New Mexico vs. St. Mary's Prediction & College Basketball Picks for 11/09

NCAA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐ St. Mary’s -4.5 (-110) at BetMGM

The Saint Mary's Gaels, returning with their formidable lineup from last year, are poised to demonstrate why they're the superior team in their upcoming game. Their emphatic 79-point victory in the opener wasn't just a statement—it was a testament to their status as a top-tier team. With a defense that's expected to rank in the nation's top 10 once again and an offense that's lost none of its potency, the Gaels have all the makings of a team that will cover the -4.5 point spread in the New Mexico vs. St. Mary's prediction.

Playing on their home court, Saint Mary's has the edge. The Lobos, who managed to dominate their first game, will find the Gaels' defense a much tougher nut to crack. Saint Mary's may not light up the scoreboard as they did in their opener, but their defensive prowess will likely stifle the Lobos' offense, which is the backbone of their team. In this early-season litmus test, expect the home team to triumph by a margin that comfortably exceeds the spread.

When it comes to CBB picks, it's not just about the players on the court but also the strategy behind the game. Saint Mary's has a well-rounded arsenal of 3-point shooters ready to challenge the Lobos' guards. By controlling the game's tempo, hitting from beyond the arc, and dominating the boards, Saint Mary's is set to dictate the game's flow.

The key for the Gaels is to play a clean game—limiting fouls, especially against key players like House and Mashburn, will be crucial. If they can do that, they're not just a safe bet to win, but also to cover the spread, making them a smart pick for those looking at college basketball picks with a strategic eye.

Betting Pick: ⭐ St. Mary’s -4.5 (-110) at BetMGM

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NCAA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐  Under 142.5 (-110) at FanDuel

In the upcoming New Mexico vs. St. Mary's matchup, the spotlight shines on the pace of the game and who dictates it. The Saint Mary's Gaels have a reputation for a defense that can clamp down on any team, coupled with an offense that's no stranger to racking up points. Their prowess in the paint, with players like Forbes and Saxen, is set to give the Lobos' defense a formidable challenge. While the Lobos have a robust offense, they're about to face a Gaels' defense that's been nothing short of a nightmare for their adversaries.

When considering CBB picks, it's essential to look at the defensive capabilities of both teams. Saint Mary's has the defensive acumen and the offensive depth to potentially take control of the game, forcing New Mexico to play at their pace. The Gaels have a track record of stifling their opponents' scoring while efficiently managing their own, a dual threat that often leads to lower-scoring games.

Reflecting on last season's encounters, the trend favored the Under, and that's the angle I'm leaning towards for this game. Both teams have had high-scoring openers against less challenging opponents, but this game is a different ball game. Saint Mary's, who only allowed an average of 60 points per game last season, will be looking to tighten their defense even further. Despite their offensive outburst in the opener, the Lobos' shooting percentage was not off the charts, and they're likely to find baskets harder to come by against the Gaels.

In the realm of college basketball picks, the Under 142.5 points (-110) at FanDuel appears to be a wise choice. Saint Mary's will put points on the board, but their defensive excellence will be the main act, keeping the score tally on the lower end. This strategic approach to the game is why the Under is the savvy selection in this encounter.

Betting Pick: ⭐ Under 142.5 (-110) at FanDuel

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