Miami vs. Toledo Prediction, Odds & First Look MAC Championship Picks
Miami vs. Toledo Predictions & Best Bets Today: December 2, 2023
- ⭐ Dequan Finn Under 179.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Aevon Smith Under 156.5 Passing Yards (-115) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Jerjuan Newton Under 48.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
It's Conference Championship week in college football, and we're here to give you our best player prop bets for the Miami vs. Toledo State MAC Championship matchup. Keep reading to see what spread and player props we are confident in backing Saturday's matchup.
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Miami vs. Toledo College Football Odds & Predictions
⭐ Best Bet: Dequan Finn Under 179.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
For our first player prop, we're going to target Toledo quarterback Dequan Finn. The junior quarterback has been efficient this season, passing for 2,384 yards and 21 touchdowns, but we're going to fade Finn in the matchup against Miami.
We like Dequan Finn Under 179.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM. Finn has struggled lately, throwing for under 180 yards in five of the final seven games of the season. He ended the year by passing for just 97 yards against a bad Central Michigan defense.
Miami also had success in limiting Finn's yardage numbers in the first matchup between the two teams. Finn completed 16 of 28 passes for 160 yards and was largely shut down in the second half of Toledo's 21-17 win after the RedHawks made adjustments. We're going to back Miami to continue to stifle Finn and take the under on his passing yardage prop.
Best Bet: Dequan Finn Under 179.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Miami vs. Toledo College Football Odds & Predictions
⭐ Aevon Smith Under 156.5 Passing Yards (-115) at FanDuel
Aevon Smith will now get a second shot at facing Toledo. Finn was thrust into action in the Oct. 21 matchup against Toledo when quarterback Brett Gabbert broke his leg attempting to score a touchdown. Smith was largely ineffective, completing just 3 of 7 passes for 23 yards and also had the game-losing fumble.
We're going with Aevon Smith Under 156.5 Passing Yards (-115) at FanDuel. In four games as a starter this season, Smith has only passed for more than 156 yards in one of those games.
Toledo also has one of the better pass defenses in the league, ranking fifth in the MAC in fewest passing yards allowed (189.1). Considering how lost Smith looked the first time against Miami and how the RedHawks still prefer to lean on their ground game and defense, we're going to take the under on Smith's passing yardage prop against Toledo.
Best Betting Pick: Aevon Smith Under 156.5 Passing Yards (-115) at FanDuel
Miami vs. Toledo College Football Odds & Predictions
⭐ Best Bet: ⭐ Jerjuan Newton Under 48.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Unsurprisingly, as Dequan Finn's passing numbers have fallen off at the end of the regular season, Toldeo wide receiver Jerjuan Newton has also seen his stats decrease. Over the last seven games, Newton has only had 50 yards receiving in two of those contests. We're going to look to fade Newton against Miami Ohio.
We like Jerjuan Newton Under 48.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM. Newton had just one catch for 14 yards against Central Michigan in the regular-season finale and didn't light the world on fire against Miami the first time. He had just four catches for 32 yards in Toledo's win over the RedHawks.
Considering how Newton has been held to under 50 yards in five of his last seven games, we're going to take the under in what will be a defensive battle between two teams who are familiar with each other.
Best Bet: Jerjuan Newton Under 48.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 college football season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. Come this September, Kentucky will be launching online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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