College Basketball Parlay Picks, Odds & Player Props for 12/11

NCAA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐ Gonzaga -40.5 (-110) at FanDuel

The only top 25 team in action on Monday is No. 7 Gonzaga when the Bulldogs host Mississippi Valley State. This is as big of a mismatch as you can get, with Mississippi Valley State ranked as one of the worst teams on the advanced metric sites. At KenPom, Mississippi Valley State is ranked as the worst team in the country at No. 362. 

We're going with Gonzaga -40.5 (-110) at FanDuel. There should not be a letdown for the Bulldogs, who will be motivated after losing on the road to rival Washington on Saturday. Mississippi Valley State has not won a game and has already lost by more than 30 points against Power Five teams such as Oklahoma, UCONN and TCU. 

Gonzaga ranks inside the top 20 in KenPom on offensive and defensive efficiency, while the Delta Devils are near last in the country in each of those categories. The only way this couldn't end up as a blowout would be if Gonzaga overlooked Mississippi Valley State, but that became less likely with the Washington loss. We expect Gonzaga to win big. 

Betting Pick: Gonzaga -40.5 (-110) at FanDuel

NCAA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐ Graham Ike Over 14.5 Points (+100) at BetMGM

Graham Ike has continued to be dominant inside for Gonzaga. The former Wyoming standout and Mountain West Conference Player of the Year is averaging 14.3 points per game and making 57% of his shot attempts at Gonzaga this season. We're going to back Ike against the small frontcourt of Mississippi Valley State. 

We like Graham Ike Over 14.5 Points (+100) at BetMGM. Ike has cleared this prop total in his last two games and should dominate against the Delta Devils, who lack the size to handle Ike inside. 

Ike has also played well against the weaker competition this season, including scoring 17 points against Arkansas-Pine Bluff and 25 points in a blowout win against Eastern Oregon. Mississippi Valley State is the same caliber of opponent as those teams, so we expect another dominant showing from the efficient Ike. 

Betting Pick:  Graham Ike Over 14.5 Points (+100) at BetMGM

⭐ NCAA Best Bet Today #3:  Ryan Nembhard Under 12.5 Points (-102) at FanDuel

Ryan Nembhard has yet to find the same shooting touch he had during his first two seasons at Creighton. At Gonzaga, Nemnbhard is making just 21% from 3-point range, down 14% from a year ago at Creighton. Overall, Nembhard is making just 40% of his shot attempts on the season. 

We will go with Ryan Nembhard Under 12.5 Points (-102) at FanDuel. In addition to his poor shooting, we expect Nembhard to see fewer minutes in what should be a blowout. He leads Gonzaga at 35 minutes per contest and Nembhard just played all 40 minutes in the loss to Washington, so he should a smaller workload. 

Nembhard has also not posted a high scoring total against weak competition as he has preferred to set up his teammates in wins over Eastern Oregon and Arkansas-Pine Bluff. He had six points against Eastern Oregon and just seven in the win over Arkansas Pine Bluff but did have nine assists. On the season, Nembhard has only scored more than 12 points in three of nine games this season, and we feel that trend will continue in a game where he will likely sit out more than normal. 

Betting Pick: Ryan Nembhard Under 12.5 Points (-102) at FanDuel

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