NBA Player Props, Odds & NBA Picks for Sunday 11/26

Player Prop #1: ⭐ Jayson Tatum Over 29.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM

The Hawks play on the second day of a back-to-back set and are listed as 8-point road underdogs. They trounced the lowly Washington Wizards 136-108 on the road last night. On the other side, the Celtics are coming off Thursday’s 113-96 defeat at the Orlando Magic. It was their second loss in three games, but the Celtics are still unbeaten at home in 2023-24. 

We’ll start our NBA picks today with the Celtics’ leading scorer, as we are expecting Boston to dominate Atlanta. The Celtics are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five regular-season encounters with the Hawks and 9-2 SU and ATS in their previous 11 games against Atlanta overall. 

Jayson Tatum leads the way for the Celtics early in the season, tallying 27.8 points and 8.9 rebounds per game and making 49.8% of his field goals. We like his chances to hit a 30-point mark in this matchup. The Hawks, who’ll have to deal with fatigue, are 25^th in the league in defensive efficiency (118.4 points per 100 possessions) and 27^th in opposing field goal percentage (49.4%). 

Also, the Hawks love to play fast, and the Celtics will have a chance to push the ball in transition a lot. Tatum has only hit a 30-point mark once over his last six outings. He has a nice opportunity to improve his numbers when the Hawks come to town, and the first NBA player prop on our card would be Jayson Tatum Over 29.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM. 

Player Prop #1: ⭐ Jayson Tatum Over 29.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM

Player Prop #2: ⭐ Michael Porter Jr. Over 18.5 Points (-115) at FanDuel

We continue our NBA predictions for Sunday night with the Western Conference battle from Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Jamal Murray will miss his tenth straight game when the Nuggets host the hapless Spurs, who carry an 11-game losing streak. Denver has only won one of its past five contests, and Nikola Jokic (28.2 PPG, 13.5 RPG, 8.9 APG) desperately needs more help from his teammates. 

The Nuggets should get things going tonight. The Spurs are one of the worst defensive teams in the league. San Antonio allows 119.0 points per 100 possessions (26^th in the NBA) on 56.4% shooting from inside the arc (24^th) and 39.7% from beyond the 3-point line (29^th). The Spurs play at the fourth-fastest pace in the NBA (101.9 possessions per 48 minutes) and surrender 14.3 triples per 100 possessions (27^th). 

We have been targeting Nikola Jokic for our NBA player props since the opening day. Tonight, we’ll back Michael Porter Jr. to shine against the lowly Spurs. Porter is the Nuggets’ second-highest scorer in 2023-24, averaging 16.9 points on 46.9% shooting from the field. 

Over his previous four games, Porter has hit a 20-point mark twice while making four or more 3-pointers on three occasions. He’s having a ton of opportunities with Murray on the sidelines, so add Michael Porter Jr. Over 18.5 Points (-115) at FanDuel to your NBA picks today.

Player Prop #2: ⭐ Michael Porter Jr. Over 18.5 Points (-115) at FanDuel

Player Prop #3: ⭐ Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 Rebounds (-115) at bet365

The 11-4 Minnesota Timberwolves are one of the most pleasant surprises of the young NBA season. They are topping the Western Conference at the moment, and the T-Wolves host the 3-12 Memphis Grizzlies on Sunday which seems like a chance to grab one of their players for your NBA picks today. 

The Grizzlies are struggling with both performance and injuries. Steven Adams is done for the season, Marcus Smart and Brandon Clarke are both out indefinitely, and Ja Morant won’t be available until December 23 due to a suspension. Also, Xavier Tillman (knee) is questionable to play against Minnesota, and the Timberwolves will dominate the Grizzlies in the paint. 

Memphis is 29^th in the league in offensive efficiency (106.1 points per 100 possessions) and 30^th in field goal percentage (42.5%). The Grizzlies rank 22^nd in offensive rebound percentage (22.9%), so Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 Rebounds (-115) at bet365 will round up our NBA player props for Sunday. 

Gobert is notching 12.1 points and 11.7 rebounds per game this season. The four-time All-Star has pulled down 11 boards in three of his last four games but hasn’t surpassed an 11.5-board line in five consecutive outings. Given the Grizzlies’ offensive struggles, Gobert should easily grab 12 rebounds tonight even if we get a lopsided contest. He’s spending 32.3 minutes on the floor per game.

Player Prop #3: ⭐ Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 Rebounds (-115) at bet365

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Player Prop #4: ⭐ Anthony Edwards Over 2.5 Threes (-155) at DraftKings 

The Minnesota Timberwolves are showcasing the kind of performance many anticipated last season, excelling in both offense and defense. A key player in their success is Anthony Edwards, whose development continues to impress. Currently, Edwards is averaging 26.7 points per game, placing him ninth in the league. This impressive scoring ability is a crucial factor in today's NBA picks.

Edwards' next challenge is against the Memphis Grizzlies, a team currently struggling with a 3-11 record. The Grizzlies' weaknesses are particularly evident in their perimeter defense, where they rank last in the league in opponent's three-point shooting percentage. This vulnerability is being exploited by opponents, with 44% of shots against Memphis coming from behind the arc.

For those interested in NBA player props, this matchup presents a prime opportunity to focus on Edwards, especially considering his role as the team's leading three-pointer shooter. His proficiency from beyond the arc could be a significant advantage against the Grizzlies' faltering defense. Therefore, targeting Edwards for over 2.5 threes (-155) at DraftKings in this game seems like a promising bet, aligning with the trends and statistics of both teams.

Player Prop #4: ⭐ Anthony Edwards Over 2.5 Threes (-155) at DraftKings 

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