Horse Racing Tips: Best Betting Tips for Monday

Today's Horse Racing Tips

• 17:00 Windsor – Lil Guff – 1pt @ 17/2 with BetVictor
• 18:35 Windsor – Lethal Nymph – 1pt @ 7/1 with bet365

For today's horse racing tips, our analyst James Boyle looks at the flat racing meeting at Windsor, with two selections now online.

As always, you’ll find the most up-to-date odds at the best horse racing betting sites, but don’t sleep on our tipster’s predictions as those odds could soon be gobbled up by the betting public. Odds stated are correct at the time of publishing.

17:00 Windsor – Lil Guff – 1pt @ 17/2

Lil Guff seems overpriced. Granted, she was disappointing over 6f here five weeks ago and that will put some punters off, but the ground was horrible and I don’t think it helped her. She is able to handle some cut and won on soft at Yarmouth last season, but that wasn’t as bad underfoot. The race was run at a more sedate tempo as well which helped her to finish, something she didn’t do last time out.

Today’s conditions are entirely different as it’s good-to-firm at present and over a furlong shorter. I like the drop in trip angle as she has displayed a nice cruising speed on multiple occasions and a proper test at the minimum on a speed track is worth exploring. There’s a chance she won’t be able to hack it but I’m hopeful that she will and at the current quotes of 8/1+, the risk is factored into the price.

Richard Kingscote knows her well and got a good tune out of her at Kempton two starts ago, where she just seemed a step short late on when returning from 228 days off. It was another run to hint at a 5f attempt being worthwhile and she should be reaching peak fitness now. Kingscote is a positive booking for the yard (13-76; 17% strike-rate) and if all goes to plan, he could enhance his record here.

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18:35 Windsor – Lethal Nymph – 1pt @ 7/1

The question with Lethal Nymph is how fit he’s going to be on his first start since October and I have got no idea! On the plus side, he did win on his debut last term and Clive Cox has been waiting for better ground to spring him out, so presumably he will have a good body of work done at home. If he does, I’m certain that he’s capable of being better than a 96 performer and may have a class edge.

His form went to a new level last September, coinciding with his first visits to Ascot, as he ended up winning a pair of 6f handicaps off 86 & 89. The latter was quite impressive, by over two-lengths, and marked him down as one to follow in the more valuable contests. He took in a heritage handicap at York but that yielded a no-show, connections blaming the tacky ground for his below-par effort.

It’s easy to forgive that, especially as it came at the end of a nine-race debut season, and it’s not impossible that he’ll come back as a better version of himself for having had the winter off to strengthen up. He’s only a 4-year-old, he’s in the right hands to progress further and has been spoken about as a possible Wokingham contender. A win here would assure him of a run in that race.

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