NBA Player Props, Odds & NBA Picks for Tuesday 11/21

NBA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐Kevin Durant Under 3.5 Turnovers (-175) at DraftKings

For the first of our NBA picks on the slate, we’re going to the Suns and Trail Blazers and take the under on 3.5 turnovers for Phoenix Star Kevin Durant. 

This season, Durant is averaging 3.9 turnovers per game. Still, that average has been somewhat inflated due to five games with five turnovers or more. This season, he’s had three or fewer turnovers in seven of his 13 games. 

He’ll play the Portland Trail Blazers tonight, who are eighth in the NBA in opponent turnovers per game at 16.1. On the road, the number goes down to 15.3.

It’s not the ideal matchup for Durant here, but we’ll lean under here as he’s had a few massive turnover games, which are far from his norm. This wager could come down to the hook. 

Betting Pick: Kevin Durant Under 3.5 Turnovers (-175) at DraftKings

NBA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐Evan Mobley Over 8.5 Rebounds (-150) at DraftKings

For the second of our free NBA Picks, we’re taking the over on rebounds for Cleveland Cavaliers player Evan Mobley. 

Since coming into the league in 2022, Mobley has improved in his rebounds per game. His rookie season was 8.3, last year was nine, and this year, he’s averaging double digits at 10.4. 

Over his last five games, Mobley has had nine or more in four, all of which have been his most recent four—he’s had at least ten. 

This season, 7.2 of his rebounds are defensive, and 3.2 are offensive. 

Taking on the 76ers, Mobley will face a team that’s eighth in the NBA in rebounds per game. They’re also fifth in defensive and tenth in offensive. 

So, they’re in the upper half of the league, but considering this line is at just 8.5, which is about two less than his season average, this is still a more than adequate bet to make.

Betting Pick: Evan Mobley Over 8.5 Rebounds (-150) at DraftKings

NBA Best Bet Today #3: ⭐LeBron James Over 25.5 Points (-106) at FanDuel

Wrapping up our NBA Predictions today, we’re sticking with the Timberwolves vs. Knicks and, this time, looking at the rebounds of a Timberwolves player—Jaden McDaniels. 

This season, the forward averages 2.3 rebounds per game. His line here is at just 2.5; we’re taking the under. 

Over his last four games, McDaniels has gone under 2.5. He missed two games this year, but he’s only topped 2.5 rebounds in a game three times, including one three-rebound performance. He has four games where he had zero rebounds. 

His minutes fluctuate mightily, but even in games where he’s played 33 minutes or more, he’s never had more than two rebounds. 

Take the under on McDaniels’ rebounds at 2.5 for the last of our NBA Predictions. 

Betting Pick: LeBron James Over 25.5 Points (-106) at FanDuel

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