Texas vs. Marquette Prediction & College Basketball Picks 12/06

NCAA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐ Kam Jones Over 16.5 Points (-106) at FanDuel

Kam Jones has continued to evolve as a player for Marquette. He's currently averaging 16.4 points per game while making 42% of his attempts from 3-point range. His point total is 1.3 more than a year ago, while his 3-point shooting is more than six percentage points higher this season. 

We like Kam Jones Over 16.5 Points (-106) at FanDuel. Jones has scored more than 16 points in two of his last three games, and that came against No. 2 Purdue when he finished with 17 points on 7 of 13 shooting before tallying 19 points on 7 of 12 attempts on Saturday versus Wisconsin.

In the marquee games, Jones has logged his highest minutes of the season, including the 31 minutes against Purdue and 34 in the Wisconsin game. Those are the only games he's played at least 30 minutes, and he could see plenty of court time against the Longhorns in a top 25 matchup at home. The game also has a revenge factor with Shaka Smart facing his old team for the first time. Considering the stakes, Jones could see more run reminiscent of the Wisconsin and Purdue games, which only helps the over on this bet. 

Betting Pick: Kam Jones Over 16.5 Points (-106) at FanDuel

NCAA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐ Max Abmas Under 14.5 Points (-105) BetMGM

Max Abmas was one of the top transfer portal targets in the offseason. When Abmas decided to join Texas, it immediately boosted the Longhorns' backcourt. The move has been beneficial for both parties early on. Abmas is averaging 16.7 points per game and is coming off two of his better games, scoring 23 points versus Wyoming and 26 points in a win over Texas State. 

But we're going with Max Abmas Under 14.5 Points (-105) BetMGM. We've already seen Abmas struggle against a premier team and defense when he was held to 4 of 14 shooting and just 10 points in the loss to UCONN. Now he must go up against another strong defensive unit in Marquette. 

The Golden Eagles rank 17th in adjusted defensive efficiency on KenPom. Marquette has also not allowed an opposing Power Five point guard to score 14 points against them all season. This includes games against Illinois, UCLA, Kansas, Purdue and Wisconsin. We will back another strong defensive outing from Marquette and take the under on Abmas' points total.

Betting Pick: Max Abmas Under 14.5 Points (-105) BetMGM

NCAA Best Bet Today #3: ⭐ Ben Gold to make one 3-pointer (-194) at FanDuel

For our last player prop, we're going to target Marquette forward Ben Gold. For the season, Gold is averaging 5.8 points per game while playing 13.3 minutes per contest. Despite the low scoring and limited minutes, we still feel there's value on Gold's 3-point shooting prop. 

We like Ben Gold to make one 3-pointer (-194) at FanDuel. Gold is a 3-point specialist for Marquette. Of his 35 shots this season, 25 have been 3-pointers. Gold has also had at least one made 3-pointer in six of eight games this season, providing us solid betting value on this prop. 

After a slow start when he made just one of his first even 3s, Gold has continued to shoot it better. Since then, he's 7 of 16 from 3-point range. We're going to back Gold to make at least one 3-pointer against Texas.

Betting Pick: Ben Gold to make one 3-pointer (-194) at FanDuel

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