Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds & NBA Player Props for 12/06
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Prediction & NBA Picks
- ⭐ Trail Blazers +12.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Over 225.5 points (-110) at Caesars
- ⭐ Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Rebounds (-140) at FanDuel
The Portland Trail Blazers, currently holding a 6-13 record, are set to face the Golden State Warriors, who are at 9-11, in a Wednesday night matchup. The game is scheduled for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off at the Chase Center. This meeting marks the first of the season between these two teams, with the Warriors having a 3-1 advantage in last year's series. Our Trail Blazers vs. Warriors prediction will try to analyze the most important information so that you can make informed bets today.
As the Blazers wrap up their five-game road trip against the Warriors, they stand at 2-2 on this journey. Their recent outing resulted in a 118-113 loss to the Utah Jazz, where they did not cover the spread as 1.5-point underdogs.
On the Warriors' side, they suffered a narrow 113-112 defeat to the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday. Despite leading by 10 points at the start of the fourth quarter, they lost to a late three-pointer by Clippers forward Paul George. Though they covered as 5.5-point underdogs, they narrowly missed a victory on a +190 moneyline.
When considering the best NBA picks today, analyzing the online sportsbook lines for the Trail Blazers vs. Warriors game offers insights for expert predictions and betting decisions. This analysis will consider the recent performances and dynamics of both teams.
For those considering NBA Player Props or looking for the best online betting sites, this game offers plenty of intrigue.
Game details
Portland Trail Blazers (6-13) vs. Golden State Warriors (9-11)
Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA
Date & Time: Wednesday, December 6, 2023 at 10:00 p.m. ET
How to watch: NBC Sports Bay Area
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Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Against the Spread Pick
NBA Pick: ⭐ Trail Blazers +12.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
The Portland Trail Blazers, despite not being a top-tier team this season, are currently showing some of their best performance, with victories in three of their last six games. On the other side, the Golden State Warriors are experiencing a rough patch, having lost nine out of their last 12 games. Given these circumstances, the idea of the Warriors being heavily favored by double digits seems questionable. They need to find their rhythm before being considered as reliable favorites.
In the context of NBA picks today, it's sensible to lean towards the Trail Blazers, especially considering the significant points they are receiving. Golden State's performance this season has been underwhelming, with a 9-11 record in their first 20 games. Furthermore, their track record in covering the spread is not impressive, particularly in their last eight games as home favorites, where they failed to cover seven times. This analysis suggests that betting on the Trail Blazers could be a strategic move, considering Golden State's current form.
⭐ Recommended Bet: Trail Blazers +12.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
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Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Over/Under Prediction
NBA Pick: ⭐ Over 225.5 points (-110) at Caesars
The Golden State Warriors, known for their relatively fast pace, are facing the Portland Trail Blazers, who tend to accelerate their gameplay while on the road. While the Blazers' offense has shown some inconsistency, particularly in scoring within the key, their ability to secure rebounds on missed shots is notable. This skill could give them an edge in second-chance opportunities against the Warriors.
For our Trail Blazers vs. Warriors prediction, a key statistic to consider is the tendency for games to go over the total points line. This trend is evident in both teams' recent performances: seven of the Warriors' last eight games as favorites have exceeded the total points line, and the same is true for seven of the Trail Blazers' last eight games against Pacific Division teams.
Additionally, the Blazers' proficiency in free-throw shooting is likely to contribute to a higher score, especially given the Warriors' tendency to commit fouls at one of the highest rates in the NBA. Based on these factors, betting on the game to go over 225.5 points (-110) at Caesars seems like a sound choice.
⭐ Recommended Bet: Over 225.5 points (-110) at Caesars
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Trail Blazers vs. Warriors NBA Player Props
NBA Player Prop: ⭐ Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Rebounds (-140) at FanDuel
Klay Thompson, renowned for his shooting prowess, is expected to focus on rebounding in tonight’s game. His recent performance supports this expectation, as he has secured at least three rebounds in each of his last six games, with particularly strong showings in his past three games, including a high of nine rebounds in one game. It is safe to say that Thompson is up for another big night under the baskets, expecting him to record Over 3.5 rebounds (-140) at FanDuel.
Thompson's rebounding record against Portland last season averaged 5.3 per game, surpassing the target line in two out of three games. Facing the Trail Blazers again, he encounters a team that ranks 26th in the league in rebounds allowed per game, offering a favorable scenario for rebounders. Specifically, Portland allows an average of 6.8 rebounds per game to shooting guards and 7.4 to small forwards.
Given Portland’s struggles in scoring and shooting efficiency — ranking last in points per game and offensive rating, and 29th in field goal percentage — there should be ample rebound opportunities. Additionally, Portland’s high volume of three-point attempts, coupled with a low success rate of 33.8%, suggests potential for long rebounds that could be captured by Thompson.
While Thompson isn’t expected to emulate rebounding legends like Dennis Rodman, his recent form and Portland’s statistics make him a strong candidate to achieve at least four rebounds in this matchup. For those looking to place a bet, taking Thompson to grab six rebounds offers a promising return at +240 odds on FanDuel.
⭐ Recommended Bet: Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Rebounds (-140) at FanDuel
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