NFL Predictions for Week 13: NFL Picks, Odds & NFL player Props

• Date: Thursday, November 30, 2023, 8:15 PM ET 
• Lines: Dallas -9.0, 47.5 O/U 
• TV: Amazon Prime Video  
• My Best Bet: Dallas Cowboys -9.0 (-110) at BetMGM 

We begin our NFL Week 13 picks with Thursday Night Football from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Cowboys (8-3; 8-3 ATS) meet the Seahawks (6-5; 5-5-1 ATS) for the first time since 2020, and Seattle is 4-1 SU and ATS over its previous five dates with Dallas. 

The Seahawks will have a tall task to extend their dominance over the Cowboys, who have won three straight contests games over the NY Giants, Carolina, and Washington by an average margin of 30 points. Dallas boasts the highest scoring offense in the league (31.5 points per game) and owns the fourth-best scoring defense in the NFL (16.8). 

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Seattle has dropped three of its last four games. The Seahawks have scored 16 or fewer points in each of those three losses to Baltimore, LA Rams, and San Francisco. They listed running back Kenneth Walker III (oblique) as doubtful to play against Dallas, so the Cowboys -9.0 (-110) at BetMGM opens our NFL predictions for Week 13. 

Dallas has beaten the number in six straight outings at home. Each of the Cowboys’ last five home wins has come by double digits. On the other side, the Seahawks are 3-6 ATS in their previous nine outings on the road. 

⭐ Best Betting Pick: Dallas Cowboys -9.0 (-110) at BetMGM

• Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023, 1:00 PM ET 
• Lines: Indianapolis -1.0, 43.0 O/U 
• TV: CBS 
• My Best Bet: Indianapolis Colts -1.0 (-110) at Caesars 

The Colts (6-5; 7-4 ATS) take on the Titans (4-7; 5-6 ATS) for the second time this season. Back in Week 5, Indianapolis defeated Tennessee 23-16 as a 2.5-point home underdog, tallying its first win over the Titans in three years. 

If you like NFL picks with strong head-to-head betting trends, you won’t go with Indianapolis. The Colts are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six encounters with the Titans. But Indianapolis rides a three-game winning streak, beating Carolina 27-13, New England 10-6, and Tampa Bay 27-20 in the process. On the other side, Tennessee just stopped its three-game slide with a 17-10 home win to Carolina in Week 12. 

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The Colts are without RB Jonathan Taylor (thumb), who scored two touchdowns against Tampa Bay last Sunday. Zack Moss will lead the way for Indy’s backfield in Week 13, and the Colts will look for their defensive unit to make a difference. 

Indy’s defense has improved a lot over the last three games. The Titans’ rookie quarterback Will Levis hasn’t thrown for more than 199 yards in three straight weeks, and it looks like Derrick Henry will be Tennessee’s lone chance to come out on top. We continue our Week 13 NFL predictions with the Colts -1.0 (-110) at Caesars. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Indianapolis Colts -1.0 (-110) at Caesars

• Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023, 1:00 PM ET 
• Lines: Detroit -4.0, 47.0 O/U 
• TV: FOX  
• My Best Bet: Detroit Lions -4.0 (-110) at FanDuel  

The Saints (5-6; 2-8-1 ATS) might be quite shorthanded this coming Sunday. DE Cameron Jordan, S Marcus Maye, LB Pete Warner, and WR Rashid Shaheed all sat out Wednesday’s practice. On the other side, the Lions (8-3; 7-4 ATS) look pretty healthy, and we are expecting Detroit to bounce back from a 29-22 home loss against Green Bay on Thanksgiving. 

The Lions put an end to their three-game winning streak with that disappointing defeat to the Packers. The Saints have lost two games in a row and are coming off a 24-15 defeat at the Atlanta Falcons in which New Orleans went 0-for-5 in the red zone. It’s tough to figure out the Saints’ offense in 2023, and we are taking the Lions for our next NFL pick today. 

