WNBA Predictions: Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun WNBA Best Bets Today

• Date:  Tuesday, August 8, 2023, 3 PM ET
• Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA
• TV:  NBA TV, WNBA League Pass
• My best bet: ⭐Connecticut Sun -7.5 (-110) at FanDuel

The Connecticut Sun is simply a bad matchup for the Seattle Storm. In both meetings this season, Connecticut simply overwhelmed the Storm with its size and dominance from Alyssa Thomas and DeWanna Bonner. During the first matchup, Connecticut won 85-79 with Thomas recording a triple-double with 13 points, 15 rebounds and 12 assists, while Bonner had 20 points. The Sun was set to cover until a miraculous backdoor cover from the Storm allowed Seattle to cover the eight-point spread with an 85-79 loss. 

The second matchup was nowhere close to that. Connecticut led 57-24 at the half and eventually won 93-73. These two results have us leaning towards the Sun to cover -7.5 (-110) at FanDuel. 

Seattle lacks the frontcourt size or perimeter defenders to bother Connecticut. The Sun made 32 of 69 shots in the first meeting and were even better later on, making 34 of 63 attempts in the blowout win. 

Expect the Sun to continue their dominance on offense and cover this spread. 

Recommended Bet: Sun -7.5 (-110) at FanDuel

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⭐ Nneka Ogwumike Over 19.5 points (-110) at bet365

We only need to look at the last two times Nneka Ogumike has played the Indiana Fever to see why her over is worth a play on Tuesday. On Jul 25, Ogwumike scored 30 points while making 11 of 24 shots in her team's 79-78 win. Just two days later, she scored 25 points against the Fever on 8 of 16 shooting. 

Indiana's inability to adjust after Ogwumike's 30-point performance just two days earlier highlights that the team simply doesn't have the personnel to stop her, making Ogwumike Over 19.5 points (-110) at bet365 our best WNBA prop for Tuesday. 

Ogwumike has also scored at least 20 points in four of her last six games. She averages 19.8 points per game on the season, and we would just need her to get above her average against a team she has already dominated on two separate occasions. 

Recommended Bet: Nneka Ogwumike Over 19.5 points (-110) at bet365

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⭐  Aliyah Boston Over 13.5 Points (-118) at FanDuel

Basketball doesn't have to be a difficult sport. Give your best players the ball, and they can typically produce. Indiana has had an issue getting Aliyah Boston consistent looks in the post, but when she has, she has typically succeeded. The No. 1 pick is averaging 14.6 points and making 58% of her shots on the season but has had a lower usage rate for someone of her caliber. It led to a recent stretch where she scored six, 11, six and nine points during one of her lower-scoring stretches of the season. 

But Indiana seems to have made Boston more of a focus on offense. O Sunday she went off for 25 points while making 12 of 22 shot attempts. Two days earlier, she scored 19 points on 6 of 11 shots against the Connecticut Sun. Her recent run points towards Boston Over 13.5 Points (-118) at FanDuel.

In the last two games, Boston got up 33 shots. For comparison, during her low-scoring stretch where she had just 32 points in four games, she only had 26 shots in that span, resulting in her low offensive output. But with Indiana making her a focal point on offense, we like Boston's over points prop in this spot. 

Recommended Bet: Aliyah Boston Over 13.5 Points (-118) at FanDuel

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