NBA Player Props, Odds & NBA Picks for Sunday 11/05

NBA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐Donovan Mitchell Over 28.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM

If you like NBA picks with strong head-to-head betting trends, you won’t have a dilemma in the Warriors vs. Cavaliers showdown. Golden State is 16-0 SU and 13-2-1 ATS in its last 16 encounters with Cleveland. Also, the Warriors have won and covered each of their previous eight road contests versus the Cavs. 

Golden State is 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS this season, whereas the Cavaliers have gone 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS thus far. Cleveland has struggled with injuries as well, but the Cavs will have all of their key players on the floor Sunday. Darius Garland and Jarrett Allen both returned to the starting lineup last Friday when the Cavs lost at the Indiana Pacers 121-116 despite another strong performance from Donovan Mitchell, who’s the first guy on our NBA player props card for today. 

Mitchell, who posted a line of 29 points, ten rebounds, and nine assists in his lone date with Golden State last season, dropped 38 points on Indiana last Friday. A four-time All-Star went 13-for-21 from the field (4-for-7 from deep) while adding nine assists and five rebounds to his name. He’s now averaging 32.8 points, 5.4 boards, and 5.4 assists per game. 

On the other side, we’ll see a deep Golden State team. Steph Curry is the only player with points per game north of 16.8, and Steve Kerr has been regularly using nine or ten guys in his rotation. Going with Curry’s points prop is certainly an interesting option, but with the Cavaliers playing on the home court, we’ll start our NBA predictions for today with Donovan Mitchell Over 28.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook. 

Betting Pick: Donovan Mitchell Over 28.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM

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NBA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐Luka Doncic Over 50.5 Points, Assists, and Rebounds (-115) at bet365

The Hornets (2-3; 2-3 ATS) shouldn’t stand a chance against the Mavericks (4-1; 3-2 ATS), right? Not on the second day of a back-to-back set, coming off a hard-fought 125-124 road victory over the Indiana Pacers. The Hornets outscored Indiana 74-40 in the paint to upset the NBA odds as 5.5-point underdogs. 

Charlotte put on another bad defensive performance last Wednesday, extending its losing streak to three games with a 128-119 defeat at the Houston Rockets. Last Monday, the Hornets suffered a 133-121 home loss to the Brooklyn Nets, and Charlotte now owns the sixth-worst defensive rating in the league (116.0 points allowed per 100 possessions). 

The Mavericks’ defensive rating is bad, too. They allow 115.7 points per 100 possessions (23^rd in the league). But their offensive rating of 120.7 points per 100 possessions (2^nd) is way better than Charlotte’s 109.5 (17^th). Both teams prefer to play fast, especially the Hornets (103.9 possessions per 100 possessions), so this is a nice spot to bet NBA player props. Also, these two teams rank in the bottom ten in the league in the vast majority of defensive categories which will help the bettors. 

Dallas put an end to its four-game win streak last Friday, losing at the Denver Nuggets 125-114. Luka Doncic had another big game and dropped 34 points on the reigning NBA champs to go with ten rebounds and eight assists. He’s now tallying 33.8 points, 10.4 boards, and 9.4 assists per contest, and we are taking Luka Doncic Over 50.5 Points, Assists, and Rebounds for our next NBA player prop. 

Betting Pick: Luka Doncic Over 50.5 Points, Assists, and Rebounds (-115) at bet365

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NBA Best Bet Today #3: ⭐Desmond Bane Over 25.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel

We’ll finalize our NBA predictions for Sunday night with another wager on the winless Memphis Grizzlies (0-6; 1-5 ATS). Last Friday, we got burned on the Grizzlies, who suffered a 115-113 overtime loss at Moda Center in Portland, Oregon. The Trail Blazers (3-3; 3-3 ATS) overcame a ten-point fourth-quarter deficit and ultimately edged the Grizzlies as 3-point underdogs. 

Both teams shot just below 30 percent from beyond the 3-point line. The Grizzlies outscored the Trail Blazers in the paint 64-50, but Portland made 19 free throws more than Memphis. Jerami Grant led the way for the Blazers with 26 points and eight rebounds, and Malcolm Brogdon added 24 points, ten assists, and seven boards. On the other side, Desmond Bane posted a line of 33 points, eight boards, seven dimes, four steals, and three blocks, while Jaren Jackson Jr. had 30 points and ten rebounds. 

With Ja Morant, Steven Adams, and Brandon Clarke all on the sidelines, Bane emerged as the Grizzlies’ key player in 2023-24. He’s tallying 26.0 points on 47.1% shooting from the field per game, and we are looking for another strong performance when Memphis takes on Portland for the second time in three days. Hereof, Desmond Bane Over 25.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel is our final NBA player prop for Sunday night. 

Betting Pick: Desmond Bane Over 25.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel

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