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New Orleans’ offense is now 29^th in the league in red-zone percentage (42.5%). Detroit is 14^th in this category (55.3%), and both teams are in the bottom half of the league when it comes to red-zone defense. The Saints have allowed 14 touchdowns through the air so far this term, while Jared Goff has thrown for six scores through his last three games. 

You can take the Lions -4.0 (-110) at FanDuel. Detroit is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games overall and 5-1 ATS in its previous six showings away from home. New Orleans is 0-6 ATS in its last six home contests. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Detroit Lions -4.0 (-110) at FanDuel 

• Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023, 1:00 PM ET 
• Lines: Atlanta -2.5, 34.0 O/U 
• TV: FOX  
• My Best Bet: Bijan Robinson Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at BetMGM 

The interconference clash between the Falcons and Jets is arguably one of the ugliest in Week 13. Both teams are struggling to move the ball through the air, and we should see more of the same when they take on each other. 

The Falcons (5-6; 3-8 ATS) are tenth in the NFL in passing yards allowed (209.1 per game), and the Jets (4-7; 4-6-1 ATS) are sixth (183.2). Both teams will pound the rock a lot in Week 13, so we are targeting Bijan Robinson as our best NFL pick in this matchup. 

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The Jets are 31^st in the league in rushing yards allowed (140.3 per game). Robinson has been unstoppable over Atlanta’s last two games, notching 186 rushing yards and three touchdowns in the process. He’s surpassed a 60-yard mark on the ground in three of his last four outings. 

The 5-6 Falcons are topping the NFC South, and a win over the Jets would be a huge step in the right direction. Atlanta will lean on its rookie running back a lot this Sunday which means you should take Bijan Robinson Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at BetMGM . 

⭐ My Best Bet: Bijan Robinson Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at BetMGM

• Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023, 1:00 PM ET 
• Lines: Pittsburgh -5.5, 41.0 O/U 
• TV: CBS  
• My Best Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers Over 141.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at DraftKings

The Steelers (7-4; 7-4 ATS) outlasted the Joe Burrow-less Bengals 16-10 in Week 12. Pittsburgh’s offense put up 400-plus yards for the first time in more than three years, and for the fourth straight contest, the Steelers racked up more than 150 rushing yards. 

On the other side, the Cardinals (2-10; 6-6 ATS) were smashed by the LA Rams 37-14 at home last Sunday. They’ve gone 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS since Kyler Murray returned from his knee injury, and the Cards have allowed 23 or more points in four of their previous five outings. 

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Arizona’s run D is one of the worst in the league. We are expecting the Steelers’ ground game to dominate the Cardinals and would add Pittsburgh to our NFL picks. The Cards allow 140.1 rushing yards per game (30^th in the NFL) and 4.5 yards per carry (tied-26^th). They just yielded 228 rushing yards to the Rams.  

Take the Steelers Over 141.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at DraftKings. Pittsburgh should cover a 5.5-point spread in front of the home fans. If the Steelers want to satisfy the NFL odds in Week 13, they need to continue with a heavy-run approach.

⭐ My Best Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers Over 141.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at DraftKings

• Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023, 1:00 PM ET 
• Lines: Miami -9.5, 49.5 O/U 
• TV: FOX  
• My Best Bet: Miami Dolphins -9.5 (-110) at bet365 

The Dolphins (8-3; 7-4 ATS) had 17 players on Wednesday’s injury report. Four guys were non-participants, including Tyreek Hill (ankle) and Raheem Mostert (knee). Despite their injury problems, the Phins should beat the Commanders with ease, so we are adding Miami to our NFL Week 13 picks. 

Miami trounced the NY Jets 34-13 last Friday, covering a 9.5-point spread on the road. The Commanders (4-8; 5-6-1 ATS) will struggle to contain Miami’s offense even if Tyreek Hill hits the sidelines. Hill had nine receptions for 102 yards and a touchdown last week, while Jaylen Waddle caught eight passes for 114 yards. 

