Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds & NBA Player Props for 11/18

NBA Pick: ⭐ Thunder -1.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM

Heading into this intriguing NBA showdown, the Thunder vs. Warriors ATS Pick is grabbing attention in the world of NBA Prediction and NBA Picks Today. The Oklahoma City Thunder, showcasing impressive form with five wins in their last six games, seem poised to cover the -1.5 point spread against the Golden State Warriors, who are currently grappling with a five-game losing streak.

The Thunder's recent success can be largely attributed to their stellar defense, ranking fifth in defensive efficiency and allowing just 107.1 points per 100 possessions. This defensive prowess, coupled with the presence of Chet Holmgren, gives them a significant edge, especially with Draymond Green's suspension leaving a gap in the Warriors' lineup.

Offensively, the Thunder are not lagging behind either. Ranking second in true shooting percentage and within the top 10 for both offensive and defensive ratings, they've shown their capability to dominate on the road, winning four of their five away games this season. Luguentz Dort's defensive skills further bolster their chances, especially against a Warriors team that might struggle without Stephen Curry, who is questionable due to a knee injury.

The Thunder's scoring ability, demonstrated by their high totals in previous meetings with the Warriors, puts them in a favorable position. Even if Curry plays, the Thunder's overall performance this season – strong on both ends of the court – makes a solid bet for the Thunder to cover the -1.5 spread (-110) at BetMGM. Their record speaks for itself: 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 3-1 ATS in recent meetings with the Warriors.

On the other hand, the Warriors' struggles are evident in their 3-6 ATS record in their last nine games and a concerning 1-5 ATS in their recent home games. This contrast in form and efficiency between the two teams makes the Thunder a compelling choice to cover the spread in this matchup.

⭐ Recommended Bet: Thunder -1.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM

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NBA Pick: ⭐ Under 232.5 points (-110) at FanDuel

This Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction hinges on several key factors that suggest a lower-scoring game than one might initially expect.

Firstly, Oklahoma City's defensive prowess this season has been noteworthy. They're ranked fifth in defensive efficiency, a testament to their ability to limit opponents' scoring. The Thunder's ability to force turnovers and draw fouls, while impressive, also indicates a game style that can disrupt the flow and reduce scoring opportunities for both teams.

Golden State, not far behind, is 10th in defensive efficiency, allowing just 108.8 points per 100 possessions. This defensive solidity, combined with their slower pace of play, hints at a game where points might not come as freely. The Warriors' pace, one of the slowest in the league, suggests fewer possessions and, consequently, fewer scoring opportunities.

Moreover, both teams have shown a tendency to control the three-point line defensively. The Thunder and Warriors are allowing 33.7% and 35.9% from beyond the arc, respectively. This could limit the high-scoring bursts often seen in games dominated by three-point shooting.

Offensively, while the Thunder have been efficient, their scoring average might not fully reflect the slower pace and defensive focus of this matchup. Similarly, the Warriors, despite their ability to score, have shown inconsistencies in their shooting percentages.

In conclusion, considering the defensive efficiencies, slower pace, and the potential impact of key players' availability, the under on a 232.5 total points (-110) at FanDuel seems a plausible outcome for this Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction. This matchup, part of NBA Picks Today, could very well end up being more of a defensive battle than a high-scoring affair.

⭐ Recommended Bet: Under 232.5 points (-110) at FanDuel

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NBA Player Prop: ⭐ Steph Curry Over 5.5 Threes (+112) at Caesars

In tonight's Thunder vs. Warriors matchup, a key NBA Player Prop to consider is Steph Curry hitting over 5.5 threes. Curry's return to the Warriors' lineup is pivotal, especially given their recent struggles at the Chase Center. His long-range shooting prowess is not just a hallmark of his game but a crucial element for Golden State's offense.

The Thunder's defensive strategy plays into Curry's strengths. While they are effective in limiting opponent 3-point shooting percentages, they tend to allow a significant number of three-point attempts. This scenario sets the stage perfectly for a shooter of Curry's caliber. His ability to find and create shooting opportunities, even against tight defenses, is unparalleled.

Moreover, point guards have found success against the Thunder, with statistics showing they've made the eighth-most threes per game. Curry, one of the best shooters in NBA history, is likely to capitalize on this trend. Given these factors, the NBA Picks for tonight's Thunder vs. Warriors Player Props could very well see Curry exceeding the 5.5 three-point threshold, offering value at +112 at FanDuel.

⭐ Recommended Bet: Steph Curry Over 5.5 Threes (+112) at Caesars

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