India vs England ODI World Cup: Latest Odds & Analysis

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India vs England ODI World Cup: Latest Odds & Analysis

India v England predictions: 

 

When: Sunday 29 October, 2:00pm IST

Where: Ekana International Cricket Stadium, Lucknow

Watch: Star Sports, Hotstar

Best Odds: India 1.5, England 2.75


Well done to you if you backed India to win the 2023 Cricket World Cup at the beginning of the tournament or even in the first week of the competition, for their price to win the World Cup title has now halved with some cricket betting sites as some of their major rivals fall around them.

If your stake was substantial enough, you would now be able to minimise some risk and/or guarantee a profit by laying India on a betting exchange.

Or perhaps, like most people, you’re confident enough to let the bet ride after India convincingly won their five opening games of the tournament, whilst most of their nearest rivals have had the odd slip-up here and there.

One of those sides was expected to be England, who were second favourites on cricket betting apps before the tournament only to be all but mathematically eliminated after just five matches.

The Numbers That Matter

  • India’s bowlers are conceding a tournament best 4.91 runs per over at this World Cup
  • Virat Kohli and Rohit Sharma top scored twice each for India in this edition
  • Mohammed Shami to Jos Buttler in ODIs: 5-57 from ten overs bowled
  • Mark Wood and Chris Woakes went wicketless three times each already at this World Cup

India’s World Cup Aspirations Go For Six!

The host nation are absorbing all the pressure of needing to perform in front of their own fans with distinction and composure, and remain not only the only undefeated team of the tournament but the only one that appears unlikely to lose for the remainder of the group stage.

India has now won 19 of their 23 ODIs at home since the beginning of 2022, losing only once to South Africa and three times to Australia along the way.

They hosted England only three times in this format since the previous World Cup, winning a series 2-1 in 2021, but since then India’s stocks have risen whilst England’s title defence has collapsed into complete shambles.

A downcast Jos Buttler admitted after the loss to Sri Lanka during the week that he doesn’t know or understand why England have been performing so poorly throughout the tournament.

Perhaps the most concerning aspect of all is that the rut has been infecting the batting and bowling units from top to bottom, with only two batters (Dawid Malan and Joe Root) clearing 150+ tournament runs and two bowlers (Adil Rashid and the withdrawn Reece Topley) collecting more than two wickets. 

It’s hard to see where their next win is going to come from, particularly not here against the raging red-hot favourites.

Prediction: India to win - 1.44 @ Bet365

Prepare for the Shreyas Show!

India’s only ODI appearance in Lucknow was with a largely second choice side captained by Shikhar Dhawan late last year, and it inspires our value pick for this weekend. 

Shreyas Iyer grafted a 33-ball half-century in a tight chase against South Africa (nine run loss) before Lungi Ngidi tied him down and dismissed him with some hard lengths immediately thereafter.

This time he returns to Lucknow having remained unbeaten in successful run chases against Pakistan (53no) and Afghanistan (25no) which should give him some confidence to tackle any pressure situation England can create.

Further confirming that he enjoys the conditions of the Ekana, Shreyas also has a 57no to his name in a T20I win over Sri Lanka earlier last year. 

His time in the side is probably limited to the length of Hardik Pandya’s absence through injury, and consequently there’ll be an additional hunger to ensure it’s not he who is the one to make way in a couple of weeks’ time. 

Prediction: Shreyas Iyer Top India Runscorer - 6.5 @ Bet365

 

Jadeja’s Impact Has Been Limited

Not entirely through his own fault, star all-rounder Ravindra Jadeja has had a backseat role in this World Cup so far, but it can only be a matter of time before he forces himself into a highlights reel in the near future.

Some betting sites have set his ‘player performance points’ mark for this match at 41.5. If you’re unfamiliar with how the scoring system works, players are awarded one point per run, ten per catch and 20 per wicket. 

Jadeja has barely had to bat only once at this tournament, and with England taking only one wicket against New Zealand, two against Sri Lanka, and the bowling unit being down on confidence, there’s every chance he may not be able to add any runs to his score on this occasion either.

Even when he does get the opportunity to bat, he has often been ineffective in ODIs this year, clearing 20+ runs in only three of 14 ODI innings this year.

That would mean that Jadeja either has to take 3+ wickets, which he is yet to do at this World Cup, or collect two wickets and a catch, which he has done on two other occasions this year. 

Overall, Jadeja has cleared 42+ player performance points in only 25% of his 20 ODIs this year, which gives the ‘unders’ a significant edge.

His individual numbers bowling to most of England’s top and middle order aren’t particularly inspiring, either.

Jadeja averages 37 with the ball against Joe Root in ODIs, 35 to Buttler, 63 against Ben Stokes in all white ball cricket (including IPL) and has never dismissed Dawid Malan in any format. 

Prediction: Ravindra Jadeja under 41.5 PP points - 1.83 @ Bet365

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