Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Predictions, Odds & Player Props Picks for 10/27

NBA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐Nikola Jokic Under 25.5 Points (-122) at FanDuel

Nikola Jokic was his typical dominant self in the season debut against the Los Angeles Lakers. Jokic finished with 29 points on 12 of 22 shooting and was also 3 of 5 from 3-point range in the 119-107 victory. But we're going to look to fade Jokic in Friday's matchup against the Grizzlies. 

We're going with Nikola Jokic Under 25.5 Points (-122) at FanDuel. Jokic has not scored as well against Memphis in the last three meetings against the Grizzlies, finishing with just 18, 15 and 13 points in those contests. 

It's not as if he hasn't shot well in those games. Jokic was a combined 20 of 33 from the field in those contests, with the Grizzlies forcing him into more of a distributor role with 13 assists in one contest and 10 in another. Some of that probably had to do with going against the 2023 Defensive Player of the Year, Jaren Jackson Jr., who can pose issues with his length, or at least make Jokic distribute more if he doesn't see an opportune matchup. 

Considering his past against the Grizzlies, we're going to go with the under on Jokic's scoring prop.

Betting Pick: Nikola Jokic Under  25.5 Points (-122) at FanDuel

NBA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐Desmond Bane Over 24.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM

With Ja Morant serving his suspension, it was clear in the Grizzlies season-opener who will be taking over the perimeter scoring for Memphis. Desmond Bane finished with 31 points, converting 11 of 22 shots and was also 5 of 10 from 3-point range in the 111-104 loss to the Pelicans. We're going to look to back Bane after his hot start. 

We like Desmond Bane Over 24.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM. His 22 shots were the most on the team by six and his 3s were four more than the next most shots taken from beyond the arc. 

It's clear Bane is set to have the offense run primarily through him on the perimeter, and given his increased shot volume and his 31-point outing in the season debut, we like Bane to continue to have offensive success early on. In his last meeting against Denver, he finished with 19 points, but that came on just 13 shots. If the increased shooting holds true, he should clear this prop with ease. 

Betting Pick: Desmond Bane Over 24.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM

NBA Best Bet Today #3: ⭐Jaren Jackson Jr. Under 18.5 Points Points (-110) at BetMGM

It was a forgettable season debut for Jaren Jackson Jr. The 2023 Defensive Player of the Year scored just eight points and was 2 of 9 from the field and missed all five of his attempts from 3-point range in the loss to the Pelicans. 

The poor shooting was enough for us to take Jaren Jackson Jr. Under 18.5 Points Points (-110) at BetMGM tonight against the Nuggets. Jackson Jr. has also recently struggled against Denver. He hasn't scored more than 15 points in any of the last four meetings against the Nuggets, including two games where he finished with seven and eight points. 

Considering his poor shooting on Wednesday and his recent struggles against the Nuggets, we're confident in Jackson Jr's under on his point total prop against Denver.

Betting Pick: Jaren Jackson Jr. Under 18.5 Points Points (-110) at BetMGM

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