US Open Day 8 Odds & Picks Including Keys vs. Pegula Prediction 09/04

• ⭐ Ons Jabeur  to win 2-0 (+185) at BetMGM

The fourth-round match between Ons Jabeur and Zheng promises to be a fascinating encounter. Jabeur has managed to reach this stage without hitting peak form, suggesting that she has room for improvement. 

The stage is set for her to elevate her game, especially given the challenges that Zheng is likely to pose. The lack of pressure on Zheng, who has already exceeded expectations in the tournament, could make her a dangerous opponent. 

However, her path to the fourth round has been relatively smooth, which may not have prepared her for a competitor of Jabeur's caliber.

Zheng's untapped potential is an intriguing factor in this match. A win against a struggling Jabeur could be a significant milestone in her career. 

Yet, the expectation is that Jabeur will find her rhythm, especially now that she's in the second week of the tournament. In a contest where both players have something to prove, Jabeur's experience and latent skill could be the difference, potentially seeing her win in two sets.

⭐ Best Betting Pick: Ons Jabeur  to win 2-0  (+185) at BetMGM

• ⭐ Aryna Sabalenka  to win 2-0 (-125) at FanDuel

The upcoming match between Kasatkina and Sabalenka is a study in contrasts: Kasatkina's tenacity versus Sabalenka's sheer power. 

While Kasatkina's fighting spirit has been commendable, her 2-4 record against Sabalenka and a recent loss to her in Cincinnati indicate the challenges she faces. Sabalenka, the World No. 2, has been in excellent form in New York, dominating her opponents by not losing more than three games in a set.

Kasatkina may have shown grit against Kenin and improved form in her 6-3, 6-4 win over Minnen, but Sabalenka's current momentum seems almost unstoppable. 

The Belarusian's power game is well-suited for quick eliminations, making the matchup feel lopsided even before it starts. 

Despite Kasatkina's ability to put up a fight, the gulf in firepower suggests that Sabalenka will emerge victorious, likely in a hard-fought two-setter. This match may be a step up for the second seed, but current form and history tip the scales in Sabalenka's favor.

⭐ Best Betting Pick: Aryna Sabalenkato win 2-0 (-125) at FanDuel

• ⭐ Madison Keys to win 2-1 (+370) at Draftkings

This showdown between Pegula and Keys promises to be a captivating affair with both players bringing their unique strengths to the court. 

Pegula, the American #1, is favored by many, thanks in part to her improved serve and lethal forehand. Her quarterfinal barrier at the Slams could well be broken in this tournament, and this matchup could serve as a revealing litmus test for her.

Keys, on the other hand, has an edge in Grand Slam experience, particularly at the US Open where she was a runner-up in 2017 and a semifinalist in 2018. 

The slightly slower courts this year in New York may tilt the scales in her favor, giving her more time to unleash her powerful groundstrokes. This could also mitigate Pegula's hand-eye coordination advantage.

While Pegula may be the favorite and performs well against power hitters, the stage is set for Keys to potentially upset the narrative. 

In an atmosphere where she's historically peaked, Keys could very well bring her top-level game, making a case for a thrilling three-setter and an upset victory.

⭐ Best Betting Pick: Madison Keys to win 2-1  (+370) at Draftkings