Cavaliers vs. Kings Prediction, Odds & NBA Player Props for 11/13

NBA Pick: ⭐ Kings -1.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM

Next up, let’s break down why the Sacramento Kings look like a solid bet to cover their -1.5 point spread in tonight's game against the Cleveland Cavaliers. While the Kings might not jump out as the obvious choice, especially without their star player De’Aaron Fox, they've shown resilience by winning their last two games.

First off, in their recent performance, the Kings have been strong on the offensive glass, a key factor that’s helped them, especially on nights when their shooting hasn’t been spot-on. This kind of hustle could be crucial against the Cavs. Speaking of the Cavaliers, they've had a decent run recently with two wins in their last three games, both against the Warriors. However, their main man, Donovan Mitchell, has been struggling with his shot in the last couple of outings. This could be a potential advantage for Sacramento, whose defense has been pretty solid.

For our NBA prediction, it's important to note that the Kings have been holding their fort well at home, winning their last three games at the Golden 1 Center. Despite missing Fox, they've shown they can pull through. Plus, with Fox being a full participant in Sunday’s practice and listed as questionable, there might be a boost if he does make an appearance.

When considering the NBA picks today, it’s worth noting the Cavaliers' pace of play. They're one of the slowest teams in the league, which could play into the Kings' hands. While the under might be a tempting bet, the stronger play seems to be backing the Kings to secure a victory at home. With their recent home form and Cleveland’s less-than-impressive 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games, Sacramento seems in a good position to not just cover the spread but also clinch the win.

So, for the Cavaliers vs. Kings ATS pick, my lean is towards the Kings. They’ve shown they can step up even in Fox's absence, and against a slower-paced Cavaliers team, they could very well continue their strong home performance. Final score prediction? I’m seeing the Sacramento Kings pulling off a 116-109 victory.

⭐ Recommended Bet: Kings -1.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM

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NBA Pick: ⭐ Under 226 points (-110) at FanDuel

The Under 226 points total seems like a solid bet for the Cavaliers vs. Kings game tonight. Both teams are facing some scoring challenges that could impact the game's total points.

Starting with the Kings, they're missing their leading scorer, which is a big deal. This absence could definitely put a dent in their scoring potential. Over in the Cavs camp, their top scorer hasn't been on his best form in the last couple of games. Add to that, both teams have been fairly decent on defense – Cleveland ranks 13th and Sacramento 17th in opponents' points allowed. However, it's worth noting that neither squad is lighting up the scoreboard; the Cavs are 24th in points per game (ppg), and the Kings aren't far ahead at 18th.

In terms of NBA picks today, history also points towards a lower-scoring affair. The total has gone under in 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two, and it's been a similar story in their recent matchups, with the under cashing 8 times in their last 10 games since December 6, 2017.

While the Cavaliers have been part of higher-scoring games recently, hitting the Over in 3 of their past 4, and the Kings have had the Over in 4 of their 5 road games, the trends seem to favor the Under tonight. For the Cavs, the Under is 2-2 when they're favored, and for the Kings, the Under has cashed in 3 of their last 5 games overall, and it's even at home.

So, for today's NBA best bets, it looks like leaning towards the Under is the way to go. Both teams' recent struggles with their shooting, combined with their defensive capabilities, suggest this won't be a high-scoring affair. Plus, historical trends between these teams reinforce this prediction. The total going UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 16 games, and UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games against Cleveland, adds more weight to this prediction.

⭐ Recommended Bet: Under 226 points (-110) at FanDuel

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NBA Player Prop: ⭐ Jarrett Allen Under 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-115) at Caesars

NBA fans looking at Knicks vs. Celtics player props should take a close look at Jarrett Allen’s potential performance tonight. Betting on Allen to record under 19.5 points + rebounds (-115) at Caesars seems like a prudent move, especially considering his current situation.

Allen, who has been easing back into the game post an ankle injury, has only played in four games this season. He's been under a minutes restriction in each of these contests, which is set to continue tonight against the Sacramento Kings. This limited playtime significantly impacts his potential to rack up high numbers in points and rebounds.

Delving into NBA player props and Allen's performance this season, he's had a mixed bag. In two games, he's hit 20 or more in the combined points and rebounds category, but in another two, he's hovered around 17. His restricted minutes – capped at around 28 – naturally caps his ceiling too. His season-high in scoring is just 14 points, and he hasn’t managed to pull down 10 rebounds in any game yet.

Considering the Kings' middle-of-the-road status in rebounds and points allowed per game, Allen's matchup tonight isn’t particularly advantageous. To bet on his over, he'd need to be in a much more favorable position. Given his current minutes restriction and performance so far, the safer bet seems to be on him staying under the 19.5 points + rebounds threshold.

⭐ Recommended Bet: Jarrett Allen Under 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-115) at Caesars