MLB Picks and Parlays: Best MLB Parlay Picks for NLCS Game 6 Diamondbacks vs Phillies

⭐ Phillies +1.5 on the RL (+114) at BetMGM

Phillies' ace Aaron Nola has showcased postseason brilliance reminiscent of his Cy Young-caliber performance last year. 

In three outings this postseason, Nola tallied 19 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings, surrendering only two earned runs and two walks for an impressive 0.96 ERA. 

His resurgence is a key factor in the Phillies' starting rotation collectively boasting a league-leading 1.48 ERA in the postseason's early stages.

Despite a somewhat subpar regular season, Nola ranks fourth in WAR over the last three seasons, surpassing even this year's likely AL Cy Young winner, Gerrit Cole. Furthermore, Nola has been exceptional in Philadelphia's previous four series-clinching games, yielding just one earned run across 27 innings.

Philadelphia's power hitters, including Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and J.T. Realmuto, regained their long-ball form in Game 5, potentially carrying that momentum back home. 

With 17 home runs in six postseason home games, the Phillies should capitalize on power hitting with runners on base in Game 6, seeking to widen their series lead.

⭐ Best MLB Pick: Phillies +1.5 on the RL (+114) at BetMGM

⭐ Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-135) at Caesars

Nola thrives in his home ballpark, consistently delivering standout performances. Throughout his career, he's maintained a 4.25 ERA on the road but shines with a remarkable 3.20 ERA at home, often pitching over six innings per start.

His home advantage is particularly evident in his impressive 10.71 K/9 rate, equating to a remarkable 29.7% strikeout rate.

This season accentuates the contrast, with a 3.29 ERA at home compared to a less favorable 5.43 ERA on the road. Nola consistently ranks among the top 5% of league pitchers in chase rate, backed by his highly effective curveball.

In the postseason, Nola excels, boasting a 5-2 record with a 3.25 ERA in eight games, accumulating 46 strikeouts in 44 1/3 innings. The Phillies hold a strong 4-1 record with Nola on the mound at home in the postseason, including a perfect 3-0 this year, with 29 strikeouts in 28 2/3 innings.

Expect manager Rob Thompson to rely on Nola in light of bullpen inconsistencies. In this postseason, Nola maintains a 0.96 ERA in three starts, with 19 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings. 

If he completes six innings, I anticipate at least six strikeouts in this pivotal game.

⭐ Best MLB Pick: Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-135) at Caesars

⭐ Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits  (-130) at DraftKings

Schwarber boasts an impressive team-high 47 home runs, ranking second in the majors in this category. 

His offensive prowess extends beyond just homers, as he also holds the 11th position in RBI totals among all hitters. 

Going into this game, Schwarber carries a two-game hitting streak and an impressive five-game stretch where he's hitting at an outstanding .412 clip. 

During this recent run, he has showcased his power with five home runs and contributed with five walks and five RBI. 

I believe these stats alone point to Schwarber's strong potential to connect for a hit on Monday night.

⭐ Best MLB Pick: Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits  (-130) at DraftKings