Dolphins vs. Commanders Prediction, Odds & NFL Week 13 Player Props

How to Watch Dolphins vs. Commanders   

• Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023
• Kick Off: 1:00 PM ET
• Location: FedEx Field – Landover, MD            
• Where to Watch: FOX

We’ll start our NFL predictions with the ATS pick, as we like Miami in this spot even though the Dolphins had 17 players on Wednesday’s injury report. Four Phins didn’t practice yesterday including Tyreek Hill (ankle), who returned to practice Thursday, according to David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel. 

Last Friday, the Dolphins (8-3; 7-4 ATS) trounced the New York Jets 34-13 as 9.5-point road favorites. Hill went off for 102 receiving yards and a touchdown, Jaylen Waddle had eight catches for 114 yards, and Raheem Mostert posted 20 carries for 94 yards and a couple of scores. Tua Tagovailoa was picked off twice, and the Phins still cruised past the Jets. 

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On the other side, the Commanders (4-8; 5-6-1 ATS) are on a three-game losing streak following a heavy 45-10 defeat at the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving. Sam Howell threw for 300 yards and an interception, but the Commanders failed to score in the second half and yielded 25 fourth-quarter points. 

Washington is dead last in the league in points allowed (29.2 per game). The Commanders have surrendered a whopping 105 points over their last three outings, so we are expecting the Dolphins to dominate. Add the Miami Dolphins -9.5 (-110) at BetMGM to your NFL picks today.  

⭐  NFL ATS Pick: Miami Dolphins -9.5 (-110) at BetMGM

⭐ NFL Player Prop #1: Jaylen Waddle Anytime TD Scorer (+110) at bet365  

The Commanders have allowed 28 receiving touchdowns so far this season, the most in the NFL by far. Unfortunately, Tyreek Hill sits at -163 to score anytime, and Tua Tagovailoa’s line has been set at 1.5 TD passes with the over at -200, so we have to start our NFL player props with Jaylen Waddle. 

Over his last three games, Waddle has caught 15 passes for 211 yards but hasn’t found the end zone. He’s scored three times so far this season, and the clash against Washington is a nice opportunity for Waddle to increase his tally. The Commanders have yielded 18 touchdowns to the opposing wideouts thus far, so add Jaylen Waddle Anytime TD Scorer (+110) at bet365  to your Week 13 NFL picks. 

⭐ NFL Player Prop #2: Tua Tagovailoa Over 280.5 Passing Yards (-115) at FanDuel   

It’s fair to say that Tua Tagovailoa has been pretty inconsistent lately. Over his previous five outings, Tua has thrown for 1,301 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions. He’s tossed for 243 or fewer yards in three of those five contests while surpassing a 300-yard mark in the other two. 

We are expecting to see a strong performance from Tua in Week 13, and he’s among our NFL player props . The Commanders’ pass rush has struggled since the trade deadline when they lost both Montez Sweat and Chase Young. Washington allows 264.6 passing yards per game (30^th in the NFL) and 12.4 yards per pass completion (31^st). Take Tua Tagovailoa Over 280.5 Passing Yards (-115) at FanDuel. 

⭐ NFL Player Prop #3: Jaylen Waddle Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at DraftKings 

According to DraftKings, the Commanders are yielding the most fantasy points per game to the opposing quarterbacks. They are also giving up the second-most fantasy points to the opposing wide receivers, so we switch our focus to Jaylen Waddle once more. We would like to add Tyreek Hill to our NFL picks, but his ankle injury scares us. 

Anyway, the Dolphins should take full advantage of Washington’s struggling pass D. Waddle is too good for the Commanders’ secondary, and we’ll take him to eclipse a 66.5-yard mark (-110) at DraftKings . In two of his last four showings, Waddle has recorded more than 100 receiving yards. 

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