Colts vs. Bills NFL Predictions, Preview & NFL Best Bets for 08/12
Bills vs. Colts NFL Preseason Week 1 Predictions & NFL Best Bets
- ⭐ Colts -3.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Over 39.5 points (-101) at Caesars
- ⭐ Over 19 points in first half (-110) at FanDuel
The NFL preseason Week 1 is set to kick off with an exciting match between the Indianapolis Colts and the Buffalo Bills on August 12th at Highmark Stadium.
The Colts, who finished last season with a disappointing 4-12-1 record, have made significant moves to bolster their offense, including drafting QB Anthony Richardson and signing WR Isaiah McKenzie and RB Kenyan Drake. On the other hand, the Bills, who ended last season with a strong 13-3 record, have added TE Dalton Kincaid and made key defensive signings.
BetMGM Sportsbook has set the odds with the Colts at -185 and the Bills at +150, making the Colts the favorites. The spread is set at Colts -3.5 (-110) and Bills +3.5 (-110), with Caesars offering -101 odds for the Over of 39.5 total points.
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Colts vs. Bills Predictions, Odds and Current Form
- Date: Saturday, August 12, 1 PM EDT
- Location: Highmark Stadium
- TV: NFL Network
- My best bet: ⭐Colts -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook
The Indianapolis Colts are set to visit Highmark Stadium to face the Buffalo Bills on August 12th, with kickoff scheduled for 1:00 pm EDT.
The Colts' key players like Michael Pittman and Jonathan Taylor have shown consistent performance, while the Bills' players like Josh Allen have been hitting their marks as well. The Colts' best bets include covering the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games, while the Bills have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games.
The Colts' keys to the game include improving their interception rate, as they were worst in the NFL when throwing at least one interception last season. The Bills, on the other hand, were fourth-best in the NFL when forcing one or more turnovers last season.
The Colts are -3.5 pts betting favorites in this preseason matchup, and the Over/Under is set at 39.5 total points for the game.
The Bills were undefeated against top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season, and they were also undefeated when converting 55% or more of their red zone chances into touchdowns. The Colts struggled in the 2022 season, tied for 3rd-worst in the NFL, and were 4th-worst at home.
The matchup notes reveal that the Bills threw 9 touchdown passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season, tied for second-most in the NFL, while the Colts allowed 9 passing TDs in the same period. The Bills' offense has been strong in the red zone, while the Colts' defense has been best in the NFL on 3rd and short.
The game promises to be an exciting clash between two teams with distinct strengths and weaknesses. The Colts' offense will need to overcome their turnover issues, while the Bills' defense will look to capitalize on their red zone efficiency. The Colts vs. Bills NFL predictions encapsulate the anticipation and analysis leading up to this thrilling NFL preseason Week 1 game.
Best Betting Pick: ⭐Colts -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Colts vs. Bills Betting Odds & Picks
Based on the detailed analysis, here are the top three betting tips:
⭐ Colts -3.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM: The Colts are favored by 3.5 points, and the model predicts they will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence. The Colts have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games. Their offense, led by key players like Michael Pittman and Jonathan Taylor, has been consistent, and they have shown strong performance against defenses similar to the Bills', which allowed 9 passing TDs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season. The Colts' ability to capitalize on the Bills' defensive weaknesses, coupled with their recent form, makes this a solid bet. The ATS bet here offers good value, especially considering the Colts' recent success in covering spreads.
⭐ Over 39.5 points (-101) at Caesars: The Over/Under for the game is set at 39.5 points, but considering the Bills' offensive strength in the red zone and the Colts' defensive prowess on 3rd and short, this game could see a higher score. The Bills have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games, and their offensive efficiency, especially in the red zone, supports this pick. The Colts' defense, while strong on 3rd and short, has shown vulnerabilities that the Bills can exploit. This Over bet takes into account both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive tendencies, making it a well-reasoned choice.
⭐ Over 19 points in the first half (-110) at FanDuel: Both teams have shown the ability to score early in the game. The Bills have run 24% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season, the best in the NFL. Their aggressive offensive strategy, led by quarterback Josh Allen, has resulted in high-scoring first halves. The Colts, despite their struggles, have scored first in 4 of their last 5 away games. Their offensive game plan, focusing on early scoring, aligns with this bet. This Over bet for the first half is backed by both teams' offensive strategies and recent performances, suggesting a high-scoring first half.
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