College Basketball Picks, Odds & Against the Spread Picks for 11/13

NCAA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐ Over 155.5 (-110) at FanDuel

Anticipation will be high for Rick Pitino's first major game at St. John's when the Red Storm host Michigan. St. John's is a small favorite at -2.5, but we're going to look to target the total in this matchup. 

We like Michigan-St. John's Over 155.5 (-110) at FanDuel. St. John's is going through a rebuild but has established playmakers with experience. Daniss Jenkins followed Pitino from Iona to run the point, and he had a 28% assist rate to just a 14% turnover rate. Pitino also landed Jordan Dingle from Penn, who averaged 23.5 points per game last season. Joel Soriano returns to solidify the inside after averaging 15 points and 12 rebounds from a season ago. 

It's difficult to know what to make of Michigan right now. The Wolverines easily handled UNC Asheville and Youngstown State, winning 99-74 and 92-62 in those matchups. Tennessee transfer Olivier Nkamhoua has looked solid thus far, scoring 25 and 17 points in the first two games of the season. Through the early parts of the season, KenPom ratings have Michigan at 27th in adjusted offensive efficiency. 

With Pitino's past teams typically utilizing a pressing, uptempo system, we feel this game could have a faster pace. Considering the tempo and the offensive weapons each team has, we like the over between Michigan and St. John's. 

Betting Pick: Over 155.5 (-110) at FanDuel

NCAA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐  Florida State -20.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Florida State opened the season with a dominant 94-67 win over Kennesaw State. The Seminoles were just 10.5-point favorites but managed to cover with ease. We're going to look to back Florida State once again on Monday against Central Michigan. 

We like Florida State -20.5 (-110) at BetMGM. Central Michigan may be one of the worst teams in the country. KenPom ratings have the Chippewas ranked at No. 332 after two disappointing losses. Central Michigan was predictably blown out by Oklahoma 89-59 before losing to Louisiana Monroe 74-64 as -3.5-point favorites. 

The 30-point loss to Oklahoma highlighted how Central Michigan isn't equipped to compete with a Power Five school. As a team, Central Michigan has made just 45 of 117 shot attempts (38%) and just 14 of 49 from 3-point range (28%). Those atrocious numbers aren't going to cut it against a Florida State group that is 78th in KenPom's adjusted offensive efficiency and 89 in defensive efficiency. By comparison, Central Michigan ranks 321 and 337 in those same categories. 

Betting Pick:  Florida State -20.5 (-110) at BetMGM

NCAA Best Bet Today #3: ⭐ Arizona -29.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Arizona had one of the signature wins of the early season, going on the road to beat No. 2 Duke 78-73 on Friday. Now, the Wildcats return home to face a Southern team that has had a weird 1-1 star to the season. The Jaguars were blown out 108-75 by TCU on Nov. 6. Then, had to travel to Las Vegas and play UNLV two days later, only to win 85-71 as 21.5-point underdogs. 

We're going with Arizona -29.5 (-110) at BetMGM. The only way the Wildcats don't win big is if they have a letdown after the Duke victory. TCU was able to make 61% of its shots against Southern (43-70) while converting 10 of 23 from 3-point range. We've already seen Arizona play a weaker team when it opened the season against Morgan State, and the Wildcats won going away 122-59. 

Another angle to consider in this game is the total at 160.5. Both of Southern's games have gone over, and the Jaguars have shot it well each time. In addition to the 10 of 24 from 3-point range in the loss to TCU, Southern went 11 of 18 from 3 in the win over UNLV. The Jaguars hoist up a lot of 3s but do so at an efficient rate. This could also end up being an uptempo contest, which should also help the over.

Betting Pick: Arizona -29.5 (-110) at BetMGM

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