NFL Player Props Week 5: Packers vs. Raiders Prediction & MNF Odds, Picks

• Date: Monday, Oct. 9, 8:20 p.m. EDT
• TV: ABC
• My Best Bet: Under 45.5 (-110) at BetMGM

There are too many unknowns to pick a side between the Packers and the Raiders. Las Vegas quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo cleared concussion protocol and is expected to start tonight after leaving the Week 3 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Meanwhile, Green Bay is coming off its worst season performance, falling 34-20 to the Detroit Lions after the Packers trailed 27-3 at halftime. 

⭐ Place Your NFL Best Bets on the Packers vs. Raiders Week 5 Matchup NOW! ⭐

Instead of a side, we're going to target the total. We like the under between the Packers and the Raiders. Against Detroit, Green Bay's offense couldn't block Detroit's pass rushers and gave up five sacks while Jordan Love was pressured on numerous other plays to throw the offense out of sync. The Packers also can't run the ball, ranking 28th in yards per rush (3.3) and 29th in total yards per game (280.8). 

Las Vegas' offense has struggled this season. The Raiders are 30th in points per game, scoring an average of just 15.5 points. Las Vegas could have success against a bad Packers run defense that ranks 31st in rushing yards allowed per game (155.3). But that could help the under, given a run-based offense would contribute to longer drives that drain the clock.  

⭐ My Best Bet: Under 45.5 (-110) at BetMGM

⭐ Josh Jacobs Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel

Opponents have continued to attack the Packers' porous run defense. Through four weeks, no other team has had more rushing plays ran at its defense than Green Bay's. Opponents have a league-high 49.37% rush play percentage against the Packers, electing to go at Green Bay's rush defense. 

This is one of the reasons we like Josh Jacobs Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel. The Packers also rank 24th in rushing touchdowns allowed per game at 1.3. Just last week against the Lions, the Packers surrendered three rushing touchdowns and 211 yards rushing on 43 attempts. 

Meanwhile, Jacobs has continued to have a high workload for the Raiders. Besides a blowout to the Buffalo Bills in Week 3, Jacobs has had at least 17 carries in every game this season. The production hasn't been there yet with just 166 yards rushing, but this is an ideal get-right spot for the Las Vegas running back against a bad Packers defense. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Josh Jacobs Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel

⭐ Jayden Reed Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (-114) at FanDuel

We understand Christian Watson is back into the Packers wide receiver rotation, but we feel this prop is still too low. Reed still performed well last week with Watson making his return, recording three catches on five targets for 55 yards in the loss to the Lions. 

We like Jayden Reed Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (-114) at FanDuel. Reed has cleared this mark in all four games this season. He ranks second on the team in catches (12) and yards (203) and also has two scores. Reed also leads the team with four big plays, while the rest of the team combines for seven, highlighting Reed's big-play potential. He could clear this prop with one deep ball. 

The Raiders also have a middling pass defense. Las Vegas ranks 17th in yards attempted per pass at 6.6 and is just 25th in opponent passing completion percentage at 70.8. Given Reed's penchant for the big play and Las Vegas' poor pass defense, we like Reed to have another solid game and clear this prop for the fifth time this season.

⭐ Best Betting Pick: Jayden Reed Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (-114) at FanDuel