NY Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun WNBA Predictions, Odds & WNBA Picks for Game 3
WNBA Best Bets Today and WNBA Player Props: September 29, 2023
- ⭐ Liberty -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Alyssa Thomas Under 15.5 Points (-110) at bet365
- ⭐ Tiffany Hayes Under 12.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel
The WNBA semifinals between the New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun are all evened up at 1-1 after the Liberty's 84-77 win in Game 2. Now, the series heads to Connecticut for the next two games as the Sun will attempt to close it out at home.
We're breaking down the Game 3 matchup between the Connecticut Sun and the New York Liberty and giving you our WNBA playoff predictions and WNBA best bets.
Make sure you keep reading to see our best bets and player props for our favorite WNBA matchups on Sunday. Also, check out the latest updated WNBA playoffs odds.
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Check out our WNBA predictions, including the detailed analysis and our best WNBA betting picks below, giving you the information necessary to make informed bets and give you a fun viewing experience.
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WNBA Best Bets Today: Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty
- Date: Friday, Sept. 27, 7:30 p.m. EDT
- Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut
- TV: ESPN
- My best bet: ⭐Liberty -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM
It looked dicey for the New York Liberty early on. The Sun built an early 10-point lead in the second quarter before the Liberty eventually rallied. Sabrina Ionescu scored 21 points, while Betnijah Laney added 20 to provide New York with the perimeter shooting and scoring it lacked in Game 1. New York utilized a zone defense to throw the Sun out of sync periodically to allow them back in the game.
For our spread pick, we're going to go with Liberty -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM. It's now taken two worldly shooting performances from the Sun to cover in the first two games with Bec Allen and Natashia Hideman combining to go 6 of 10 from 3 in Game 1, while Tiffany Hayes scored 30 points on 5 of 8 shooting from 3. That type of shooting is Connecitcut's only shot at staying in this series, and we feel like a negative shooting regression is coming at some point.
We also feel the Liberty may have found something with the zone defense it mixed in against the Sun. New York managed to outscore Connecticut 46-35 in the second half as the Sun struggled to adjust to the different defenses.
WNBA Best Bets Today: Liberty -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM
WNBA Best Prop No. 1: Alyssa Thomas Under 15.5 Points
⭐ Alyssa Thomas Under 15.5 Points (-110) at bet365
Alyssa Thomas had the most first-place votes for MVP but ended up coming up short for the award, with New York's Breanna Stewart taking home the honor. Thomas is one of the most versatile players in the league with her rebounding and assist averages near the top in the WNBA. But we're going to target a different stat category for her player prop,
We're going with Thomas under 15.5 Points (-110) at bet365. It's been a struggle scoring the ball in this series for Thomas, who had just eight points on 4 of 11 shooting in Game 1 and scored just 10 points while making only 2 of 13 shots in Game 2. Thomas has struggled to score inside against New York's big, athletic frontcourt, and she doesn't have the shooting range to extend defenses.
Through two games, New York has defended Thomas well and we expect that to continue in Game 3.
Recommended Bet: Alyssa Thomas Under 15.5 Points (-110) at bet365
WNBA Best Prop No. 2: Tiffany Hayes Under 12.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel
⭐ Tiffany Hayes Under 12.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel
This is a direct fade of Hayes' 30-point performance in Game 2. Defensive adjustments and some shooting regression have us leaning towards the under on her point prop for Game 3 against the New York Liberty.
We like Hayes under 12.5 points (-120) at FanDuel. Before Game 2, Hayes scored more than 12 points in just one of her previous five games, and that lone other time came when she made 4 of 6 from 3-point range. Excluding those two games where she went over 12 points, Hayes was just 2 of 9 from 3-point range in the other contests.
We're going to go with the trend of Hayes scoring under 12 points unless she has an exceptional shooting night. New York's defensive adjustments should also help us stay under this number.
⭐ Tiffany Hayes Under 12.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel
Final Words on the WNBA Best Bets Today
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As we look forward to the thrilling WNBA matchups for today, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. Come this September, Kentucky will be launching online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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