Jaguars vs. Saints Thursday Night Football Player Props & NFL Picks for 10/19

⭐ My Best Bet: Jaguars Win By 1-6 Points (+360) at BetMGM

First up for our Saints vs. Jaguars Predictions, we have the Jaguars winning by 1-6 points. Heading into this game, Jacksonville are three-point underdogs, but we’re picking them to win. 

The Saints offense averages 18.2 points per game compared to the Jaguars’ 23.7. The Saints have a solid pass rush, but Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been solid when facing pressure, completing 49% of his passes for 355 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. However, when his offensive line can keep him clean, he’s competing over 72% of his passes for 1,086 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception. 

The Saints must go up against weapons in Christian Kirk and Calvin Ridley. Their cornerbacks going against them are Marshon Lattimore, Alontae Taylor, and Paulson Adebo. Taylor has been one of the worst corners on the team, allowing 32 catches on 51 targets for 300 yards and three touchdowns. Adebo has yet to allow a touchdown but allows nearly 17 yards per catch, which doesn’t bode well against these Jaguars pass catchers. 

For our NFL Picks and Props in Week 7 for the Saints vs. Jaguars prediction, take the Jaguars to narrowly win by 1-6 points. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Jaguars Win By 1-6 Points (+360) at BetMGM

⭐ Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at DraftKings

In the next of our NFL Picks in this Saints vs. Jaguars prediction, we’ll take the over on Kamara’s receiving yards of 29.5 yards. 

This season, Kamara has played in three games and has gone for more than 29.5 receiving yards in two of the three games. In the game, he didn’t; he reached 17 but caught just three passes. Against the Texans in Week 6, Kamara caught six passes for 36 yards. In his first game back, he caught 13 passes for 33 yards. 

The Jaguars have some great cornerbacks, including Darious Williams, so it might force more checkdowns from Saints quarterback Derek Carr. 

Kamara gets plenty of targets, and he should be able to get at least 30 receiving yards here despite the total of less than 40. 

Expect Kamara to have a productive outing for our second NFL Week 7 Predictions.

⭐ Best Betting Pick: Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at DraftKings

⭐  Derek Carr Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-150) at DraftKings

Finally, for the final Saints vs. Jaguars prediction, we’re looking at Saints signal caller Derek Carr.

With this NFL Week 7 Pick, we look back at Carr’s season, and he’s had just one game with two passing touchdowns or more, which came in Week 5 against the New England Patriots. Besides that, he’s had three games with one touchdown and two games with zero passing touchdowns. 

The Jaguars allow 1.5 passing touchdowns per game, but as mentioned, the total here is 38.5 points. Carr has just five passing touchdowns this season, and the Jaguars have some capable cornerbacks. 

He simply hasn’t shown much this season that would suggest a multi-touchdown performance against really any team, so for our final NFL Prediction in Week 7, we’ll lean under on Carr’s touchdown tosses. 

How to Watch Saints vs. Jaguars

• Date: Thursday, October 19, 2023
• Kick Off: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
• Where to Watch: AMAZON 

⭐ Best Betting Pick:  Derek Carr Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-150) at DraftKings