College Football Player Props, Week 8 Odds & Best College Football Bets
Week 7 College Football Predictions & Best Bets Today: October 21, 2023
- ⭐ Kyle McCord Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Blake Corum Under 88.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Joe Milton Under 197.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Caleb Williams Under 278.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
The college football season continues with Week 7, and we found four of the best college football betting props for you to consider. Keep reading to see what betting angles we feel are worth making a bet on.
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NCAA Player Prop No. 1: Kyle McCord Under 238.5 Passing Yards
⭐ Best Bet: Kyle McCord Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
The biggest game of the week features No. 7 Penn State visiting No. 4 Ohio State in a matchup with major Big Ten and national title implications. It's also where we are going to go with our first college football player prop, and we are going to target the passing yards for Ohio State's Kyle McCord.
We like Kyle McCord Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM. McCord has thrown for more than 239 yards in every game this season, but he is about to face a Nittany Lions defense that has stifled opponents all year long.
Penn State ranks second in points allowed (8.2) and is first in yards allowed per game (204.4) and ninth in opponents' third-down conversion rate (29%). The Nittany Lions rank first in passing yards allowed average (137) and in completion percentage, allowing opponents to complete just 51% of passes. Penn State is also elite at rushing the quarterback with the second-highest sack rate in the country (14%).
There are too many strengths for the Penn State defense where we don't expect a big game from McCord. We like Penn State to continue its form on defense and make it a grind-it-out battle, keeping McCord's yardage total low.
Best Bet: Kyle McCord Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
NCAA Prop No. 2: Blake Corum Under 88.5 Rushing Yards
⭐ Blake Corum Under 88.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
We hit on Blake Corum's under last week against Indiana when it was posted at 92.5 yards, and it won with ease with Corum finishing with 52 yards on 13 carries in the 52-7 victory. Once again we are going to target Corum's under for Saturday's matchup with Michigan State.
We're going with Blake Corum Under 88.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel. Corum has not gained more than 80 yards in any of his last three games and has done so just twice in seven contests. It's clear the Wolverines are set on utilizing a committee in its rushing attack, which can cut into Corum's opportunities.
Similar to the Indiana game, this rivalry showdown with Michigan State could also end up as a blowout. This would also limit Corum's rushing attempts since there would be no reason to burn him in a meaningless blowout. All of these factors and the recent trend of lower rushing yardages have us liking the under on Corum's yardage.
Best Betting Pick: Blake Corum Under 88.5Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
Best NCAA Player Prop No. 3: Joe Milton Under 197.5 Passing Yards
⭐ Joe Milton Under 197.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
It was a struggle for Tennessee quarterback Joe Milton in the 20-13 win over Texas A&M. Milton had just 100 yards passing while completing only 11 of 22 passes. He also threw an interception and was sacked three times. Over his last three games, he has just 548 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions.
Given Milton's recent struggles, we like Joe Milton Under 197.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM. He will now have to face a solid Alabama defense that ranks third nationally in sacks with 26. The Crimson Tide's secondary also gives up just 187.1 passing yards per game, ranking third in the SEC and 19th in the nation.
Alabama ranks as one of the top coverage teams in the country, which should create issues for Milton and Tennessee's struggling offense.
Best Betting Pick: Joe Milton Under 197.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Best NCAA Player Prop No. 4: Caleb Williams Under 278.5 Passing Yards
⭐ Caleb Williams Under 278.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
Caleb Williams struggled last week against Notre Dame, completing just 23 of 37 passes for 199 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. The USC quarterback did not resemble the Heisman Trophy winner form from a year ago, and now the Trojans will have to bounce back against a Utah defense that ranks fifth in points allowed per game (13.2).
We're going with Caleb Williams Under 278.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel. Saturday's performance against Notre Dame highlighted a trend where Williams has mostly struggled against top-25 scoring defenses:
- 2021 Baylor: 9-18, 142 yards, 2 interceptions
- 2021 Iowa State: 8-18, 87 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception
- 2021 Oklahoma State: 20-39, 252 yards, 3 touchdowns
- 2022 Oregon State: 16-36, 180 yards, 1 touchdown, 3 interceptions
- 2023 Notre Dame: 23-37, 199 yards, 1 touchdown, 3 interceptions
Utah ranks fifth in scoring defense and also fifth in opponents' completion percentage (53.6%). USC will have to do a better job of protecting Williams after surrendering six sacks last week to Notre Dame. The Utes rank fifth in sack percentage at 10.8%.
Utah has the type of defense that continues the trend of forcing Williams into bad games, so we're going with the under in the passing prop market for Williams.
Best Betting Pick: Caleb Williams Under 278.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 college football season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. Come this September, Kentucky will be launching online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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