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The Dolphins racked up 167 rushing yards against the Jets. Miami has too many weapons for this Washington team, so take the Dolphins -9.5 (-110) at bet365 . The Commanders are on a three-game losing streak. They’ve yielded 105 points during that stretch and are dead last in the NFL in points allowed per game (29.2). 

⭐ My Best Bet: Miami Dolphins -9.5 (-110) at bet365

• Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023, 1:00 PM ET 
• Lines: Houston -3.5, 47.0 O/U 
• TV: CBS
• My Best Bet: Denver Broncos +3.5 (-110) at Caesars

The red-hot Broncos (6-5; 4-6-1 ATS) are rolling on a five-game winning streak. They beat the Cleveland Browns 29-12 last Sunday, and there’s no way we are going to stand in front of Denver in Week 13. The Broncos’ defense has been nothing short of spectacular as of late, recording a whopping 15 takeaways over the last four games. 

On the other side, the Texans (6-5; 5-6 ATS) stopped their three-game win streak last Sunday. They lost to the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-21 as small 1.5-point home underdogs. C.J. Stroud completed 26 of his 36 passing attempts for 304 yards and a couple of touchdowns and rushed six times for 47 yards and a TD, but the Texans allowed 445 total yards to the Jags. 

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Houston and Denver are both chasing playoffs. We are looking for a tight battle down the stretch and would go with the underdogs for our best NFL pick in the Broncos vs. Texans showdown. Four of Houston’s last five contests have been decided by three or fewer points. 

The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last five outings, whereas the Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their previous five. Denver is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 showings in Week 13, and you can take the Broncos +3.5 (-110) at Caesars.  

⭐ My Best Bet: Denver Broncos +3.5 (-110) at Caesars

• Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023, 4:05 PM ET 
• Lines: Tampa Bay -5.5, 37.0 O/U 
• TV: CBS
• My Best Bet: Under 37.0 Points (-110) at FanDuel

The slumping Carolina Panthers (1-10; 2-8-1 ATS) fired head coach Frank Reich following the Week 12 loss at the Tennessee Titans 17-10. Chris Tabor, who’s been working with the special teams over the last two years, was named as interim coach, and the Panthers will try to stop a four-game slide when they take on the Buccaneers (4-7; 7-4 ATS). 

Tampa Bay has only won one of its last seven games. Baker Mayfield’s status for Week 13 is up in the air after he suffered an ankle injury in a 27-20 loss at the Indianapolis Colts last Sunday. Hereof, it’s tough to make the NFL predictions for a matchup like this one, especially with the Bucs listed as 5.5-point favorites. 

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In case you like to follow the NFL betting trends, you should know that Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall and 5-1 SU and ATS in its previous six encounters with Carolina. The under is 7-2 in the Bucs’ last nine outings at any location and 4-0 in their previous four showings at home, so we are going with the Under 37.0 Points (-110) at FanDuel for our best Panthers vs. Buccaneers pick. 

The under has hit in each of Carolina’s last five contests. The Panthers haven’t scored more than 15 points in five games in a row. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Under 37.0 Points (-110) at FanDuel

• Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023, 4:25 PM ET 
• Lines: Los Angeles -3.5, 41.5 O/U 
• TV: FOX 
• My Best Bet: Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM  

We continue our NFL predictions with the interconference showdown from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. The Browns (7-4; 6-4-1 ATS) look to bounce back from a 29-12 loss at the Broncos in Week 12, while the Rams (5-6; 5-5-1 ATS) aim for their third straight victory after beating the Seahawks 17-16 and the Cardinals 37-14 over the past two weeks. 

The Rams rolled over the Cardinals in Week 12, racking up a staggering 228 rushing yards. Kyren Williams went bonkers in his return from an injury, posting 16 carries for 143 yards and six receptions for 61 yards and two touchdowns. The Rams will lean on Williams once more when the Browns come to town, and it feels like LA has enough weapons to deal with Cleveland’s sturdy defense. 

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With Dorian Thompson-Robinson under center, the Browns have only scored 25 points over the last couple of weeks. The Rams have allowed 50 points through their previous three outings and will continue to improve against the Browns. We are taking the Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM  . 

