SEC Championship Odds, Lines & Georgia vs. Alabama Prediction 12/02

⭐  Best Bet: Over 54 (-110) at BetMGM

Gone are the days when the SEC Championship would be a defensive battle with low totals projected in the 40s. The increase of pass offenses and spread formations have seen offenses explode over the last decade as points become more common. Now, the SEC title game total is set at 54 between Georgia and Alabama and we're expecting the over to hit. 

We like Alabama-Georgia Over 54 (-110) at BetMGM. Both of these teams have solid offenses, with Alabama ranking 24th in scoring, averaging 33 points per game and Georgia featuring the seventh-best offense with a scoring average of 38.8. The over has also hit in three of the last four matchups between these two teams. 

Both defenses can be exploited by the offenses. Georgia has been vulnerable to runs outside the tackle. Georgia Tech was able to exploit the Bulldogs for 205 yards rushing and two touchdowns just last week, while Alabama also gave up 244 yards and 5.8 yards per carry against Auburn last week. The Tigers were consistently able to move the ball on the ground, utilizing quarterback Peyton Thorne in the power run game. 

Based on the current form of both defenses, we expect Alabama and Georgia to consistently move the ball against the other. These high-stakes games also lend themselves to more aggressive fourth-down decisions, which also helps the over. Expect plenty of points in this matchup between the two rivals. 

Best Bet: Over 54 (-110) at BetMGM

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⭐ Daijun Edwards Under 64.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at FanDuel

Daijun Edwards has been a staple in the backfield for the Georgia Bulldogs this season. Edwards has been effective, running for 781 yards and 11 touchdowns while averaging 5.3 yards per attempt. But we're going to fade Edwards and look to take the under on his rushing yardage prop. 

We like Daijun Edwards Under 64.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at FanDuel. Edwards has not gained at least 65 yards rushing in either of Georgia's last three games. He's finished with 59 yards, 34 yards and 55 yards in games against Mississippi, Tennessee and Georgia Tech. 

One reason for Edwards' lower yardage totals has been the play of fellow back Kendall Milton. It was Milton who has had the bigger games recently, going off for 127 yards against Ole Miss, 66 yards versus Tennessee and 156 yards in last week's win over Georgia Tech. With Milton getting more carries and producing more, we're going to take the under on Edwards' rushing total prop. 

Best Betting Pick:  Daijun Edwards Under 64.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at FanDuel

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⭐  Best Bet: ⭐ Jalen Milroe Over 38.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM

One reason for Alabama's emergence on offense has been Jalen Milroe's legs. The Alabama quarterback has continued to produce against defenses by using his legs and is coming off 107 yards on 18 carries in the win over Auburn last week. We're going to look to back Milroe on his rushing yardage prop for Saturday's matchup against Georgia. 

We like Jalen Milroe Over 38.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM. On the season, Milroe has gained 439 yards rushing and has 12 touchdowns. Milroe has gone over his rushing yardage prop in six of Alabama's 11 games this season, and has done so in three of five games against ranked teams. 

Considering the stakes, with Alabama needing a win to advance to the College Football Playoff, we expect the Crimson Tide to utilize Milroe as a runner since that's what makes him more effective. Milroe has also shown the ability to produce in big games and has not been afraid to run, so we're going to take the over on his rushing yardage prop. 

Best Bet: Jalen Milroe Over 38.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM

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