College Football Player Props, Week 11 Odds & Best College Football Bets
Week 11 College Football Predictions & Best Bets Today: November 11, 2023
- ⭐ Jalen Milroe Over 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
- ⭐ J.J. McCarthy Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Daijun Edwards Over 85.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Bo Nix Over 320.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
We're on to Week 10 of the college football season, and we're here to give you our best player prop bets. Keep reading to see what player props we are confident in backing on Saturday's full slate of college football games.
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NCAA Player Prop No. 1: Jalen Milroe Over 45.5 Rushing Yards
⭐ Best Bet: Jalen Milroe Over 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Jalen Milroe has continued to get better throughout the season for Alabama. Milroe is also coming off his best game of the season. In the 42-28 win over LSU, Mileroe threw for 219 yards and added 155 yards rushing and four touchdowns. We're going to look to target Mileroe in the rushing player prop market.
We like Jalen Milroe Over 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM. Alabama has unlocked Milroe's potential as a runner, highlighted by his 20 carries for 155 yards against LSU.
With Alabama set to continue to feature Milroe in the running game, we feel there's value in backing him in the rushing player prop market. He has already gained at least 45 yards in three games this season and figures to be featured more as a runner going forward considering the success Alabama has had with it recently.
Best Bet: Jalen Milroe Over 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
NCAA Prop No. 2: J.J. McCarthy Over 13.5 Rushing Yards
⭐ J.J. McCarthy Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
This betting line seems unreasonably low. J.J. McCarthy has been an elite runner this season, extending plays and taking advantage of over-aggressive pass rushers to find yardage with his legs.
We like J.J. McCarthy Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel. McCarthy has already had five games with at least 17 rushing yards or more. He's also cleared 13.5 yards in four of his last six games, including outings with 51, 30, 17 and 27 rushing yards.
Penn State has one of the best run defenses in the country, leading the nation in yards allowed per carry (1.9). But McCarthy won't be a traditional runner and should be able to take advantage of Penn State's aggressive pass rush. The Nittany Lions are second in sack percentage (12.5%), so there should be running lanes for McCarthy to take advantage of.
Realistically, as long as he avoids sacks and kneel-downs at the end of the game, McCarthy should be able to get this prop with one or two scrambles.
Best Betting Pick: J.J. McCarthy Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
Best NCAA Player Prop No. 3: Daijun Edwards Over 85.5 Rushing Yards
⭐ Daijun Edwards Over 85.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Daijun Edwards has continued to produce as Georgia's lead back. Edwards has 633 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 5.7 yards per carry. We are going to look to back Edwards in Saturday's matchup against Ole Miss.
We like Daijun Edwards Over 85.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM. Edwards has gone over this yardage prop in two of his last three games, including 96 yards against Florida and 146 versus Vanderbilt.
Edwards will now face an Ole Miss defense that is average against the run. The Rebels are 59th in rushing yards allowed per game (142.8) and just gave up 152 yards last week to Texas A&M. Considering Georgia's advantages in the trenches, we like Edwards to clear this prop against Ole Miss.
Best Betting Pick: Daijun Edwards Over 85.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Best NCAA Player Prop No. 4: Bo Nix Over 320.5 Passing Yards
⭐ Bo Nix Over 320.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
USC's defense is embarrassingly bad. The Trojans are 118th in scoring defense (34.5) and 113th in yards allowed (436). It came as no surprise to see defensive coordinator Alex Grinch fired after the loss to Washington. We will gladly take advantage of of USC's bad defense and back Oregon quarterback Bo Nix.
We are going with Bo Nix Over 320.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel. This is a huge number, but certainly attainable for a player of Nix's caliber. Nix is coming off a 63-19 win over Cal where he passed for 386 yards. He's also passed for 337 yards versus Washington and 359 yards in the win over Texas Tech. All of those teams have better defenses than USC.
Considering the firepower of USC's offense, we expect Oregon and Nix to be aggressive throughout the contest and pile up the yardage. USC hasn't stopped anyone all year, and we don't expect the Trojans to stop an Oregon team that's pursuing a College Football Playoff bid.
Best Betting Pick: Bo Nix Over 320.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 college football season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. Come this September, Kentucky will be launching online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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