NBA Player Props, Odds & NBA Picks for Saturday 11/18

Player Prop #1: ⭐ Luka Doncic Over 37.5 Points + Assists (-115) at BetMGM

The Mavericks head to Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee carrying the second-highest offensive rating in the NBA. Dallas scores a staggering 121.1 points per 100 possessions on 56.6% shooting from inside the arc (5^th in the league) and 39.5% from beyond the 3-point line (tied-1^st). The Mavs lead the league in triples made per game (17.2), and we are targeting Luka Doncic Over 37.5 Points and Assists (-115) at BetMGM to start our NBA player props for tonight. 

Doncic, who’s averaging 30.7 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 8.1 assists on the young season, has only scored 42 points over his last two games. He’ll look to bounce back in a tough road matchup against the Bucks, who have struggled to defend so far this season. Milwaukee is 25^th in defensive efficiency (116.8 points per 100 possessions), 22^nd in triples allowed per 100 possessions (36.6), and 28^th in defensive rebound percentage. 

The Bucks play on the second day of a back-to-back which is another reason to add Luka Doncic to your NBA picks. Milwaukee routed Charlotte 130-99 last night, but the lowly Hornets were missing several important players. The clash between the Mavs and the Bucks will be a much closer one, and Luka will be busy in the crunch time.  

Dallas and Milwaukee both prefer to play fast and rank in the top ten in the league in pace. The Mavs take good care of the ball (3^rd in turnover percentage, Milwaukee is 19^th) and will find favorable matchups in this game. Lillard is a defensive liability, while Malik Beasley lacks the length to guard Doncic efficiently. 

Player Prop #1: ⭐ Luka Doncic Over 37.5 Points + Assists (-115) at BetMGM

Player Prop #2: ⭐ Desmond Bane Over 27.5 Points (-110) at bet365

Through four meetings with San Antonio in 2022-23, Desmond Bane was torturing the Spurs for 21.5 points per game while shooting 46.7% from the field and 52.0% from downtown. The Grizzlies miss four key players this time around, including Ja Morant, while Marcus Smart is questionable to play, so Desmond Bane Over 27.5 Points (-110) at bet365 is our next NBA pick today. 

Bane leads the way for the short-handed Grizzlies in 2023-24. He’s taking 20.5 shots per game (9.5 from deep) while averaging 25.5 points and 3.4 triples. Memphis is coming off Tuesday’s heavy loss at the LA Lakers 134-107 in which Bane had 15 points in 27 minutes, and the clash against the lowly Spurs looks like a bounce-back spot for the Grizzlies’ leading scorer. 

San Antonio will battle through fatigue tonight, coming off Friday’s 129-120 home loss to the Sacramento Kings. The Spurs have been awful lately, dropping seven games in a row. They are 28^th in the league in offensive efficiency (106.8) and 29^th in defensive efficiency (119.7). Also, San Antonio allows 14.7 triples per 100 possessions (28^th) on a 40.3 percentage clip (29^th), so Bane is poised for a strong performance tonight. 

The line has been set pretty high because of the Spurs’ terrible defense. But Bane has hit a 27-point mark in four of his last six outings, taking 24 or more shots from the field in each of those four games. The Grizzlies will be looking for a rare win today, and Desmond Bane deserves his place among our NBA predictions. 

Player Prop #2: ⭐ Desmond Bane Over 27.5 Points (-110) at bet365

Player Prop #3: ⭐ Stephen Curry Over 5.5 Threes Made (+120) at FanDuel

Last Thursday, the Thunder easily defeated the short-handed Warriors 128-109. Draymond Green served the first of his five-game suspension, while Stephen Curry missed his second straight game due to a minor knee injury. Curry is listed as questionable for Saturday’s clash between OKC and Golden State and given the Warriors’ recent run of form, we are expecting him to play. 

The Warriors are on a five-game losing streak. They desperately need Curry back, as the nine-time All-Star has been outstanding through his 11 appearances this season, averaging 30.7 points and 5.6 3-pointers. He’s taking 12.6 attempts from deep per contest, so we will finalize the NBA player props for today with Stephen Curry Over 5.5 Threes Made (+120) at FanDuel. 

The prize is pretty attractive. Curry has hit six or more 3-pointers in six of his 11 games in 2023-24. Both Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins have been bad thus far, and Curry will make a ton of 3-point attempts should he return from the sidelines. The Warriors will keep it closer this time around, and adding Curry to your NBA picks looks like a logical move.

Player Prop #3: ⭐ Stephen Curry Over 5.5 Threes Made (+120) at FanDuel

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