Saints vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds & NFL Week 12 Player Props

How to Watch Saints vs. Falcons    

• Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023
• Kick Off: 1:00 PM ET
• Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta GA            
• Where to Watch: FOX

New Orleans (2-7-1 ATS; 3-7 O/U) and Atlanta (2-8 ATS; 4-6 O/U) are both coming off a bye. The Saints snapped a two-game win streak in Week 10, suffering a 27-19 loss at the Minnesota Vikings as 3-point favorites, while the Falcons extended their losing streak to three games with a 25-23 defeat at the Arizona Cardinals. 

The Saints removed Derek Carr from the injury report last Thursday, and the four-time Pro Bowl QB is in line to start in Week 12. He was 13-of-18 for 110 yards against the Vikings before exiting in the third quarter with a shoulder injury and a concussion. On the other side, Tyler Heinicke (hamstring) is questionable to play against the Saints due to an injury he suffered in Week 10. 

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We are looking at the Saints for our first NFL pick in this matchup, not because the Falcons will probably have to go with Desmond Ridder under center. Atlanta’s defense has struggled a lot since Grady Jarrett’s season-ending injury, and we are expecting the Saints’ offense to get back on the right track after a tough matchup against the Vikings. 

The Falcons have allowed 84 points over their previous three games, including 31 to Minnesota in Week 9. They’ve also surrendered 417 rushing yards. Their offense has gotten things going during that stretch, tallying at least 23 points in each of those three contests, mostly with Heinicke under center. 

Hereof, we’ll start the NFL predictions for the Saints vs. Falcons battle with New Orleans -1.5 (-110) at BetMGM. Now, we’ll switch focus to the best NFL player props in this matchup. 

⭐  NFL ATS Pick: New Orleans Saints -1.5 (-110) at BetMGM

⭐ NFL Player Prop #1: Alvin Kamara Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at bet365  

The Saints need to take full advantage of the Falcons’ run D that has struggled without Grady Jarrett. Alvin Kamara, who’s averaging just 3.7 yards per carry in 2023, has to step up in this game and lead the way for New Orleans. After a couple of mediocre displays against Chicago and Minnesota, we are looking for a bounce-back performance and would take Alvin Kamara Over 48.5 Rushing Yards for our first NFL player prop. 

Kamara has only had 18 carries for 68 yards over his previous two outings. In each of his other five outings this season, the five-time Pro Bowl running back has accounted for at least 51 rushing yards. Add Alvin Kamara to your NFL picks, as he shouldn’t string the third straight dud.

⭐ NFL Player Prop #2: Bijan Robinson Over 57.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at FanDuel   

We continue our NFL player props with Bijan Robinson, expecting to see a lot of rushing in this game. The Saints are eighth in the league in scoring defense (19.8 points per game) and seventh in passing defense (199.1). But they allow 113.6 rushing yards per game (20^th in the NFL) and 4.3 yards per carry (tied-21^st), and the Falcons will look to exploit the Saints’ run D. 

Bijan Robinson is having a nice rookie season. He’s amassed 612 rushing yards (4.9 per carry), 208 receiving yards, and four touchdowns thus far. Robinson has surpassed a 60-yard mark on the ground in two of his last three outings, and we are expecting him to lead the Falcons in Week 12. You can take Bijan Robinson Over 57.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at FanDuel for your next NFL pick. 

⭐ NFL Player Prop #3: Bijan Robinson Anytime TD Scorer (+130) at DraftKings 

Robinson has accounted for a couple of rushing and receiving touchdowns so far this term. He’s a great catcher out of the backfield and could easily find the end zone in the Saints game. New Orleans has allowed 19 offensive touchdowns this season, and 13 of those have come through the air. 

The Saints are 19^th in the league in red-zone defense (55.2%). Robinson has scored in two of his last three games, and we’ll finalize our NBA picks for the Saints vs. Falcons clash with Bijan Robinson Anytime TD Scorer (+130) at DraftKings. 

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