NBA Player Props, Odds & NBA Thursday Night Picks 10-26-2023

NBA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 27.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

For our first NBA player prop in the Bucks vs. 76ers matchup, we're going to go with one of the MVP favorites, Milwaukee's Giannis Antetokounmpo, who recently strengthened his commitment to Milwaukee by signing a three-year contract extension. We're going to be looking at Antetokounmpo's point prop on Thursday as one of our best bets. 

We like Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 27.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel. Antetokounmpo has scored at least 30 points in five of his last six meetings against the 76ers, averaging 31.6 points per game in that span. In 24 career games, he's made over half of his shots against Philadelphia, converting at a 52% rate. 

Considering his dominance against Philadelphia, we like Antetokounmpo's over on his point total prop tonight against the 76ers. Philadelphia still doesn't have the personnel to limit the Bucks forward inside, so we expect another strong showing from Antetokounmpo. 

Betting Pick: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 27.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

NBA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐Damian Lillard Under 26.5 Points (+100) at FanDuel

Damian Lillard made waves this offseason when he was traded to the Milwaukee Bucks. The move catapulted the Bucks to the top of the odds board as NBA favorites at +400 to win the championship. Now, he's set to make his debut for the team tonight against Philadelphia. Despite the excitement, we're going to look to fade Lillard in this spot. 

We're going with Damian Lillard Under 26.5 Points (+100) at FanDuel. This could be a slow start for Lillard who has not played a meaningful basketball game in seven months. Lillard has also recently gotten off to slow starts. Over the last three seasons, he hasn't scored more than 20 points in his first game of a regular season. 

With a new team and getting acclimated to a new roster and system, there could also be more of a learning curve for Lillard than in years past. Given these factors, we're going to target the under on Lillard's scoring prop. 

Betting Pick: Damian Lillard Under 26.5 Points (+100) at FanDuel

NBA Best Bet Today #3: ⭐Tyrese Maxey Over 21.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM

With James Harden sent home by the team, Tyrese Maxey is set to be Philadelphia's primary ballhandler as Harden remains out. The 6-2 guard is entering his fourth season and coming off a career season where he averaged a personal-best 20.3 points per game. We feel there's value in Maxey's scoring prop considering he should have more opportunities as a ball-dominant guard. 

We like Tyrese Maxey Over 21.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM. Maxey has already flashed potential playing in an expanded role in the preseason. He scored 24 points in just 29 minutes against the Celtics and also had 17 and 15 points in limited minutes during the preseason versus Boston in another matchup, and the Hawks. 

There could be some early value on Maxey's props as he continues to get more looks on offense without Harden. Maxey will primarily have the ball in his hands which should lead to more scoring opportunities. 

Betting Pick: Tyrese Maxey Over 21.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM

NBA Best Bet Today #4: ⭐Devin Booker Over 26.5 Points (-115) at FanDuel

Devin Booker was the best player on the floor in Phoenix's 108-104 win over the Golden State Warriors. Booker finished with 32 points and made 13 of 21 shots. For Thursday's game against the Lakers, we're going to look at the over on his player point total prop. 

We're going with Devin Booker Over 26.5 Points (-115) at FanDuel. Without Bradley Beal playing, we saw Booker become more ball-dominant and essentially run the point for the Suns in the halfcourt. He showed he was able to handle a higher workload by scoring 32 points and also dishing out eight assists and tallying six rebounds. 

But for this bet, all we care about is his scoring, and his performance on Tuesday was encouraging. If Booker continues to be that ball-dominant going forward, we like the value on his overs if they are going to be priced in this range.

Betting Pick: Devin Booker Over 26.5 Points (-115) at FanDuel

NBA Best Bet Today #5: ⭐D'Angelo Russell Under 13.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM

One of the player props we hit on Tuesday concerned D'Angelo Russell when he took his under at 14.5 points and Russell scored just 11 while making only 4 of 12 shot attempts.  We're going to look to target Russell's under against the Suns, too. 

We like D'Angelo Russell Under 13.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM. From Tuesday and going back to the postseason last year, Russell hasn't scored more than 11 points in his last five games and has shot just 14-42 from the field in that stretch. 

There was a moment in Tuesday's loss to the Nuggets where LeBron James was imploring for Russell to pass him the ball, only for Russell to take an ill-advised contested 3. The play highlighted Russell's struggles and how he doesn't seem to be in sync with the rest of the roster. It also showcased that he's essentially forcing up bad shots, and if he's going to continue that trend and bad shooting, we're going to target his under. 

Betting Pick: D'Angelo Russell Under 13.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM

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