Toledo vs. Bowling Green College Football Player Props & Picks for 11/14
Week 11 College Football Predictions & Best Bets Today: November 14, 2023
- ⭐ Dequan Finn Under 215.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Peny Boone Over 80.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Harold Fannin Jr. Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
We're on to Week 11 of the college football season, and we're here to give you our best player prop bets for the Toledo vs. Bowling Green MAC showdown. Keep reading to see what player props we are confident in backing Tuesday's MAC matchup.
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Toledo vs. Bowling Green College Football Odds & Predictions
⭐ Best Bet: Dequan Finn Under 215.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Dequan Finn is coming off a career game in the 49-23 Toledo win over Eastern Michigan on Wednesday. The Toledo quarterback completed 23 of 27 passes for 407 yards and three touchdowns. But that came against an Eastern Michigan defense that is one of the worst units in the country, ranking 76th in yards allowed per game (393.9).
We're going to go the other way and fade Finn and take Dequan Finn Under 215.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM for the matchup against Bowling Green. Before the Eastern Michigan game, Finn failed to throw for at least 200 yards in four straight games. On the season, he has thrown for fewer than 200 yards in six of Toledo's 10 games this season.
Bowling Green's pass defense isn't that bad. The Falcons rank 17th in passing yards allowed per game (184.4) and rank 34th in opponents' completion percentage at 58.3%. Considering Finn's monster game against Eastern Michigan, there is some value on the under on his passing yards prop since the number is inflated due to his 407-yard game against Eastern Michigan.
Best Bet: Dequan Finn Under 215.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Toledo vs. Bowling Green College Football Odds & Predictions
⭐ Peny Boone Over 80.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
Toledo's Peny Boone has been one of the best running backs in the country. He's one of 16 backs to run for at least 1,000 yards already, ranking 11th with 1,042 yards. Boone has also made the most of his attempts, leading the running backs who have gained at least 1,000 yards with the highest yards per carry (7.1).
We're going with Peny Boone Over 80.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel. Boone has run for at least 100 yards in six of his last eight games. He'll also get to face a Bowling Green defense that is just 45th in yards allowed per carry (3.9) and 52nd in rushing yards allowed per game (144.4).
Bowling Green's run defense is far weaker than its pass defense, so we expect Toledo to lean on its rushing attack. The Falcons routinely face run-heavy opponents, ranking 121st in opponents rush play percentage at 56.7%. Boone and the Toledo run game should continue their success against a weak Falcons run defense.
Best Betting Pick: Peny Boone Over 80.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel
Toledo vs. Bowling Green College Football Odds & Predictions
⭐ Harold Fannin Jr. Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Bowling Green has found something in the passing game with tight end Harold Fannin Jr. Over the last two games, Fannin Jr. has had 92 yards receiving in each game against Kent State and Ball State. He's also scored a touchdown in each of his last three contests.
We're going with Harold Fannin Jr. Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM. Nine of Fannin Jr.'s 26 catches this season have come in the last two weeks as Bowling Green continues to target the sophomore tight end more often.
Bowling Green is on a four-game winning streak, and part of that success stems from Fannin Jr.'s success. We don't expect the Falcons to abandon their productive tight end considering the recent run he has been on, providing value on his low receiving yardage prop of 37.5 yards.
Best Betting Pick: Harold Fannin Jr. Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 college football season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. Come this September, Kentucky will be launching online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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