WNBA Best Bets Today, Player Props & WNBA Picks Today for 06/16

• Date: Friday, June 16, 2023
• Location: The Entertainment and Sports Arena, Washington, DC
• TV: ION
• My best bet: Phoenix Mercury +11.5 pts (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Although the Mystics appear to be the stronger team and are playing better overall, giving such a large number of points to a veteran team like the Mercury seems like a favorable situation.

Despite the Mercury's recent struggles, including a disappointing performance against the Storm, there is still hope with key players like Griner and Taurasi leading the way. They have the potential for a breakthrough, and being desperate for a win could motivate them to exceed expectations.

Additionally, the Mercury have historically performed well against the Mystics, with a 6-2 ATS record in their last eight meetings in Washington and a 4-1 ATS record in their last five overall.

Considering these factors, it seems reasonable to expect the Mercury to keep the game close and potentially cover the spread. With 11.5 points on their side, it's an enticing opportunity to take them.

Recommended Bet: Phoenix Mercury +11.5 pts (-115) 

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Austin is expected to surpass 8.5 rebounds in the upcoming game, especially if Griner is unable to play due to a hip injury. With the star center doubtful for the Mercury, the Mystics' frontcourt, led by Elena Delle Donne and Shakira Austin, could have a significant impact. Austin, in particular, has been performing well in her second season, averaging 12.7 points and 8.8 rebounds per game.

In recent games, Austin has exceeded 9.5 rebounds in five out of her last nine matchups, showcasing her prowess on the glass. Notably, in the Mystics' previous two home games against the Wings and Lynx, she recorded double-digit rebounds with 11 and 10, respectively.

Considering that the Mercury struggle with rebounding, allowing the fifth-most rebounds per game to opponents (35.6) and having a -5.2 rebounding differential, Austin is poised to be one of the leading rebounders in this contest. With Griner's potential absence, Austin will have an excellent opportunity to dominate the boards.

Recommended Bet: Shakira Austin Over 8.5 rebounds (-140) at bet365 Sportsbook.

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Despite her remarkable performance of 27 points against the Lynx in her previous game, we're taking the UNDER on her points prop for tonight's matchup. As the Sparks' leading scorer this season, averaging 21.1 points, Ogwumike faces the challenging task of defending Naphessa Collier, making this an exciting matchup to watch.

However, it's worth noting that Ogwumike has fallen short of the 22.5 points mark in six out of eight games this season, including two games played at home. While we expect Ogwumike to still have a solid game, we believe the points prop has been set too high for her to exceed. Considering her previous performances and the tough defensive assignment, it seems likely that Ogwumike will score under 22.5 points in tonight's game.

Predicted Bet: Nneka Ogwumike UNDER 22.5 points (-115) at bet365 Sportsbook

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