NBA Player Props, Odds & NBA Picks for Saturday 11/04

NBA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐ Zion Williamson Over 24.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM

The Hawks (3-2; 2-3 ATS) head to Smoothie Kings Center in New Orleans riding a three-game winning streak. On the other side, the injury-depleted Pelicans (4-1; 4-1 ATS) aim for their third win on the spin. New Orleans misses Jose Alvarado, Naji Marshall, and Trey Murphy III, while Brandon Ingram is questionable to play, so we’ll start the NBA predictions for Saturday night with Zion Williamson Over 24.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM. 

The Pelicans are coming off Thursday’s 125-116 home win over the Detroit Pistons in which Williamson got a day off on the back end of a back-to-back set. Williamson posted a line of 20 points, ten rebounds, and eight assists in a 110-106 win to the Oklahoma City Thunder last Wednesday, and he’s now averaging 21.5 points, 6.8 boards, and 4.0 dimes on the young season. 

Despite having Clint Capela in the paint, the Hawks’ defense is far away from an elite level and ranks 27^th in the league in 2-point percentage (57.6%). Capela will have to worry about Jonas Valanciunas, and Zion will attack the rim a lot in this matchup. That’s why we begin the NBA picks today with Williamson’s points prop. The battle between the Hawks and the short-handed Pels should be a tight one and could easily go either way. 

Betting Pick: Zion Williamson Over 24.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM

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NBA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐ Domantas Sabonis Over 20.5 Points (-115) at DraftKings

We continue our NBA picks and predictions with the Kings vs. Rockets showdown from Toyota Center in Houston. The Rockets (1-3; 1-3 ATS) earned their first win of the season last Wednesday, beating the Charlotte Hornets 128-119 as 3.5-point home favorites. They went 21-for-37 from beyond the 3-point line and handed out 35 assists while scoring just 32 points in the paint. 

On the other side, the Kings (2-2; 3-1 ATS) are coming off Wednesday’s 102-101 road loss at the Golden State Warriors. Despite missing De’Aaron Fox (ankle), the Kings were so close to pulling off an upset, as Klay Thompson made a jumper with 1.1 seconds remaining to lift Golden State over Sacramento. Domantas Sabonis led the way for the Kings with 23 points, 11 rebounds, and eight assists in 37 minutes on the floor.  

Sacramento went 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS against Houston last regular season, and Sabonis was averaging a triple-double of 20.8 points, 11.3 rebounds, and 10.0 assists through those four contests. With De’Aaron Fox on the sidelines, the Kings’ offense will go through Sabonis a lot, and we are expecting Domantas to dominate the Rockets again. Houston owns the fourth-worst defensive rating in the league (116.5 points per 100 possessions), so our next NBA player prop is Domantas Sabonis Over 20.5 Points (-115) at DraftKings.

Betting Pick: Domantas Sabonis Over 20.5 Points (-115) at DraftKings

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NBA Best Bet Today #3: ⭐Anthony Edwards Over 23.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel

After a 133-109 dismantling of the Memphis Grizzlies, the Jazz (2-4; 3-3 ATS) suffered a tough 115-113 loss to the Orlando Magic last Thursday. Now, Utah owns the fifth-worst defensive rating in the league (116.4). On the other side, the Timberwolves (2-2; 2-2 ATS) boast the best defensive rating in the NBA. They are coming off Wednesday’s 110-89 thrashing of the reigning NBA champions, the Denver Nuggets. 

Anthony Edwards scored 24 points on 8-for-16 shooting from the field and 7-for-8 from the free-throw line against the Nuggets. He’s tallying 25.0 points a night through four games, and we’ll add both Edwards and Minnesota to our NBA picks tonight. FanDuel offers -110 on the Timberwolves -7.0 and -110 on Anthony Edwards Over 23.5 Points. 

Last season, Utah and Minnesota split a four-game set, and the T-Wolves hammered the Jazz 143-118 in Salt Lake City in their previous encounter. Edwards dominated Utah in 2022-23, averaging 26.0 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 4.3 assists across four games. The Timberwolves are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 dates with the Jazz and 7-3 ATS in their last ten contests against the Western Conference teams.

Betting Pick: Anthony Edwards Over 23.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel

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