

Travis Kelce's performance seems to be influenced when his girlfriend, Taylor Swift, is present at the games. In the four games without Swift's in-person support, Kelce had a slump, recording only one game over 50 receiving yards and averaging 9.4 yards per reception. However, with Swift at Lambeau, Kelce significantly improved, averaging 20.3 yards per reception. For the season, Kelce has tallied five touchdown catches, 74 receptions for 813 yards on 93 targets, and averages 6.7 catches and 73.9 yards per game.

In NFL picks today, Kelce's reception statistics offer interesting insights. In 11 games, he has exceeded 6.5 receptions five times, three of which occurred with Swift in attendance. A prop to note is Kelce’s longest reception. This season, he has had a reception over 20.5 yards five times, with four instances coinciding with Swift's presence at games. Additionally, with Swift there, Kelce has surpassed 69.5 receiving yards in three out of five opportunities, averaging over 100 yards in those games. Though touchdowns are more unpredictable — Kelce didn't score in his last big week and has only two touchdowns in the five games Swift attended — but this week might be the one when he actually finds the end zone, so placing a wager on Kelce to score a TD anytime (-130) at Draftkings is also a great bet.

The safest bet seems to be Kelce recording Over 70.5 receiving yards (-115) at DraftKings, considering two factors: Kelce’s history of strong performances against the Bills and his enhanced play with Swift watching. Following these trends suggests that this bet is a likely one. Furthermore, it has been 

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