⭐ My Best Bet: Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM

• Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023, 4:25 PM ET 
• Lines: San Francisco -3.0, 47.5 O/U 
• TV: FOX
• My Best Bet: Philadelphia Eagles +3.0 (-110) at Caesars 

In my mind, no team should be a fave at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The Eagles (10-1; 7-2-2 ATS) are riding a five-game winning streak. And over their previous three showings, the Eagles have beaten Dallas 28-23, Kansas City 21-17, and Buffalo 37-34 in overtime. 

On the other side, the 49ers (8-3; 6-5 ATS) have won three straight contests against Jacksonville 34-3, Tampa Bay 27-14, and Seattle 31-13. Their offensive playmakers are healthy and ready to rumble, but DT Arik Armstead (foot) missed Wednesday’s practice and is doubtful to play against Phila. Safety Talanoa Hufanga (knee) is done for the season, and his absence will be a massive blow for the Niners in this matchup. 

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The Eagles should get OT Lane Johnson back, but DT Fletcher Cox (groin) is questionable to play versus San Francisco. Anyway, Philadelphia should be able to keep it close in front of the home fans, and we are backing the Eagles in what’s undoubtedly the biggest game of Week 13. 

San Francisco is 3-5 ATS in its last eight road contests and 2-9 ATS in its last 11 dates with Philadelphia. The 49ers will be fired up to get revenge for a 31-7 defeat in the previous NFC Championship Game when they lost two quarterbacks due to injuries. But with three points on the table, we are taking the Eagles +3.0 (-110) at Caesars . 

⭐ My Best Bet: Philadelphia Eagles +3.0 (-110) at Caesars

• Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023, 8:20 PM ET 
• Lines: Kansas City -6.0, 42.5 O/U 
• TV: NBC 
• My Best Bet: Under 42.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel 

Our Week 13 NFL predictions continue with Sunday Night Football from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Chiefs (8-3; 7-4 ATS) should outlast the Packers (5-6; 6-5 ATS), but we are more interested in the total. 

The Packers are still alive in the playoff race and will try everything they can to upset the Chiefs, who have lost two of their last four games. Green Bay has won three of its previous four, including the last two over the LA Chargers 23-20 and the Detroit Lions 29-22.

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The Chiefs are third in the league in scoring defense (16.5) and fourth in passing yards allowed (176.6 per game). They’ve logged 37 sacks thus far (tied-4^th), and Jordan Love, who’s thrown for five touchdowns and zero interceptions over the past two weeks, will be under huge pressure. 

The Packers allow 20.4 points per game (tied-10^th) on 205.1 passing yards (9^th) and 135.2 rushing yards (27^th). They should have enough firepower to contain the Chiefs at Lambeau Field. We are taking Under 42.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel for our best Sunday Night Football pick. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Under 42.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel

• Date: Monday, November 20, 2023, 8:15 PM ET 
• Lines: Jacksonville -8.5, 38.0 O/U 
• TV: ABC/ESPN/ 
• My Best Bet: Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5 (-115) at FanDuel  

We’ll round up our NFL predictions for Week 13 with the Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5 (-110) at FanDuel. The Jags (8-3; 8-3 ATS) have gone 7-1 SU and ATS over their last eight outings, and we doubt the Bengals’ chances to keep it close with their superstar QB on the shelf. 

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Cincinnati (5-6; 4-6-1 ATS) is on a three-game losing streak. Last Sunday, they lost to Pittsburgh 16-10 in Jake Browning’s first NFL start. Browning went 19-of-26 for 227 yards, a touchdown, and an interception, while the Bengals racked up a paltry 25 rushing yards. 

The Bengals will struggle to contain the Jags’ passing offense. They allow 249.6 passing yards per game (26^th) and 12.7 yards per pass competition (32^nd). The Jaguars are fourth in the league in rushing yards allowed (87.4), and their defensive unit will give Trevor Lawrence a ton of opportunities in this matchup. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5 (-115) at FanDuel