NHL Player Props, Odds & Best NHL Picks 11/16

⭐ Erik Karlsson OVER 0.5 Points (-180) at BetMGM

The Pittsburgh Penguins (8-6) are bouncing back impressively from a rough start to the 2023-2024 NHL Season. Currently riding a five-game winning streak, they appear well-positioned to extend their success.

This Thursday, the Penguins are set to face the New Jersey Devils, a team grappling with recent setbacks, having lost four out of their last five games. 

The Devils' challenges were compounded by the loss of young star center Jack Hughes during a 4-1 defeat to the St. Louis Blues, leaving them with a 1-3 record in Hughes' absence.

The Devils' defensive struggles, ranking as the third-worst in the league with an average of 3.86 goals conceded per game, present an opportunity for Pittsburgh's key players. 

Defender Erik Karlsson, in particular, could play a pivotal role. Karlsson has contributed significantly this season with 15 points — including five goals and 10 assists — making him the fourth-highest scorer on the team.

⭐ Best NHL Picks: Erik Karlsson OVER 0.5 Points (-180) at BetMGM

⭐ Jonathan Marchessault OVER 0.5 Points (+140) at Caesars

Following a recent loss, the Vegas Golden Knights are well-positioned for a comeback against the Montreal Canadiens. 

With an impressive 3.72 implied goal total, Vegas, boasting the league's 11th-best scoring rate at 2.74 goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five play, is primed to surpass this threshold.

Despite the Canadiens' seemingly strong defense, allowing just 1.92 goals per 60 minutes (fifth-lowest in the league), their Expected Goals Allowed (xGA) stands at a higher 2.82, indicating a potential for defensive decline. 

This situation is ideal for targeting Vegas players for goal-scoring, particularly Jonathan Marchessault.

Marchessault, returning close to his hometown of Québec City, plays a crucial role in Vegas' offense. He's on the first forward line and power-play unit, accumulating 6 goals, 3 assists, and 44 shots in 16 games. 

His five-game goal drought could likely end against a regressing Canadiens defense, especially in a familiar setting.

⭐ Best NHL Picks: Jonathan Marchessault OVER 0.5 Points (+140) at Caesars

⭐ Jordan Kyrou Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-108) at DraftKings

When the San Jose Sharks are playing, betting on player props against them is a smart move. The Sharks' performance this season is setting them up for a historically poor record. 

They're conceding the second-highest number of Shot Attempts (69.98) and the highest number of goals (3.62) per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, making them arguably the league's weakest defense.

Given these statistics, our focus shifts to Jordan Kyrou of the St. Louis Blues. Kyrou leads his team with an impressive 53 shots on goal, averaging 3.7 per game, which is 22 shots more than the team's second-highest shooter. 

His position on the second forward line and the first power-play unit puts him in an excellent position to exploit the Sharks' vulnerable defense in tonight's game.

⭐ Best NHL Picks: Jordan Kyrou Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-108) at DraftKings