Who Will Win ‘Love Island USA’? Keenan, Kay Kay Remain Betting Favorites

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Who Will Win ‘Love Island USA’? Keenan, Kay Kay Remain Betting Favorites
© USA Today

"Love Island USA" is approaching a week old, and the fifth season has its second casualty, but this one is for good.

Bergie was dumped at the end of Episode 1 last week, only for the islander to return to the villa, escorted by new bombshells Carmen and Hannah.

Jasmine Sent Packing

On Sunday night's episode, Jasmine was sent home from the island after she was left single during the latest recoupling. 

The male islanders were given the power in the recoupling, as they picked a female islander to pair up with. 

It was Jasmine's time to go when nobody picked her, despite previous interest from day four bombshell Harrison, who arrived in the "Love Island USA" Fiji villa from nearby Australia.

Elsewhere on the dating show, hosted by Sarah Hyland and narrated by "Love Island UK" announcer Iain Stirling, Kay Kay and Keenan have been involved in a love triangle with Kassy, which has led to plenty of drama. 

However, things look to be back on track now, and they are the only pair who have been in the same couple since the series launch on July 18.

With these hypothetical odds provided by industry sports betting experts, we've looked into who has what it takes to team up and land the "Love Island USA" Season 5’s $100,000 prize. 

Did Keenan Pick Right? 

Keenan and Kay Kay remain the +300 favorites to win this year's "Love Island USA,” despite experiencing a huge potential blip in recent episodes. 

In Episode 4, Kassy was making moves on Keenan, and Kay Kay told him to "figure out if there's something there.”

She was particularly annoyed with Kassy for not saying anything to her about her interest in Keenan, and sparks flew in an Episode 4 challenge. 

Fortunately for Kay Kay, Kassy pulled away from a Keenan kiss in the masquerade challenge, and later she felt bad for messing Kay Kay around. 

Kay Kay ended up forgiving Keenan, and it now seems to be all over between him and Kassy after he chose to recouple with Kay Kay on Sunday night. 

Things were not looking good for Kassy earlier in the episode, when Carmen said to her about Keenan, "He's in the strongest couple here."

They certainly are in the strongest couple according to the futures betting, but Destiny and new guy Harrison might have something to say about that. 

The Episode 4 bombshell got to know most of the villa ladies, including Jasmine, who said she was in love with him, and Destiny, who he chatted to about getting married before having kids. Slow down, guys.

Before making his recoupling choice on Sunday night, he told fellow islander Marco, "Making a decision will be difficult, because I clicked with Jasmine, Destiny, and Carmen a fair bit, too."

He was last to choose and went for Destiny instead of Jasmine, who had, tellingly, said earlier in the episode, "We're all here to find love, and not all of us are going to."

Top couple:
Contestant Odds Implied Probability
Kay Kay and Keenan +300 25%
Destiny and Harrison +400 20%
Hannah and Marco +500 16.7%
Anna and Leonardo +600 14.3%
Carmen and Victor +700 12.5%
Kassy and Bergie +800 11.1%

Marco And Victor Keep The Faith

Destiny and Harrison are now +400 second favorites to win Season 5, ahead of +500 chances Hannah and Marco. 

Hannah and Carmen entered the villa last week with a secret — that they were going to steal a guy from a couple. 

The islanders were left shocked when host Hyland appeared and revealed that Hannah and Carmen had been keeping the secret.

Carmen chose to couple up with Victor, stealing him from Jasmine, and Hannah went for Marco, taking him from Destiny.

And during the Episode 6 recoupling, Marco chose to stay faithful to Hannah, and Victor did the same with Carmen. 

Victor, who was able to pick Carmen before Bergie got the chance, and Carmen are now +700 to win Season 5, just behind Anna and Leonardo, who are +600.

After she lost out on Keenan to Kay Kay, Kassy, who previously called it off with Leonardo, was chosen by Bergie in Sunday night's recoupling, and the pair are now propping up the Top Couple market at +800. 

Top Woman:
Contestant Odds Implied Probability
Kay Kay +200 33.3%
Destiny +300 25%
Hannah +400 20%
Anna +500 16.7%
Carmen +600 14.3%
Kassy +700 12.5%

Bergie's Outside Chance

Bergie will have no doubt been relieved that the latest islander to exit the villa wasn't him, following his reprieve last week. 

Instead, he can build on a possible future with Kassy, who, during their chats, liked it that Bergie hadn't had a girlfriend before. 

Bergie, who also was interested in Carmen, is +700 to be this year's "Love Island USA" Top Man, with Victor priced at +600. 

Keenan still tops the market at +200, followed by new bombshell Harrison (+300), Marco (+400) and Leonardo (+500). 

In the Top Woman market, Kay Kay remains +200, while Destiny is still the +300 second favorite. 

Elsewhere, Hannah is +400, ahead of +500 chance Anna, who was sad on Sunday night after Jasmine was dumped. 

Carmen (+600) and Kassy, who is now +700 from +400 last week, complete the market. 

Top man:
Contestant Odds Implied Probability
Keenan +200 33.3%
Harrison +300 25%
Marco +400 20%
Leonardo +500 16.7%
Victor +600 14.3%
Bergie +700 12.5%
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