T20 World Cup India v England: Latest Odds & Analysis

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T20 World Cup India v England: Latest Odds & Analysis

India v England predictions: 

When: Thursday 27 June, 8:00pm IST

Where: Providence Stadium, Guyana

Watch: Star Sports and Disney+ Hotstar

Best Odds: India 1.62, England 2.30

Three days after avenging their shock 2023 ODI World Cup final loss to Australia, India now has the opportunity to exorcise the demons of another recent World Cup loss and move one step closer to ending a long-awaited drought.

The phrase “Adelaide 2022” induces nightmares across the country, for it was the scene of an incredible ten-wicket loss to England in which six different bowlers, three of whom are expected to line up again here, were pummelled by Jos Buttler (80*) and Alex Hales (86*) across 16 chaotic overs.

India were anything but a well-oiled machine in that 2022 campaign, making just 133 in a loss to South Africa whilst being just one hit away from a loss to Bangladesh just a few days later.

But they have hardly skipped a beat in 2024 even in some trying conditions and cricket betting sites have rated them as standout favourites before and all the way through this tournament. 

For what could (but hopefully won’t) be the final time in this edition, our T20 World Cup best bets blog has identified three markets from one of our favourite Indian bookmakers to continue what has been a modestly profitable month for our followers.

The Numbers That Matter

  • Test playing nations scored at 7.7rpo in Guyana during this T20 World Cup
  • India scored the most powerplay runs in five of six (all but vs Australia)
  • Rishabh Pant, Suryakumar Yadav and Virat Kohli all have T20I 50s in Guyana
  • Jofra Archer to Rohit Sharma in all T20s: 3-16 from 20 balls

A third T20WC final for India beckons

India’s batters scrapped and struggled on the infamous Nassau County pitches but a move to the Caribbean has allowed them to begin unlocking their potential.

They batted first in all three of their Super 8s games, choosing to do so only once, and their run totals increased throughout the phase from 181 against Afghanistan to 205 when they outclassed Australia. 

There are now five batters with averages of greater than 26 for the tournament, led by Rohit Sharma and Suryakumar Yadav with two half-centuries each, whilst the out-of-form Kohli can never be discounted in this kind of situation after recording 50+ scores in all three of his T20 World Cup semi-final appearances.

India also possess the advantage of having known their venue for weeks in advance, which would have allowed analysts and scouts to closely study the conditions and pitches and strategise about how best to use them. 

The team also has recent experience in Guyana, where a handful of their squad members played against the West Indies in 2023. 

England go into the semi-finals as the fastest scoring team (9.85rpo) of this World Cup but the bulk of that success has come from chasing Net Run Rate against Oman, Namibia and the USA, whilst they’ve already had defeats at this tournament to South Africa and Australia to bring their credentials into question.

Prediction: India to win - 1.62 @ 22Bet Sports

Never underestimate Jonny B

  • Exceeded 21.5 runs in five of his last seven T20Is against India, four of which were between 25-28 runs
  • Best score of 40* in Ahmedabad
  • Averages 37 in the Caribbean after his 16 against South Africa
  • 154-3 at 7.16rpo against India’s last bowling attack

Barring another freak golfing injury or another unbeaten opening partnership such as the one that demolished India in 2022, Jonny Bairstow will face his second T20 World Cup semi-final since making just 13 against New Zealand in 2021.

Courtesy of clearing 30+ runs only twice in this tournament, in which he saved his brilliant best for the West Indies with 48 not out, cricket betting apps around India have gradually lowered his over/under run mark to the point where we now believe it’s too good to pass up.

Bairstow’s average of 24.85 against India doesn’t exactly set the world on fire, but for the purposes of this play it’s worth taking a deeper look.

Albeit with a top score of only 40* in Ahmedabad, Bairstow exceeded 21.5 runs in five of his last seven T20Is against India, four of which were between 25-28 runs.

21.5 might seem a pretty fair marker on that basis, but what pushes things a little further in Bairstow’s favour are his numbers both in the region and against the bowlers he is likely to face.

Even after his short-lived 16 against South Africa, Bairstow still averages 28 runs per innings in the Caribbean regardless of whether or not he was dismissed, whilst India’s last bowling attack have dismissed him just three times at an average of 51.33 in all T20s!

Prediction: Jonny Bairstow over 21.5 runs - 1.83 @ 22Bet Sports

Some suitable matchups for Bumrah

On the other hand, India’s lead bowler Jasprit Bumrah has an outstanding history in T20s against some of England’s key batters. 

Bumrah has dismissed England’s last top seven a total of 11 times in all T20s at an average of just 10.36 and economy rate of 5.14rpo, including Sam Curran (4-19) and Jos Buttler (4-71) four times each and Liam Livingstone (2-2) twice.

In T20Is alone, his collective figures stands at 4-8 from 23 deliveries sent down to five different players (Buttler, Moeen, Brook, Livingstone and Curran), which forms part of his career record of 7-70 from 12.4 T20I overs against England.

Most importantly, as far as our suggested bet for this game is concerned, that includes a stretch of three consecutive 2+ wicket hauls.

He has also collected multiple wickets in four of six matches at this World Cup, in six of his last eight T20Is including last year’s bilateral series in Ireland, and in seven of his last nine T20 World Cup matches. 

There’s little wonder that he is the favourite with many Indian betting sites to be amongst the wickets for India, but the price offered by some is still worth taking.

Prediction: Jasprit Bumrah over 1.5 wickets - 1.72 @ 22Bet Sports

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