IPL Delhi v Rajasthan: Latest Odds and Analysis

Delhi v Rajasthan predictions: 

• Rajasthan to win - 1.73 @ Melbet Sports
• Yashasvi Jaiswal 30+ runs - 1.83 @ Melbet Sports
• Prithvi Shaw under 27.5 runs - 1.83 @ Melbet Sports

When: Tuesday 7 May, 7:30pm IST

Where: Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi

Watch: Star Sports and JioCinema

Best Odds: Delhi 2.2, Rajasthan 1.73

The long grind of the 2024 Indian Premier League is almost over and the competition has now entered its eighth week, and it looks all but certain now that four franchises have dropped out of the running for the four-team playoffs.

The two previous IPL seasons with ten teams participating saw the top four sides all win at least eight games each, meaning that the quartet including RCB and Punjab likely cannot salvage their seasons even with another three straight wins.

Delhi Capitals could therefore be the last team capable of making a charge from the bottom half of the standings into the finals, but standing in their way is a team who have already defeated them this year and look the goods to finish in the top two.

We’ve scoured the markets offered by some of the best Indian cricket betting sites to find what we believe are two sensational player props as well as the winner of this match between Delhi Capitals and Rajasthan Royals.

The Numbers That Matter

• The last five IPL games in Delhi were won batting first
• The last four matches all had first innings scores of 220+
• Delhi has the second worst economy rate (10.24rpo) of all IPL 2024 teams
• Riyan Parag and Jake Fraser-McGurk top scored for their teams four times each this season
• Khaleel Ahmed in Delhi this year: 2-122 at 13.56rpo

Royally reclaiming top place

Cricket betting apps are grading second placed Rajasthan Royals (W8 L2) as favourites for the seventh time this season and they’ve let punters down only once from six starts as favourites this year, when Gujarat defeated them in the last ball of a run chase early last month.

Rajasthan continue to be involved in some thrilling fixtures, most recently losing by just one run away to Sunrisers Hyderabad, whilst before that completing last over run chases against Kolkata, Punjab and RCB.

Playing in Delhi shouldn’t be an issue on the basis of their 4-1 away record this season, especially as the only loss was to the season’s second-fastest scoring team.

Delhi have a similarly poor economy rate to Hyderabad but are losing nearly two wickets per innings during the powerplay, where the Royals have been one of the most potent teams thanks to seven powerplay wickets from Trent Boult. 

Some of Delhi’s key players have struggled against Rajasthan’s current crop of bowlers and vice versa, which has inspired both of our player picks further down.

But in addition to Prithvi Shaw’s struggles, Axar Patel averages 12 with the bat against Rajasthan’s last five bowlers.

Conversely, Jos Buttler averages 70 and Riyan Parag 77 against the bowlers expected to take to the field for Delhi here.

Delhi’s last five matches were won by the higher ranked side, and if you need any further omens, the last 12 games between these sides were won by the team that scored the most sixes.

Rajasthan’s bowlers are conceding just 6.8 sixes per innings - the second best in the league - whilst Delhi’s are going for ten per game.

Prediction: Rajasthan to win - 1.73 @ Melbet Sports

Five matches made in heaven

He’s having a much better second half of the season than his first, and Yashasvi Jaiswal is gradually catching up to the three teammates who currently have more runs in this edition courtesy of a sparkling 67 against Hyderabad.

Jaiswal has cleared 30+ runs in three of his last five innings now, two of them on the road, and it seems the greatest risk with this play is that he has been unable to string together two consecutive impactful innings in 2024.

In his first appearance in Delhi since 2021, this bowling attack could be just what he needs to build a bit of momentum.

Jaiswal has faced each of the five bowlers Delhi used in their last game for at least one over each - including Lizaad Williams for India against South Africa - and between them they have conceded 86 runs from 8.2 overs without a single wicket. 

If he can get even halfway to matching that here, this will be a very safe play.

Prediction: Yashasvi Jaiswal 30+ runs - 1.83 @ Melbet Sports

Shaw’s stocks are slumping again

Prithvi Shaw needed a top order injury early in the season for his opportunity to arrive and it appeared at first that he was grabbing it and never letting it go, scoring 30+ runs in three of his first four innings of the season to outperform his injured predecessor Mitch Marsh.

His dismissal against Kolkata could be considered a touch of bad luck, but an in-form Shaw would have put the same delivery away for four, so there are some signs that he is falling into another rut, especially against the short ball that has been his kryptonite for so long.

There’s sufficient history to suggest he’s highly unlikely to break the 27.5 run barrier set by IPL betting sites across the world.

Not only is Shaw on a run of 11 consecutive innings at Arun Jaitley Stadium of 20 or fewer runs, he averages just 14 with the bat against the five bowlers Rajasthan used in their most recent match, being dismissed eight times for 112 runs including 4-28 against Trent Boult and twice by both Yuzvendra Chahal (2-41) and R Ashwin (2-5).

Prediction: Prithvi Shaw under 27.5 runs - 1.83 @ Melbet Sports