NASCAR Predictions: FireKeepers Casino 400 Odds & Best NASCAR Bets Today

Here are some particulars for the 2023 edition of the Firekeepers Casino 400 to be held on Sunday afternoon at Michigan International Speedway. 

When looking at NASCAR predictions, it helps to look at Michigan International Speedway and its history. Ford has won this race five times, led by Kevin Harvick, who has won the race four times recently. That included last year, which helped seal a playoff spot for the Stewart-Haas Racing driver. 

The “Irish Hills” feature a two-mile track with 18-degree turns. That creates intense high-speed racing. Combine that with a wide track, creating a recipe for aggressive racing. Hendrick Motorsports (Chevy) and the Toyota cars are also ones to watch for this week as they carry good speed.

Naturally, the FireKeepers Casino 400 odds feature a sprinkling of these drivers, including Kevin Harvick, Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, Martin Truex Jr., and more. 

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⭐ Kevin Harvick to win (+850) at Caesars

Let us look at some best bets for this weekend’s race from Michigan.

Kevin Harvick has won this race four times in five years and is not the favorite. Kyle Larson is the top favorite, with Denny Hamlin on his rear. That is partially why NASCAR predictions can be so challenging. Harvick holds an average position of 4.3 since 2020 at Michigan and has led 30.7% of the laps raced. 

Late-run speed has favored the Ford even with the newer cars. Last year, Harvick held off Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney, plus three Toyota’s. Look at what occurred with Chris Buescher last week with fewer cautions (three) at Richmond. Even in 2022, there were seven cautions on the intermediate track. This makes Kevin Harvick to win (+850) at Caesars a worthy play.

Finally, when it comes to the FireKeepers Casino 400 odds, consider track correlation. One of the courses Harvick excels at is Kansas Speedway. It also has lower tire wear and allows for higher speeds. This is also Harvick’s last race at Michigan.

Best NASCAR Pick: Kevin Harvick to win (+850) at Caesars.

⭐ CLICK HERE to bet on Kevin Harvick to win ! ⭐ 

⭐ Denny Hamlin to win (+750) at BetMGM

Again, Denny Hamlin has to feel like the Bridesmaid at Michigan sometimes. He has the best average finishing position at 4.0. Hamlin is one of two drivers to finish inside the top ten in every race since 2020. Consistency and early speed do not equal wins, but they put a driver into contention in the Firekeepers Casino 400 odds., making Hamlin a solid pick to win (+750) at BetMGM.

Hamlin is now second in points after last week at Richmond. His playoff spot is secure, but the Joe Gibbs Racing driver is only third in playoff points. Having a buffer in September helps when it comes to advancing in the chase. Last year saw the No. 11 car tie for the most laps, led by Kevin Harvick at 38. In the end, Hamlin barely held off Joey Logan for third place. 

Toyota has shown some late-race bounce in a few places. Could it happen in Michigan? Anything is possible, and that is why NASCAR predictions are fun. Hamlin has 50 career wins for a reason. 

Best NASCAR Pick:  Denny Hamlin to win (+750) at BetMGM.

⭐ CLICK HERE to bet on Denny Hamlin! ⭐ 

⭐ Kyle Larson to win (+700) at Caesars

This season Kyle Larson has had one fast race car. Larson and his Hendrick Motorsports Racing team have had some bad luck too. Overall, Larson has six DNFs on the season. That includes several races where the No. 5 car was at or near the lead. He is the top favorite in the NASCAR predictions this week, making Larson to win (+700) at Caesars one of our top bets.

The 2022 race saw Larson near the front before falling back late. He settled for seventh. The year before, Larson was third after Stage 2, briefly took the lead again late, and then lost a few positions on a restart and a poor turn. No one would be surprised to see Larson end up on the pole, either. He did in 2021.

Simply, it boils down to the final laps on the two-mile track. Can Larson and his Chevy stay in front? Larson has won on a track like Kansas. Do not count him out in the FireKeepers Casino 400 odds.

Best NASCAR Pick:  Kyle Larson to win (+700) at Caesars.

⭐ CLICK HERE to bet on Kyle Larson to win! ⭐ 

⭐ Bubba Wallace to win (+1400) at FanDuel

Our NASCAR predictions slightly swing at a driver like Bubba Wallace, who drives well on intermediate tracks with lower tire wear. The 23XI Racing driver might be in a better position this year if not for his pit crew. That is for another time. Wallace is 54 points ahead on the playoff bubble. However, if anyone wins below, that is one fewer spot to fall into. 

Last year saw Bubba Wallace and Kevin Harvick battle for the win late. Wallace almost pulled off the victory but came up short. That second was telling. This year, the No. 23 car was fourth at Auto Club and fourth at Kansas. He was in contention late in those races. and we believe a bet on Wallace to win (+1400) at FanDuel is a solid bet.

If Wallace can get a string of decent to good pit stops, there is a solid chance he can challenge for a win on Sunday. The FireKeepers Casino 400 odds are intrigued by his potential.

Best NASCAR Pick: Bubba Wallace to win (+1400) at FanDuel.

⭐ CLICK HERE to bet on Bubba Wallace! ⭐