NBA Player Props, Odds & NBA Picks for Thursday 11/09

NBA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐Brook Lopez Under 5.5 Rebounds (-128) at FanDuel

First up for our Bucks vs. Packers prediction, we’re taking a look at Brook Lopez. 

You’d expect a bit more action on the boards at seven feet tall, but that’s not the case for him. 

Averaging just over 26 minutes per game, Lopez is averaging just 4.7 rebounds per game, with 3.1 of those coming from defensive rebounds. 

The line here is set at 5.5, likely because he’s covered this line in back-to-back games, but the Pacers rank ninth in the NBA in offensive rebound percentage at 30.3%, meaning Lopez may not have as great a time of securing that defensive rebound which consumes his average. 

Take the under on Lopez's rebounds for the first of our NBA Picks and Props on this small slate.

Betting Pick: Brook Lopez Under 5.5 Rebounds (-128) at FanDuel 

NBA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐Damian Lillard Over 25.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

Next up, we have another Bucks vs. Pacers prediction, looking toward one of the two stars on the team, Damian Lillard. 

His points line here is 25.5, and we’re leaning over here. This season, he’s averaging 24.3 points per game but has covered this number easily in two of his last three games. The spread here is just three points, so we’ll unlikely see a blowout situation, and Lillard sits out. 

The Pacers have the fifth-worst defensive rating at 116.4, and the Bucks have the sixth-best pace of play at 102.93. 

Lillard should be in contention for a 30-point game here. 

Betting Pick: Damian Lillard Over 25.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

NBA Best Bet Today #3: ⭐Paolo Banchero Under 6.5 Rebounds (+110) at BetMGM

Lastly, we’re taking a look at a Hawks vs. Magic prediction, focusing on one of the younger stars in the NBA, Paolo Banchero. 

This line opened at 7.5 rebounds but quickly went to 6.5. Now, with the under, we’re getting +110 line value, while 6.5 is certainly as good as 7.5, we’ll still lean under here, but with a bit more caution. 

Banchero averages over 33 minutes per game and has six rebounds per outing. Of that total, five come from defensive rebounds. This season, he’s had seven or more rebounds in three games, with two of those being exactly seven. 

The Hawks rank third in offensive rebound percentage at 34%, so similar to our view of Lopez above in the Bucks vs. Pacers prediction, Banchero’s chances may not be as plentiful here. Take the under on Banchero’s rebound at 6.5 and enjoy that +110 value.

Betting Pick: Paolo Banchero Under 6.5 Rebounds (+110) at BetMGM

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